Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

T he stock market has been like a rocket ship over the last three years 2019/2020/2021, advancing +90% as measured by the S&P 500 index, and +136% for the NASDAQ. Math Matters. I did okay in school and was educated on many different topics, including the basic principle that math matters. Source: Calafia Beach Pundit.

Math 52

Math Assets Investing Investments 52

Darrow Wealth Management

MAY 22, 2023

Interest rates have skyrocketed since the end of 2021. Again just using simple math, this presumes the par value will roll over each month and reinvest at the same rate to get to the annual yield. If the funds aren’t earmarked for anything in the near term, holding cash could be short-sighted. Hold cash or invest? 467% a month.

Investing 90

Investing Investments Wealth Management Accounting 90

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 19, 2022

You graduate Harvard in 1990, with an Economics and Computer Science degree, perfect for the explosion of the Internet; a PhD from MIT and Information Technology in ‘96. And you know, the only thing math works on recognition by peers, and there’s some prizes. So it’s been a central to what I do and who I am. There you go.

Valuation 293

Valuation Investing Investments Engineering 293

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 19, 2023

One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. Two reasons. What, why do we think that is?

Assets 141

Assets Management Portfolio Investing 141

Validea

JUNE 14, 2023

A Glimpse into the Past: The Historical Giants In order to understand the potential growth trajectory to a $10 trillion company, we must first examine the economic giants of the past. The Math Behind the Growth Let’s take a step back and think about what it would take for a company like Apple to reach a $10 trillion market cap.

Math 109

Math Accounting Investing Investments 109

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 17, 2023

A degree in mathematics from Oxford, a doctorate in mathematical epidemiology and economics from Cambridge. So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. What is that? The second is excess returns.

Investing 130

Investing Investments Clients Management 130

Validea

JUNE 14, 2023

A Glimpse into the Past: The Historical Giants In order to understand the potential growth trajectory to a $10 trillion company, we must first examine the economic giants of the past. The Math Behind the Growth Let’s take a step back and think about what it would take for a company like Apple to reach a $10 trillion market cap.

Math 52

Math Accounting Investing Investments 52

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 13, 2023

The New Normal It is difficult for investors and individuals alike not to have been directly impacted by the rapid rise in inflation in 2021 and 2022, the succeeding interest rate hikes by global central banks and the ensuing effects these economic events have had on financial markets, including the mortgage market.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Clients 52

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 12, 2022

And so, coming out of school, I studied Economics and Spanish Literature, and I applied to a — a program that actually targeted Liberal Arts majors. I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. It was at Bank One, at the time.

Clients 286

Clients Wealth Management Investing Investments 286

The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

So a variety of risk meetings, a variety of economic meetings. But if you go back to the period before 2022, from 2019 to 2021, a 60/40 portfolio actually produced 14% returns over that time horizon, which is above the long-term average. It’s also being part of the senior team that runs Vanguard, the business of Vanguard, right?

Portfolio 130

Portfolio Investing Investments Numbers 130

Mish Talk

NOVEMBER 27, 2022

Spotlight 2020 and 2021 For 2020, the reported deficit was $3.132 trillion but debt rose by $4.546 trillion. For comparison purposes, in 2021 debt did not rise as much as the deficit. Debt Through Calendar Year 2021. Those numbers are through 2021. 2022 Math The 2021 year end debt was $29.621 trillion.

Budgeting 200

Budgeting Math Economics Accounting 200

The Better Letter

JANUARY 11, 2024

That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. These experts made a living “analyzing” and pontificating on political and economic developments. And lots of surprises.

Economy 95

Economy Economics Math Banking 95

The Big Picture

AUGUST 15, 2023

SEIDES: Yeah, I wouldn’t measure it in terms of economic returns. RITHOLTZ: So hold the duration risk aside with those two, but just for an investor in treasuries, I know you’ve done the math before. So, it cost the firm $320,000, well worth every penny? How would you have done?

Management 130

Management Investing Investments Government 130

The Big Picture

JUNE 27, 2023

We’re going to wait, we’re going to see, and we want to be supportive of the markets and the economic system. I mean, obviously, 2020 and 2021 and 2022, we’re still in the midst of, but is there still an echo of ’08-’09 today? And so it’s one of these things that math works. RITHOLTZ: Right.

Math 141

Math Risk Management Management Marketing 141

The Big Picture

JULY 31, 2023

The economic dislocation, the health risks, just the mayhem that took place, but from the perspective of a number of corporate CEOs, Bill Ackman of Pershing Square Capital, the hedge fund that had a couple of amazing trades based on this. HOFFMAN: So obviously, I’ve — you know, economically minded from the jump.

Retail 130

Retail Government Economy Economics 130

The Big Picture

JULY 4, 2023

.” It’s really helpful to have had five other meetings with people who sit at analogous funds that had losses that were just as big, and in fact, they may have contributed to those losses more and be able to tell him, first off, your fund, just by my math, has a $250 million management fee. RITHOLTZ: Right.

Management 141

Management Recruitment Numbers Banking 141

The Big Picture

MARCH 12, 2024

So in this, in this context of, of a mortgage now being clear to everyone that this default risk is present, it’s real, and it’s hard to price because following the borrower’s economic profile, there, there are defaults that are related to just life events, but there’s also defaults related to a macroeconomic event.

Banking 141

Banking Investing Investments Marketing 141

The Big Picture

MARCH 21, 2023

My mom was a math teacher so — RITHOLTZ: Okay. It’s probably the most important part of what we do in the macro side, with economic trends, not just price trends, being a relatively recent innovation and super important. RITHOLTZ: — of the bubble claim and say, hey, stocks got overvalued in 2021. ASNESS: Yeah.

Valuation 161

Valuation Investing Investments Numbers 161

The Big Picture

APRIL 8, 2024

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Ed Hyman on Using Economic Data Opportunistically , is below. So you have all of this very pragmatic experience as opposed to getting a PhD in economics, which tends to be a little more abstract and academic. I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math.

Economy 141

Economy Clients Economics Banking 141

The Big Picture

JULY 19, 2022

And when I was studying in university economics, I did not really get the passion. You wrote this book in 2021 or at least finished it in 2021 and you described in the book what you see as an, quote, “investment winter ahead.” My really first stroke of luck, I think, was getting that job. RITHOLTZ: Right.

Investing 130

Investing Investments Valuation Portfolio 130

The Big Picture

JUNE 20, 2023

MORGENSON: And by 2021, they were extracting 70 billion in dividend recapitalizations. And it really became very evident in a 2021 study by academics, I think University of Chicago, UPenn, NYU, that studied long-term mortality at nursing homes that were owned by private equity and compared that with nursing homes. RITHOLTZ: Wow.

Insurance 141

Insurance Healthcare Retail Medicine 141

Discipline Funds

MARCH 29, 2024

This was the lowest rate of inflation we’ve seen since March of 2021 right before the big spike. Not that it matters a huge amount though because the difference between getting two or three cuts this year isn’t going to cause some seismic economic shift… 2) Why cut now? Core PCE came in at 2.78% on Friday.

Math 95

Math Economics Economy Marketing 95

The Big Picture

MAY 2, 2023

RITHOLTZ: So wait, you’re, I’m trying to do the math, if you were 24 in ‘08, so you got this watch in 2000, 99? A little secret, we don’t always say this, but something that we love to brag about is, it wasn’t until 2021 that Hodinkee spent its first dollar on marketing. CLYMER: Yes, around there, I would say.

Retail 161

Retail Insurance Advertising Numbers 161

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 21, 2023

So here’s the math, Barry. If you have seven $50 incremental year, then every 10 year old in America, when they enter into the fifth or sixth grade and the teacher says, Hey, today we’re gonna talk about math or compounding or stocks or capitalism, they’ll say, open up. 00:44:49 [Speaker Changed] Correct?

Investing 246

Investing Investments Startup Accounting 246

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 31, 2022

I actually left active professor in July of 2021, after 45 years of teaching at Wharton. And it’s been virtually impossible for any value strategy to have overcome the great bull market of the big tech companies of the last 15 years which probably ended in, you know, early ‘20 or late 2021 or ’20, early ’21. RITHOLTZ: Yup.

Numbers 141

Numbers Investing Investments Marketing 141

The Big Picture

AUGUST 23, 2022

in Economics from Chicago and MBA from Stanford. So, I did the math, 20 million times a hundred. So, let me just repeat the math. And so, again, I went through this simple math. Even if you read both of Browder’s books, you will find something to be amazed at. With no further ado, my conversation with Bill Browder.

Government 312

Government Banking Numbers Investing 312

Mish Talk

NOVEMBER 10, 2022

It's a moving target, negating any percentage math. Nothing is decided yet, but the math is very challenging for the Republicans in both states. Trump Flopped in 2018, 2020, 2021 and 2022 How much more of this can Republicans take? I'm here to tell you what I think. I've changed my mind. A similar setup exists in Arizona.

Math 166

Math Numbers Media Economics 166