The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 27, 2023

When you get it wrong, it crushes your retirement plans. My own track record at making big calls is pretty damned good, but none of our clients wants me slinging around their retirement monies based on my gut instinct. The dotcom top, the double bottom in Oct 02-March 03; the highs in 2007, the lows 2009. More on this later.

Marketing 300

Marketing Marketing Math Retirement Planning 300

The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. If you’re depending on income to fund your retirement, 5% rates are a blessing. 1987 Crash 3.

Insurance 130

Insurance Math Economics Economy 130

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

DECEMBER 10, 2023

There was a lot of content from various places over the weekend about whether it is time to go back into bonds, what retired investors should do for yield and even whether retirees are better off going 100% into equities. This chart contributes to the logic supporting a 60/40 portfolio. Barron's also noted that 60/40 was up 9.6%

Portfolio 58

Portfolio Math Assets Retirement 58

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

JULY 8, 2023

Barron's had a fun article that looked at some ideas from William Bernstein titled The Trick To A Bullet Proof Portfolio? Based on the title, it would seem to be in the neighborhood of creating an all-weather portfolio which we've looked at in several different forms over the course of my full 19 years of blogging.

Asset Allocation 60

Asset Allocation Math Portfolio Assets 60

The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

If you’re at all interested in focused portfolios, the concept of quality as a sub-sector under value and just how you build a portfolio and a track record, that’s tough to beat. Dick Mayo was a traditional, I’d say portfolio, strong portfolio manager focused on US stocks. So I was at Harvard.

Valuation 130

Valuation Investing Investments Assets 130

Mr. Money Mustache

MAY 20, 2022

Even Mr. Money Mustache, as a person who retired 17 years ago, is still in this boat for the simple reason that my retirement income from dividends and hobby businesses is still greater than my annual living expenses (which still hover around $20,000 per year). 3) Okay, but I really am retired and trying to live off my investments now.

Marketing 55

Marketing Marketing Retirement Investing 55

The Big Picture

MAY 9, 2023

So I took it upon myself to go off and took a course in bond math, took another course in derivatives and realized the underlying fundamental concepts were barely, I mean, it wasn’t even high school math in most cases. I didn’t know what any of these terms meant. And there was a problem with 168 of them at the end of 2008.

Assets 293

Assets Clients Investing Investments 293