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Market Commentary: Slow Start For Stocks Despite Solid Job Gains

Carson Wealth

A “Goldilocks” December jobs report highlights sustained momentum for the economy as it continues its path to normalization. Goldilocks Job Numbers as Economy Powers Ahead The December payroll report was strong on the surface, with 216,000 jobs created last month and the unemployment rate firm at 3.7%. History says to expect it.

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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

The economy has strong momentum, with growth accelerating since the first half of the year. Let’s Call It Like It Is: The Economy Is Strong, and There’s No Recession on the Horizon A year ago, a Bloomberg Economics model projected a recession within the next 12 months with 100% probability. Through June 2023, the economy grew 2.4%

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Market Commentary: Things You Don’t See in a Recession

Carson Wealth

It is important to remember that stocks lead the economy, both on the way up and the way down. To us, this is the market’s way of saying the economy will continue to see solid growth next year. Stocks tend to lead the economy, and several major indexes are near new highs, which is a good signal for the economy.

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: Bulls Smile at January and February Market Gains

Carson Wealth

.” — Winston Churchill The S&P 500 was up in both January and February for the first time since 2019. The economy continues to appear in good shape. s consumer-driven economy. It’s only slightly elevated relative to the 2017-2019 average of 2.9%. across 2018-2019. For perspective, it was running at 2.6%

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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. The economy ran above trend last year, despite high interest rates. Economy: This Time Was Different, and That’s a Big Deal The U.S. and 2017-2019 pace of 2.8%. economy grew 5.8%

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Market Commentary: Is “Sell in May” Still Relevant?

Carson Wealth

The Headline GDP Number Masks a Strong Economy The economy grew 1.6% Excluding these categories provides a much clearer picture of actual spending and production in the economy, i.e., final demand after adjusting for inflation. in the first quarter, well above the 2010-2019 average pace of 2.4%. Think of it like core GDP.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Tops 5,000. What’s Next?

Carson Wealth

But now we have a healthy economy, well-contained inflation, a Federal Reserve set to cut rates, improving productivity, record earnings, and stocks at all-time highs. As we wrote in our 2024 Outlook, “Seeing Eye to Eye” ( download here ), productivity growth is a game-changer for the economy. at the end of 2022 to 2.6%