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Markets surge despite continued uncertainty

Nationwide Financial

This either sets the stage for upward revisions as pessimism eases or suggests the S&P 500 has gotten ahead of itself, with a valuation of 18x forward earnings. Pessimists argue about still elevated inflation, tightening financial conditions, the risk to earnings estimates, and rising valuations. The rig count in the U.S.

Marketing 105
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Financial Market Round-Up – Jul’23

Truemind Capital

All the sectors went up with major sectoral growth seen in auto (up 22%), realty (up 33%), and consumer durables (up 13%) on the back of an improving economic outlook. The recent rally in the market has made the valuations more expensive compared to historical standards. Valuations across all sectors do not offer any margin of safety.

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Four Hard Investing Lessons From 2022 With Silver Linings

Validea

While some of that outperformance was due to improving fundamentals and earnings, most of it the returns came from the valuation investors assigned to these stocks. The chart below shows that of the tech sector’s 760% total return, 620% came from the change (increase) in valuation while 140% came from increasing earnings and dividends.

Investing 128
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Chinese Tech Giants Lose Their Backers

Validea

Last month, Tencent posted the first revenue decline its seen since 2014, and present economic conditions in China make it unlikely to get back on track any time soon as the gaming industry deals with stricter regulations and ongoing Covid lockdowns. Meanwhile, BYD faces negative investor sentiment and wavering growth momentum.

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Escalating Uncertainty is Laying Bare the Dangers of Passive Equity Investing

Brown Advisory

Shifting macro cycles and heightened volatility across financial markets are only half the story, as investors and companies in a post-COVID world grapple with an ongoing geopolitical realignment and the increasing prospects of an economic recession. Labor markets are tightening, inflation remains stubbornly high, the U.S.

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EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks

Brown Advisory

Since the 2008–09 credit crisis, market sentiment on European stocks has shifted back and forth, from despair to confidence, depending largely on sentiment regarding the EU’s prospects as a viable political and economic entity. Currencies: Our analysis shows that between 1978 and 2014, currency movement explained 50% of the U.S.

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EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks

Brown Advisory

Since the 2008–09 credit crisis, market sentiment on European stocks has shifted back and forth, from despair to confidence, depending largely on sentiment regarding the EU’s prospects as a viable political and economic entity. Currencies: Our analysis shows that between 1978 and 2014, currency movement explained 50% of the U.S.