Sat.Oct 21, 2023 - Fri.Oct 27, 2023

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Are Financial Plans Getting Too Comprehensive: How The ‘Sledgehammer Of Value’ Isn’t Actually Paying Off

Nerd's Eye View

Many financial advisors take pride in the comprehensive nature of the advice they provide to clients and use the variety of services offered as a point of differentiation between themselves and other types of advisors. Though, at some point, covering a large number of financial planning topics can eat into an advisor's time, which is problematic if clients won't pay substantially more to receive that more comprehensive advice.

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The Greatest Missed Opportunity of Our Lifetimes

The Big Picture

The chart in this morning’s reads shows what it is going to cost to fund the interest payments on the federal debt. It’s gone vertical as rates have moved from effectively 0 to over 5%. When rates were zero all of corporate America refinanced, lowering the cost of their debt to historically low levels. Households did the same; today 61% of homeowners with a mortgage are paying 4% or less in interest.

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There are four million households in North Carolina

The Reformed Broker

Conservatory at Biltmore, by Ann Vasilik via Our State There are four million households in North Carolina. Approximately half of those households (1.922 million) are comprised of a married male and female with children. Another half million are a female head of household with kids. There’s 180,000 or so male-led homes with children and then 1.4 million non-family households.

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Saturday links: superlinear returns

Abnormal Returns

EVs The case for plug-in hybrid vehicles, i.e. PHEVs. (ritholtz.com) Tesla ($TSLA) prices are down some 25% year-over-year. (axios.com) States are taxing EVs to make up for lost gas tax revenue. (washingtonpost.com) Big cities have unique challenging providing EV charging support. (politico.com) How much do EV batteries cost? (visualcapitalist.com) Transport Fatality rates for the youngest drivers have fallen over the past 20 years.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Extracting Actionable Takeaways From The SEC’s Staff Bulletin Regarding An RIA’s Standard Of Care

Nerd's Eye View

There is a general understanding that investment advisers have a fiduciary relationship with their clients – in other words, that they are required to act in the client's best interests. But although this concept makes sense in the abstract, it isn't always clear what an adviser needs to do to fulfill their fiduciary duty in real-life situations.

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The Trillion Dollar Question

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Rick Brink, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss inflation, what constitutes a recession, monetary policy, going long duration, the biggest risks to the market, and more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

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Podcast links: creating and learning

Abnormal Returns

Economy Barry Ritholtz talks with Bethany McLean, co-author of "The Big Fail: What the Pandemic Revealed About Who America Protects and Who It Leaves." (ritholtz.com) Eric Golden talks 'greedflation' and more with Samuel Rines who is the managing director of Corbu LLC. (joincolossus.com) Venture capital Rick Buhrman and Paul Buser talk with Ho Nam who is the co-founder of Altos Ventures.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (October 28-29)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that the shift in financial advice from pure investment management to comprehensive financial planning continues, with more individuals becoming CFP professionals than CFAs in the past few years as consumers increasing the diversity of their financial goals.

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Coming to Charlotte to Talk the Value of Cash

The Big Picture

Since the Great Financial Crisis in 2008-09, the income portion of portfolios has been almost an afterthought. Your checking and savings accounts earned less than 30bps; so too did the cash sitting in your brokerage account. Equities did well, averaging ~14% during the 2010s, but Bonds, not so much. For the decade1 from 2012 to 2022, 10-year Treasuries yielded less than 3% and averaged closer to 2%.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Why You Shouldn’t Sell Your Losers Yet

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►Small Caps are F*cked – “But as with everything, there is more to the story…” ►Chevron Buys Hess – Second major domestic oil deal in a month after Exxon agreed to buy Pioneer.

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Thursday links: an emotional trap

Abnormal Returns

Markets Why aren't stocks down more? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) The stock-bond correlation does one thing: it changes. (fa-mag.com) Stocks outperform bonds over the long run, but not every year or even decade. (bestinterest.blog) 60/40 portfolios Where the valuation of the 60/40 portfolio stands. (morningstar.com) Why the 60/40 portfolio endures. (demystifyingmarkets.com) Strategy On the importance of being able to sit on your hands.

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#FA Success Ep 356: Scaling To (Nearly) $2M Of Revenue As A Flat-Fee, Advice-Only Firm, With Sarah-Catherine Gutierrez

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 356th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Sarah-Catherine Gutierrez. Sarah-Catherine is the founder of Aptus Financial, a fee-only financial planning firm based in Little Rock, Arkansas, that is approaching $2M in revenue and works with over 480 client households. What's unique about Sarah-Catherine, though, is that despite the common industry belief that the only way to build and scale a firm is through AUM, she has

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Navigating Financial Disasters

The Big Picture

Earlier this year, I gave my first presentation since the pandemic began. I discussed all of the many ways we hurt ourselves financially, specifically, the focus was on the 3 biggest mistakes high net-worth people make. I got lots of good feedback about the presentation, but my favorite note from someone in the room was: “ Thanks for identifying these issues, but how do I navigate them ?

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Wynn, McDonald’s & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Personal finance links: avoiding panicky financial decisions

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Peter Lazaroff talks with Hal Hershfield author of "Your Future Self: How to Make Tomorrow Better Today." (peterlazaroff.com) Robin Powell and Abraham Okusanya talk with Victor Haghani co-author of "The Missing Billionaires: A Guide to Better Financial Decisions." (evidenceinvestor.com) Morgan Housel on the flaws that compound over time. (open.spotify.com) Retirement Jim Dahle, "For you to run out of money, two “bad” things have to happen: crummy returns AND a long life.

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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

A late week sell-off saw stocks barely break their early October lows, with the S&P 500 now down 7.9% from the late-July peak. Although the weakness the past few months hasn’t been fun for investors, it is important to note that stocks are still up more than 10% for the year and a fourth-quarter rally is still expected. October volatility continued, but a major late-October low could be forming.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of pumpkin spiced latte, grab a seat by the window, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Brazil Is Embracing the Crisis That Everyone Else Wants to Avoid; Offers Venezuelans Jobs in Growing Migrant Crisis : Latin America’s largest economy is linking newcomers with jobs, while its neighbors and the US struggle with a migration surge that shows no signs of slowing. ( Bloomberg ) • After The Human : The increasingly symbiotic relationship betwe

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Americans Have Never Been Wealthier & No One is Happy

A Wealth of Common Sense

Every three years the Federal Reserve puts out a report that summarizes the changes to family finances in the United States. I know averages, aggregates, medians and such never tell the entire story but directionally this stuff can be helpful in terms of understanding where things stand. Let’s dig in. Real median net worth for U.S. households was up a stunning 37% from 2019-2022.

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Friday links: the window has closed

Abnormal Returns

Bonds The bond market is doing the Fed's work for it. (ft.com) The bond market touches just about everything. (nytimes.com) Strategy A big way how the stock market has changed over time. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Successful stock investing is about knowing when you are wrong as early as possible. (microcapclub.com) Hedge funds aren't the cure for market volatility.

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Why Things Feel Worse Than They Are

The Irrelevant Investor

You cannot be online and think things are getting better. Let me show you one example. This was on the front page of The Wall Street Journal yesterday. Instead of a headline like “U.S. Economy Grows at Fastest Pace in Two Years,” they wrote: “U.S. Economy’s Summer Surge May Not Last” And below it, “There are warning signs underlying the eye-popping numbers.” Charlie Munger once.

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CoreLogic: "US Serious Mortgage Delinquency Rate Drops to All-Time Low in August"

Calculated Risk

From CoreLogic: US Serious Mortgage Delinquency Rate Drops to All-Time Low in August • The share of U.S. borrowers who were in serious mortgage delinquency (90 days or more late on payments) dropped to 0.9% in August, the lowest recorded since January 1999. • The overall national mortgage delinquency rate (30 days or more late) was at 2.6% in August, also a historic low. • The U.S. foreclosure rate held steady at 0.3% in August, unchanged since early 2022. • Only Idaho and Utah saw slight annual

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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The Crash Callers Won’t Save You

A Wealth of Common Sense

Here’s something Henry Blodget wrote about notorious stock market bear John Hussman: Every historical indicator Hussman is looking at is suggesting that the stock market is wildly overvalued and headed for a period of lousy returns. How lousy? John Hussman thinks there’s a good chance the stock market will soon crash 40-50 percent. And even if the market doesn’t crash, Hussman thinks stocks are priced to.

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Wednesday links: portfolio entropy

Abnormal Returns

Strategy A big regime shift has happened in the economy and financial markets. (ritholtz.com) Rapid company growth comes with its own risks. (onveston.substack.com) Not all share buybacks are created equal. (investmenttalk.co) Finance Poor recent performance has put the IPO market back on ice. (finance.yahoo.com) Banks are still sitting on the Twitter debt they underwrote.

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America Is Flirting With Fiscal Breakdown

Advisor Perspectives

In the fiscal year that just ended, the US government borrowed $1.7 trillion, more than 6% of gross domestic product. Bear in mind, that was with an economy running hot, with high inflation and more than full employment.

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John A. Davidson to Receive NAIFA’s Terry Headley Lifetime Defender Award

NAIFA Advisor Today

NAIFA is proud to announce that John A. Davidson , LUTCF, FSS, President and CEO of Davidson Insurance & Financial Services , Inc., in Thousand Oaks, CA, is the 2023 recipient of NAIFA’s Terry Headley Lifetime Defender Award.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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What Returns Should You Expect in the Stock Market?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Further Reading: Do Valuations Even Matter For the Stock Market? 1I would argue real estate would be a close second on this list from an inflation hedge perspective but the long run returns are much harder to calculate when you include things like ancillary costs, mortgage rates, refinancing, leverage, etc. 2And this is real since stocks are a real asset.

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Tuesday links: calling a bubble

Abnormal Returns

Markets Money market funds are gorging on T-bills. (ft.com) The markets are not expecting further Fed rate hikes. (capitalspectator.com) Strategy A history of the pandemic era stock market boom (and bust). (morningstar.com) Is gold a good investment? Meh. (monevator.com) Crypto Blackrock ($BLK) is all ready to go with a spot Bitcoin ETF. (etf.com) Grayscale is teaming up with FTSE Russell on crypto indices.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income Inches Up in September

Advisor Perspectives

Personal income ( excluding transfer receipts ) rose 0.4% in September and is up 5.1% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.1% month-over-month and 1.6% year-over-year.

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