Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

However, the fact remains the economy remains strong, corporate profits are at record levels, unemployment is low, and interest rates remain at attractive levels despite nagging inflation ( see chart below ) and the removal of accommodative monetary policies by the Federal Reserve.

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Brown Advisory

JANUARY 1, 2023

Download it here > Dear Fellow Investors, If we had to sum up 2022 in one word it would be valuation. War, inflation, recession, deglobalisation, decoupling, strikes, crypto-crash and energy (crisis) all featured but for us the overriding focus for 2022 was valuation. There are many disturbing parallels in today’s global economy.

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Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

Throughout this period, we often saw windows in which we believed that European valuations were more attractive, but we were cautious due to Europe’s high debt levels and struggles to generate economic growth. Further, we see room for the European economy to grow. is not particularly notable. is much clearer.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

Throughout this period, we often saw windows in which we believed that European valuations were more attractive, but we were cautious due to Europe’s high debt levels and struggles to generate economic growth. Further, we see room for the European economy to grow. is not particularly notable. is much clearer.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Brown Advisory

APRIL 1, 2015

Wed, 04/01/2015 - 16:48. In Engines That Move Markets, a 2002 book about the cycles of technology investing, Alasdair Nairn defines “bubbles” as periods when investors appear to suspend rational valuation, much as they had during the dotcom craze shortly before the book was published. economy following the financial crisis.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 16, 2021

economy, seem poised to benefit from a potential postpandemic rebound. The strong price appreciation has resulted in a commensurate rise in valuations and a tsunami of new deal issuance in these areas. With over 2,000 stocks, access to financing and a highly innovative economy and culture, U.S. And for good reason: U.S.

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Valuation Investing Investments Government 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 16, 2021

economy, seem poised to benefit from a potential postpandemic rebound. The strong price appreciation has resulted in a commensurate rise in valuations and a tsunami of new deal issuance in these areas. With over 2,000 stocks, access to financing and a highly innovative economy and culture, U.S. With record 94.8% Source: FactSet.

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Valuation Investing Investments Government 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 12, 2016

We bought shares in WhiteWave in December 2015, in recognition of the healthy-living category of foods moving mainstream. We look for fundamental strengths, attractive valuations and what we call Sustainable Business Advantage (SBA). They then construct their portfolios by using traditional measures for valuation and performance.

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Food Executive Compensation Portfolio Management Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 12, 2016

We bought shares in WhiteWave in December 2015, in recognition of the healthy-living category of foods moving mainstream. We look for fundamental strengths, attractive valuations and what we call Sustainable Business Advantage (SBA). They then construct their portfolios by using traditional measures for valuation and performance.

Food 52

Food Executive Compensation Portfolio Management Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 8, 2018

While we don’t believe this is a primary driver in every situation, the fact remains that we are at a favorable point in the cycle for spinoff activity—valuations are higher, and companies can monetize their assets on good terms (this is especially true for cyclical businesses). spun out its power generation business in 2015.

Assets 52

Assets Valuation Clients Education 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 3, 2015

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 15:11. But recent turbulence in the world’s second-largest economy indicates that Xi’s dream may be a bit deferred. The economies of India and the ASEAN-5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam) entered the second half of 2015 with robust growth. Dream or Opportunity?

Insurance 52

Insurance Portfolio Management Clients Government 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. Concentration: Much of the U.S. Using the 10-year U.S.

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Management Investing Investments Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. Concentration: Much of the U.S. Using the 10-year U.S.

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Management Investing Investments Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 3, 2015

Thu, 09/03/2015 - 15:10. As recently as 2012 Puerto Rico was able to sell to investors public-sector bonds despite its bleak fiscal outlook and shrinking economy. Consider this scenario: An economy is shrinking, government debt is ballooning and emigration is eroding the workforce. Rude Awakening.

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Transportation Government Economy Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 22, 2020

Number of University Degrees in Science and Engineering 2000-2015 Source: National Science Board Science and Engineering Indicators A 2016 study from the World Economic Forum showed that China now produces more STEM graduates each year than any other country—4.7 million in 2016, for example, compared to only 568,000 in the U.S.

Startup 52

Startup Government Manufacturing Clients 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 22, 2020

Number of University Degrees in Science and Engineering 2000-2015. As these students move from academic life into their careers, they are having a big impact on China’s economy and its ability to innovate. While China’s GDP growth has been impressive, its innovation economy has grown at an even more rapid pace.

Startup 52

Startup Government Manufacturing Clients 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 19, 2018

Investors are very clearly rewarding this body of big technology companies that have built powerful economies of scale and positive network effects in recent years. While valuations are rising in the space, earnings growth has also been notable this year in the technology sector, with earnings up 8.1% so far in 2018 vs. 4.3%

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Management Retail Clients Investing 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 19, 2018

Investors are very clearly rewarding this body of big technology companies that have built powerful economies of scale and positive network effects in recent years. While valuations are rising in the space, earnings growth has also been notable this year in the technology sector, with earnings up 8.1% so far in 2018 vs. 4.3%

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Management Retail Clients Investing 52

Brown Advisory

DECEMBER 2, 2015

Wed, 12/02/2015 - 12:50. This helps to meet your immediate needs and instill discipline in a longterm context, averting excessive spending when valuations are rising. Investors should expect the market swings of 2015 to carry over into the new year, driven largely by concerns over weak global growth. Anchoring Expectations.

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The Big Picture

OCTOBER 24, 2022

We talk about everything from when do you think about risk, how do you diversify a portfolio, at what point do you really have to rethink the fundamentals of what’s going on in the economy and the marketplace? And I would say that there was a stretch from 2008 to call it 2015, where I was managing a ton of different types of mandates.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 22, 2015

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 10:21. The trap often appears when the economy is at the end of its cycle and nearing a downturn. The plunge by the economy from peak into recession may be caused by the burst of a credit bubble pumped up by years of debt-driven consumption, or by overcapacity in a large, highly leveraged industry.

Economics 40

Economics Economy Clients Investing 40

Brown Advisory

JULY 1, 2015

Wed, 07/01/2015 - 16:45. Rising interest rates influence the economy and financial markets in several ways—most of them negative. Rising rates also have a direct, negative impact on bond prices, and they tend to constrain stock valuations. Period April 30, 2013, through April 30, 2015. Higher rates in the U.S.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Banking Economy 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 12, 2020

6th Edition, 2015. BRI is a crucial lender to the informal economy in these rural regions and leads the Indonesian microfinance market. Through this important role, the company has been rewarded with approximately a 18% return on equity over the past five calendar years (2015-2019). The selected sample is the S&P 500® Index.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Clients Investing Investments 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 12, 2020

S&P 500® Index, ROIC, 2003-2013 Data based on a McKinsey & Company study, “Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies”. Chart reproduced with permission from McKinsey & Company as featured in the book, “Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, University Edition.” 6th Edition, 2015.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Clients Investing Investments 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 30, 2020

In past pre-recession periods (in 1999-2000 ahead of the tech bubble, and in 2007 ahead of the financial crisis), volatility escalated gradually, but in 2015 and 2018 we had no warning in advance of dramatic ramp-ups in volatility. 3/18/2015 U.S. 8/24/2015 S&P 500 Index -5.0 Reference Market/Index % Change No. Treasuries -15.0

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Management Marketing Marketing Clients 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 30, 2020

In past pre-recession periods (in 1999-2000 ahead of the tech bubble, and in 2007 ahead of the financial crisis), volatility escalated gradually, but in 2015 and 2018 we had no warning in advance of dramatic ramp-ups in volatility. 8/24/2015. Reference Market/Index. of Standard Deviations. S&P 500 Index. 10/15/2014. Treasuries.

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Management Marketing Marketing Clients 52

James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

The expectation was predicated on the view that inflation pressures would ease as global economies recalibrated to a post-pandemic environment. economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. While our team underestimated inflation and the resulting hit to valuations last year, there were some wins.

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Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

Truemind Capital

APRIL 19, 2024

Here are some of the popular themes and the risks associated with them: Falling Interest Rates : There has been earnest demand by market participants to cut interest rates in the US and other developed economies on the back of falling inflation rates. Central Governments have given hope of meaningful rate cuts within this year.

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Financial Market Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing 98

The Big Picture

JULY 24, 2023

He brings a fascinating approach and a bit of an outlier, contrarian way of looking at the world that has allowed him to identify specific changes in what’s taking place in the economy, in the markets, and essentially provide a helpful sounding board to many of the world’s best investors. MIAN: Valuations are ebb and flow.

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Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 130

Brown Advisory

JANUARY 4, 2016

What is behind this sudden surge in the unicorn population, and are some of these valuations “spiraling” out of control? Bull market for public equities: Certainly, the run-up in public market valuations over the past few years has spurred gains in private market values over the same period. Lee coined the term. Rapid Growth.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Valuation Numbers 52

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

It’s actually quite instructive to look at this depiction of 2015 from our current 2023 perspective. From the lens of 1989, Marty’s 2015 Nikes with “power laces” seemed a logical progression (not to mention the auto-sizing “Members Only” jacket!). It’s been a market recovery dominated not just by U.S.

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Assets Investing Investments Marketing 59

James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

As the economy is likely downshifting, investors should take heed that the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current stance is eerily similar to early 2007. During that time, the Fed held a tightening bias since they believed the housing market was stabilizing, the economy would continue to expand, and inflation risks remained.

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Marketing Marketing Economy Communication 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 23, 2022

Outside of the onset of the pandemic, July levels were the lowest since late 2015 when the real estate market was. Given the lag between Federal Reserve (Fed) policy and the real economy, we have not likely seen the bottom in the housing market. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio.

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Marketing Marketing Sales Economy 98

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 17, 2023

Then the volatility and, and the valuation makes an enormous difference. Their randomness and, and you know, they hit, had a few hits also all the, all the valuation went up right to, to fairly extreme levels. So this is more like the real economy, slower growth businesses. Or they just did well, right?

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Investing Investments Clients Management 130

The Better Letter

JANUARY 26, 2024

In June 2017, Dent predicted a “ once in a lifetime ” crash in the stock market, the economy, and in real estate over the following three years. 2014 : “What concerns us beyond valuations is the full ensemble of overvalued, overbought, overbullish conditions.” 2015 : “Exit now.”

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Assets Valuation Management Investing 103

Investing Caffeine

JULY 1, 2022

However, since 2008, the stock market has generally been on a consistent tear racking up a record of 10 wins, 2 losses (2015 and 2018), and one tie (2011). Theoretically, QT should cause interest rates to move higher, all else equal, and thereby slow down growth in the economy, and help tame out-of-control inflation.

Economy 59

Economy Investing Investments CFP 59

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 29, 2016

Charitable giving to foundations in 2015 shrank 3.8% stocks since early 2015 has also constricted funding. Indeed, compared with 1995, investors in 2015 needed to take on nearly three times more potential volatility in order to achieve a 7.5% ©2015 Morningstar, Inc. from the previous year to $42.3 Please see chart below.)

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