Wed.Jan 03, 2024

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Personal finance links: worthless hunches

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Jonathan Clements about his financial journey. (morningstar.com) Ted Seides talks with Morgan Housel about his new book "Same As Ever." (capitalallocators.com) Jim Dahle talks with Dr. Jordan Grumet, author of "Taking Stock: A Hospice Doctor's Advice on Financial Independence, Building Wealth, and Living a Regret Free Life.

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At The Money: Contrarian Investing

The Big Picture

At The Money: Contrarian Investing. (January 3, 2024) Is contrarian investing a solid strategy, or a fool’s errand? In this episode, I speak with Michael J. Mauboussin. Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management We discuss why it is so difficult to fight the crowd, and identify when the crowd is right and when they have gone mad.

Investing 183
Insiders

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Wednesday links: when learning stops

Abnormal Returns

Markets Good years tend to cluster for the stock market. (awealthofcommonsense.com) The right stocks are still going up. (allstarcharts.com) Finance GSAM is jumping into biotech venture investing. (biopharmadive.com) The D.E. Shaw Composite Fund has only had one down year in its history. (institutionalinvestor.com) An example of how finding a (highly) niche investment strategy works in practice.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased Over a Two-Week Period in Latest Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased Over a Two-Week Period in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 9.4 percent from two weeks earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 29, 2023. The results include adjustments to account for the holidays.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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ISM Manufacturing Index Contracts for 14th Straight Month

Advisor Perspectives

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) rose to 47.4 in December from 46.7 in November. The latest figure marks the 14th straight month the index has been in contraction territory after a 29-month period of growth dating back to June 2020. The December reading was above the forecast of 47.1.

More Trending

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How to Engage the Emerging Gen Z Market

NAIFA Advisor Today

With 39 years of expertise, ReMark excels in providing data intelligence, marketing, and technological solutions. SCOR is a prominent global reinsurance company, and ReMark is a division of SCOR's digital solutions sector. In the previous year, I discussed their Global Consumer Study (GCM) in NAIFA’s AdvisorToday. The latest edition, covering the 2023-2024 period, has been released, encompassing multiple lines of insurance business for Gen Z and Millennials.

Marketing 105
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Waverly Advisors Announces Largest Deal Yet

Wealth Management

The Birmingham, Ala.-based RIA acquired the investment advisory business of StrategIQ Financial Group, adding $1.5 billion in assets.

Assets 114
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2024’s Economy Will Be Just as Unpredictable as 2023’s

Advisor Perspectives

Recessions are notoriously difficult to predict. At the end of 2019, for example, many pundits were forecasting a recession simply because the boom had gone on for so long.

Economy 98
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Setting the Table for Tax Policy This Year and Next

Wealth Management

The 2024 election will play an essential role in determining what is and isn’t on the table for potential 2025 tax reforms.

Taxes 117
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Vehicles Sales increase to 15.83 million SAAR in December; Up 17% YoY

Calculated Risk

Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for December: December U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Hit 5-Month High; Entire 2023 Totals 4-Year Best 15.5 Million (pay site). Labor-related plant shutdowns in the U.S. that covered the latter half of September and most of October negatively impacted deliveries in November. Combined sales of the vehicles impacted by shutdowns fell 15% year-over-year in November.

Sales 84
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T&E Quiz: How Well Do You Know the Latest Trusts and Estate Planning Developments?

Wealth Management

Take this quiz to find out if you understand the key strategies and techniques used by estate-planning practitioners

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The Four 4s Behind the Compelling Opportunity in Japan Equities

Advisor Perspectives

Enthusiasm for Japanese equities picked up in 2023 as evidenced by the 28% rally in the TOPIX (local) index through November.

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US Supreme Court to Settle Company-Owned Life Insurance Estate Valuation Issue

Wealth Management

Should company-owned life insurance used to redeem stock be included in valuing a decedent’s ownership interest?

Insurance 114
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Episode #515: Felix Zulauf – 2024 Macro Outlook Not Rosy

Meb Faber Research

Guest: Felix Zulauf is the founder and CEO of Zulauf Consulting, a boutique research and consulting firm. Recorded: 12/14/2023 | Run-Time: 49:41 Summary: In today’s episode, Felix shares his view of the global investment landscape from Asia to Europe to the US. He shares why the tailwinds of lower inflation may reverse and lead inflation […] The post Episode #515: Felix Zulauf – 2024 Macro Outlook Not Rosy appeared first on Meb Faber Research - Stock Market and Investing Blog

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FinCEN Issues New Rule on Access to Beneficial Owner Information Under CTA

Wealth Management

Disclosure of beneficial owner information under the CTA is limited to six categories of recipients.

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Buffett Valuation Indicator: December 2023

Advisor Perspectives

With the Q3 GDP final estimate and the December close data, we now have an updated look at the popular "Buffett Indicator" -- the ratio of corporate equities to GDP. The current reading is 167.3%, down from 178.3% the previous quarter.

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Fisher Investments Says It's Not for Sale

Wealth Management

“Fisher Investments is not being bought by Advent International, or anyone else — plain and simple.

Investing 111
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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Job Openings Fall to 32-Month Low

Advisor Perspectives

The latest job openings and labor turnover summary (JOLTS) report showed that job openings fell to a 32-month low in November. Vacancies dropped to 8.790 million from October's upwardly revised level of 8.852 million. The latest reading was below the expected 8.850 million vacancies.

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Mercer Advisors Acquires $465M Colorado Firm

Wealth Management

Transitions Wealth Management serves approximately 400 clients and is based out of Denver.

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Animal Spirits: 2024 Predictions

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts: See here for a webinar with our very own Nick Maggiulli on Transforming Data Into Dollars On today’s show, we discuss: 10 predictions for 2024 Where did Americans put their money this year? Everywhere. Gas prices will fall in 2024 and Americans spend $32B less on fuel, GasBuddy predicts We aren’t posting on social media as much anymore.

Media 69
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Want to Be Wealthy? You Might Try Therapy

Wealth Management

Economists know that tangible interventions such as a new highways can improve outcomes. But what about psychological interventions?

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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BLS: Job Openings Little Changed at 8.8 million in November

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings changed little at 8.8 million on the last business day of November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, the number of hires and total separations decreased to 5.5 million and 5.3 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (3.5 million) edged down and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) changed little. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hires (da

Numbers 66
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Which Situs is Best in 2024?

Wealth Management

Tennessee jumps up to the first tier, joining South Dakota, Alaska, Nevada and Delaware.

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Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday: • At 8:15 AM ET, The ADP Employment Report for December. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 130,000, up from 103,000 jobs added in November. • At 8:30 AM, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.

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Emerging Estate Planning Topics and Trends to Follow

Wealth Management

Concepts and techniques that have been gathering momentum.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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Understanding Binary Options Trading – Meaning & Trading Strategies

Trade Brains

Binary Options Trading : Binary options trading has gained significant popularity in financial markets, due to its straight approach and potential for high returns. However, traders need to understand the intricacies of this trading method to make informed decisions. In this article, we will delve into the world of Binary Options Trading, exploring its concepts, strategies, risks, and regulations.

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A Life Insurance Agent’s To-Do List for 2024

Wealth Management

Tactical adjustments for a better year and then some.

Insurance 106
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Secular Market Trends: Bull and Bear Markets

Advisor Perspectives

The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes peaked in November of 2021 and 2022 was a bear market. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical trends in market performance.