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Air Bags Deployed to Cushion Bank Crashes

Investing Caffeine

In recent years, COVID and a ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) caused out-of-control inflation to swerve the economy in the wrong direction. Investors were generally relieved by the government’s response, and the financial markets reacted accordingly. economy has been greatly exaggerated. Slome, CFA, CFP ® Plan.

Banking 105
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This Baby Bull Has Time to Grow

Investing Caffeine

With China’s stagnating economy, it has helped our inflationary cause by exporting deflationary goods to our country. Time will tell if 2024 will make this baby cry, but whatever the market faces, declining inflation and interest rates should act as a pacifier. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. Source: Visual Capitalist Why So Bullish?

Economy 98
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From Hard Landing to Soft Landing to No Landing?

Investing Caffeine

I haven’t received my pilot’s license yet, but in trying to figure out whether the economy is heading for a hard landing, soft landing, or no landing, I’m planning to enroll in flight school soon! More recently, economic data has been flying in at an accelerating pace, which could mean the economy will stay in the air and have no landing.

Economy 59
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Hollywood Shuts Down & Market Goes Uptown

Investing Caffeine

Source: TradingEconomics.com Inflation Moving in the Right Direction After such a lousy 2022 in the financial markets, why such a searing return for 2023? Source: The Financial Time (FT) Confident Consumers While many economists and traders have incorrectly been calling for a recession for some two years, a more resilient U.S.

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Mission Accomplished?

Investing Caffeine

Meanwhile, the economy continues to grow (+2.0% For starters, in addition to the Fed’s restrictive policy of reducing the balance sheet, since the beginning of last year, the Fed has also effectively slammed the brakes on the economy by taking their target interest rate from 0% to 5.5%. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan.

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Recession Storm Fears Reign Supreme as Stocks Gain Steam

Investing Caffeine

in Q4 ), generationally low unemployment (3.5%), and relatively stable earnings (see chart below) all point to a stable economy with the ability to navigate a soft landing. China’s new reopening of the economy and Europe’s seeming ability of dodging a recession provide additional evidence for a soft landing scenario.

Economy 59
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Consumer Wallets Strong, Rate Hikes Long, What Could Go Wrong?

Investing Caffeine

Cash in consumer wallets and money in the bank help the economy keep chugging along at a healthy clip. The bull market took a pause for the month, but consumer wallets remain fat, the economy keeps chugging, the employment picture remains strong, and stock prices remain up +12% for the year (S&P 500). Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan.