Sat.Dec 30, 2023 - Fri.Jan 05, 2024

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If Only We Knew the Problems Facing America's Banks

Advisor Perspectives

The US has yet to fully address one of the greatest weaknesses revealed by last year’s failure of Silicon Valley Bank and other regional lenders: Supervisors saw the problems, but they failed to compel action before it was too late.

Banking 111
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Personal finance links: worthless hunches

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Jonathan Clements about his financial journey. (morningstar.com) Ted Seides talks with Morgan Housel about his new book "Same As Ever." (capitalallocators.com) Jim Dahle talks with Dr. Jordan Grumet, author of "Taking Stock: A Hospice Doctor's Advice on Financial Independence, Building Wealth, and Living a Regret Free Life.

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60 Years of Stock Market Cycles

The Big Picture

Source: Visual Capitalist The post 60 Years of Stock Market Cycles appeared first on The Big Picture.

Marketing 286
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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (January 2024)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the January 2024 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that held-away asset management platform Pontera has raised $60 million in venture capital funding as advisors increasingly seek to directly manage clients' 401(k) and other outside assets – althoug

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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What Comes After a Good Year in the Stock Market?

A Wealth of Common Sense

2023 was a good year for the stock market. Bad years in the stock market are typically followed by good years (but not always): The obvious follow-up here is: What happens after good years? Or how often do we see good years followed by good years? There are, of course, bad years that follow good years, just like there are good years that follow bad years.

Marketing 133

More Trending

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At The Money: Contrarian Investing

The Big Picture

At The Money: Contrarian Investing. (January 3, 2024) Is contrarian investing a solid strategy, or a fool’s errand? In this episode, I speak with Michael J. Mauboussin. Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management We discuss why it is so difficult to fight the crowd, and identify when the crowd is right and when they have gone mad.

Investing 183
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#FA Success Ep 366: Avoiding The ‘Big Swap’ Of Wealth And Health As Your Advisory Firm Grows, With Stevyn Guinnip

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the 366th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Stevyn Guinnip. Stevyn is founder of Grow Wellthy, a health and wellness consulting firm based in Springfield, Missouri that specializes in working with busy – but not always healthy – financial advisors. What's unique about Stevyn, though, is how she combines her family roots in financial advice with her decades-long career in wellbeing and health as a coach to financial advisors,

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Construction Spending Increased 0.4% in November

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased: Construction spending during November 2023 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,050.1 billion, 0.4 percent above the revised October estimate of $2,042.5 billion. The November figure is 11.3 percent above the November 2022 estimate of $1,842.2 billion. emphasis added Private spending increased and public spending decreased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of

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Tuesday links: the vibes discourse

Abnormal Returns

Markets How major asset classes performed in December 2023. (capitalspectator.com) 2023 was a welcome respite from 2022, market-wise. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Growth stocks have trounced value over the past decade no matter the geography. (albertbridgecapital.com) Strategy 10 predictions for 2024 including 'The economy overheats.' (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Don't get caught sitting in cash in 2024.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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MiB: Matt Levine on Money & Stuff

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Matt Levine , Opinion columnist at Bloomberg. He is the author of Money Stuff , one of the most popular daily newsletters on Wall Street. Previously, he was an investment banker at Goldman Sachs and a mergers and acquisitions lawyer at Wachtell, Lipton. He explains how his career meandered from studying classics, teaching Greek, clerking for a Federal Judge, working on M&A at a big firm, and eventually doing derivative transactions on Wall Street.

Education 177
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (January 6-7)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" – this week's edition kicks off with the news that comment letters submitted regarding the Department of Labor's (DoL) proposed Retirement Security Rule, which is intended to strengthen standards regarding the provision of certain retirement-related advice, reflect the contentious nature of the proposal, with brokerage and insurance industry groups arguing that existing regulations are sufficient to protect investors

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10 Predictions for 2024

The Irrelevant Investor

Market predictions are silly. We all learned this a long time ago. But that doesn’t mean they’re completely worthless. Even though forecasts are almost always wrong, they can be entertaining and educational. That’s all I’m trying to do with this post. Entertain and educate. Needless to say, but I have to say it anyway, nothing in this list is investment advice.

Education 125
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Sunday links: a liberating mindset

Abnormal Returns

Markets Asset class returns were pretty green in 2023 except for commodities. (on.spdji.com) Some of the best charts of 2023. (entrylevel.topdowncharts.com) Bitcoin A price war has already broken out for the yet-to-be-launched spot Bitcoin ETF. (theblock.co) Spot Bitcoin ETFs will be run by the biggest financial players on the planet. (blockworks.co) Companies How Stanley ($SWK) turned the Quencher into a hot consumer product.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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MiB: Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton CEO 

The Big Picture

 For our final show of the year, we are rebroadcasting a team favorite — our special 500th episode of Masters in Business; Enjoy! We speak with Jenny Johnson, president and chief executive officer of the Franklin Templeton. Johnson joined the firm in 1988 and held leadership roles in all its major divisions before becoming CEO in February 2020.

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2023: It Was a Good Year

A Wealth of Common Sense

2022 was one of the worst years ever for financial markets. Over the past 100 years: It was the third worst year for a 60/40 portfolio. It was the seventh worst year for the S&P 500. It was the worst year ever for the Barclays Aggregate Bond Market Index. It was the worst year ever for the 10 year Treasury bond. Here’s what I wrote last year at this time: Expected returns are now higher.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased Over a Two-Week Period in Latest Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased Over a Two-Week Period in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 9.4 percent from two weeks earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 29, 2023. The results include adjustments to account for the holidays.

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Adviser links: personability and empathy

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Michael Kitces talks with Rob Nelson who is the CEO and Founder of NorthRock Partners about offering clients a wider set of services. (kitces.com) Thomas Kopelman on the power of backdoor Roth IRA conversions. (podcasts.apple.com) Advisers The RIA keeps taking market (and mind) share. (thinkadvisor.com) A review of the RIA world in 2023. (riabiz.com) Can a fiduciary adviser safely use AI-generated advice?

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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LPL Settles With FINRA For $6M Over Reg BI Lapses

Wealth Management

The firm agreed to settle charges with the regulator after it charged LPL Financial supervisors failed to ensure the suitability of certain transactions made by reps on behalf of clients.

Clients 117
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ISM Manufacturing Index Contracts for 14th Straight Month

Advisor Perspectives

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) rose to 47.4 in December from 46.7 in November. The latest figure marks the 14th straight month the index has been in contraction territory after a 29-month period of growth dating back to June 2020. The December reading was above the forecast of 47.1.

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December Employment Report: 216 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 216,000 in December, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in government, health care, social assistance, and construction, while transportation and warehousing lost jobs. The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for October was revised down by 45,000, from +150,000 to +105,000, and the change for November was revised down by 2

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Research links: hedging crucial risks

Abnormal Returns

Research Is the stock market predictable? Once in awhile for short periods of time. (alphaarchitect.com) Some evidence that indexing makes markets less efficient. (nber.org) How have risk parity funds weathered the past couple of years? (markovprocesses.com) What explains the 'distress risk premium'? (alphaarchitect.com) A round-up of recent research papers including 'We’re Not So Different, High Yield Bonds and Leveraged Loans.

Investing 210
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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Bond Traders Are Resolute on 2024 Fed Cuts as Data Whips Yields

Wealth Management

The rebound in Treasury yields to start the year comes after bonds rallied sharply in the last two months of 2023 on signals that the Fed is pivoting toward more dovish monetary policy.

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Why Wasn’t there a Recession?

The Irrelevant Investor

To say that everyone was expecting a recession going into 2023 is an understatement. This headline is from October. Poetically, and something few people were predicting at the time, the S&P 500 had bottomed five days before this ran. So, how did everyone get 2023 so wrong? Michael Cembalest hit on this in his 2024 outlook. Monetary policy is tighter but below the level of real rates that led to prior recessions; corp.

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Comments on December Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the December employment report was above expectations, however employment for the previous two months was revised down by 71,000, combined. The participation rate and the employment population ratio both decreased, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7%. Leisure and hospitality gained 40 thousand jobs in December.

Retail 111
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Podcast links: the power of attention

Abnormal Returns

The biz The 25 best podcasts of 2023 including 'The Retrievals' by Susan Burton. (theatlantic.com) The best podcasts of 2023 according to people who make podcasts including 'The Town with Matthew Belloni.' (vulture.com) Economy 10 things Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway learned in 2023. (bloomberg.com) Four megatrends heading into 2024 including a more normal economy.

Economy 207
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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Allworth Financial: A Disciplined Process and Proprietary Scorecard

Wealth Management

Andy Stout, CIO of $19 billion Allworth Financial, discusses the RIA’s proprietary scorecard to filter through thousands of funds, the firm’s strategy for weathering economic risks and how the firm uses direct indexing to bring alpha to clients.

Economics 114
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5 Best Fertilizer Stocks With High FII Holdings in India

Trade Brains

Best Fertilizer Stocks With High FII Holdings: Fertilizers play a crucial role in ensuring nations’ food security by providing essential nutrients to plants, which help them grow and produce nutritious crops. As a result, fertilizers have become a vital component of the agriculture industry, attracting more foreign investors to India’s markets and creating new investment opportunities.

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Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year Brief excerpt: Here is a graph of the year-over-year (YoY) change for these measures since January 2015. Most of these measures are through November 2023, except CoreLogic is through October and Apartment List is through December 2023. The CoreLogic measure is up 2.5% YoY in October, down from 2.6% in September, and down from a peak of 13.9% in April 2022.

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