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5 Unusual Economic Indicators That Can Tell You About the Economy

Trade Brains

However, there are many other lesser-known indicators that can actually provide valuable insights and are helpful for the economy. Lipstick Indicator Index The Lipstick indicator was coined by Leonard Laude, one of the billionaire heirs and chairman of the Estée Lauder cosmetics fortune, in the 2001 recession. What is it?

Economy 64
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Question #2 for 2024: How much will job growth slow in 2024? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Calculated Risk

2) Employment: Through November 2023, the economy added 2.6 Or will the economy lose jobs? The bad news - for job growth - is that a combination of a slowing economy, demographics and a labor market near full employment suggests fewer jobs will be added in 2024. Or will the economy lose jobs? million jobs in 2023.

Economy 114
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US Treasury Yield Curve Is One of the Most Inverted in History

Mish Talk

Strong Recession Signal Since 1990, the spread between 30-month T-Bills and the 10-year Treasury Note was only more inverted ahead of the 2001 recession. Since 1990, the spread between 30-month T-Bills and the 30-year long bond has only been more inverted a couple of times. This is a very strong recession signal. Some of Ms.

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Question #2 for 2023: How much will job growth slow in 2023? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Calculated Risk

2) Employment: The economy added 4.5 Or will the economy lose jobs? If the Fed drives the economy into recession (to cool inflation), then we could see job losses in 2023. Or will the economy lose jobs? I'm adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. million jobs in 2022.

Economy 91
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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

The Hustle ). • What Is the Bond Market Saying About the Economy? A Wealth of Common Sense ) see also After a Terrible Year for Bonds, the Outlook Is Better : October capped their worst 12-month period ever, and the economy is under pressure. Will American music fans ever see anything better? ( New York Times ). • Economist ).

Math 294
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Coming Rate Cuts Portend a 1980s-Style Economic Resurgence

Advisor Perspectives

Are they good news for the economy as borrowers catch a break, or a sign of impending recession as they were in 2001 and 2007? The key economic question for 2024 is how to think about the interest rate cuts we’re likely to get from the Federal Reserve.

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Indicators suggest economy is still running hot: Weekly Economic Review & Outlook

Nationwide Financial

Outside of the distortions stemming from Covid and Covid-related fiscal stimulus, it was the largest monthly advance in retail sales since 2001, when car dealers were offering no-interest loans to boost sales after 9/11. Like the gain from 2001, sales in January were boosted by auto sales, but not nearly to the same extent.