The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 27, 2023
When you get it wrong, it crushes your retirement plans. My own track record at making big calls is pretty damned good, but none of our clients wants me slinging around their retirement monies based on my gut instinct. The dotcom top, the double bottom in Oct 02-March 03; the highs in 2007, the lows 2009. More on this later.
The Big Picture
AUGUST 29, 2023
My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. If you’re depending on income to fund your retirement, 5% rates are a blessing. 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis 7.
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Random Roger's Retirement Planning
JULY 8, 2023
That is difficult to pull off but if you do the math on that it shows long term outperformance. Remember, the peak in the S&P 500 in October, 2007 was 1565. He makes a good point about not relying solely on math to assess markets and portfolio construction, that the psychology of markets is important too.
Random Roger's Retirement Planning
DECEMBER 10, 2023
There was a lot of content from various places over the weekend about whether it is time to go back into bonds, what retired investors should do for yield and even whether retirees are better off going 100% into equities. As a matter of math, it cannot repeat the run from 8.5% Barron's also noted that 60/40 was up 9.6% in November.
Mr. Money Mustache
MAY 20, 2022
Even Mr. Money Mustache, as a person who retired 17 years ago, is still in this boat for the simple reason that my retirement income from dividends and hobby businesses is still greater than my annual living expenses (which still hover around $20,000 per year). 3) Okay, but I really am retired and trying to live off my investments now.
The Big Picture
FEBRUARY 6, 2024
I’d say management consulting is any of the other thing that least at that time was the other career trajectory, just my personality, more of a math oriented introvert. And that a bit of that cult, Dick and Ike are both retired now. And I very much get the sense he has no interest in retiring. Learn math, learn history.
The Better Letter
FEBRUARY 8, 2024
Subscribe now Share The Better Letter Get more from Bob Seawright in the Substack app Available for iOS and Android Get the app TRIGGER WARNING: I’m going to do some sports math nerding-out this week. Brady is now retired as a seven-time Super Bowl champion, five-time Super Bowl MVP, 15-time Pro Bowler, and three-time NFL MVP.
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