November, 2022

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Supply Chain Is 40% of Inflation

The Big Picture

. There is a new 60/40 in town, and it is the contribution to inflation from consumer demand for goods and the pandemic-broken supply chain. That is according to a study by Julian di Giovanni, who publishes at the NY Fed’s blog Liberty Street Economics.

Medicine 363
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Twitter is cigarettes

The Reformed Broker

A lot of reporters and public intellectuals were writing their obituaries for Twitter this weekend. First, we saw the revolt of the Blue Checkmarks. Then, the first inklings of an advertiser exodus.

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Hoot of the Day: Russian Oil Gets to US Via Sanction Loophole

Mish Talk

Image composite from WSJ video below. The Wall Street Journal has an interesting video that describes How Russian Crude Avoids Sanctions and Ends Up in the US. With an upfront ad, that is a free WSJ video link. The Lukoil Connection. Image composite from WSJ video.

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Adviser links: a winning model

Abnormal Returns

Podcast Michael Kitces talks with Mindy Crary, owner of Creative Money, about making it clear about fiduciary marketing. kitces.com) Daniel Crosby talks with Kurt Brown, CEO and CIO, of TownSquare Capital.

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How Automation Can Streamline Your Month-End Close Process

Start the new year with powerful automation for your month-end close and reconciliation process. See how automation can change the trajectory of the close, buy back time, instill more confidence in the results, eliminate administrative headaches and be audit ready.

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Small Business Retirement Plans – SEP-IRA vs. Solo 401(k)

The Chicago Financial Planner

One of the best tax deductions for a small business owner is funding a retirement plan. Beyond any tax deduction you are saving for your own retirement. As a fellow small businessperson, I know how hard you work. You deserve a comfortable retirement.

More Trending

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Labor or Capital Driven Inflation?

The Big Picture

My views on inflation continue to evolve: I was correct in identifying inflation during the mid-2000s; during the post-crash 2010s I remained appropriately skeptical about rising prices.

Economics 332
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Glamour

The Reformed Broker

Glamour is a supernatural form of mental compulsion or influence that is specific to vampires.

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The 2-10 Yield Curve Inversion Recession Signal is the Strongest in Over 40 Years

Mish Talk

Data from US Treasury, calculation and chart by Mish. Chart Synopsis There was no 30-year long bond issuance in the yellow highlighted interval. The 10-year to 3-month inversion is 64 basis points, the deepest since January of 2001.

Budgeting 341
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Personal finance links: career shifts

Abnormal Returns

Career shifts Former Peloton ($PTON) CEO John Foley is getting into the rug business. wsj.com) UBS' Chief Risk Officer is becoming a photographer. ft.com) Investing Rich people don't typically get rich on alternative investments.

Math 266
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Book of Secrets for the Month-End Close

Developing a consistent month-end close doesn’t need to be a mystery. We’re sharing our top 10 secrets (plus one bonus!) for streamlining your close.

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3 Lessons From the Collapse of FTX (Video)

Pragmatic Capitalism

In this video we discuss the collapse of FTX and the crypto markets and what we can learn from this bear market. This video includes: 1) Understanding volatilities relative to [ …

Marketing 187
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#FA Success Ep 309: Leveraging Structured Notes To Differentiate A Highly-Leveraged $300M Solo Practice, With Anh Tran

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 309th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Anh Tran. Anh is the Founder and Managing Partner for SageMint Wealth, a corporate LPL-affiliated RIA based in Orange, California, that oversees nearly $325 million for 195 client households.

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The Many Ways the FOMC Can Be Wrong…

The Big Picture

Since it is late on a Friday, I thought I might share some quick thoughts about the week. I have been wondering, more than usual, about the disconnect between what we see in falling prices and the Federal Reserve’s anti-inflation actions.

Portfolio 318
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Worse Than Enron

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Gregor Macdonald, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss the latest on the Sam Bankman-Fried saga, the inverted yield curve, electrification of the power grid, the growth of electric vehicles, peak oil, and much more!

Marketing 288
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Top 7 Global Employment Challenges

Global expansion brings many opportunities for companies. However, there are pitfalls along the way that can slow down progress. In this eBook, we look at the 7 key challenges to global growth, and ways to minimize expansion headaches.

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Huge Layoffs Including Thousands at Amazon and FedEx in Peak Shipping Season

Mish Talk

Amazon Layoffs Amazon Set to Lay Off Thousands of Corporate Workers The layoffs come as Amazon is undertaking a broad review of costs, The Wall Street Journal reported last week. That review has focused on the devices unit, which the Journal reported has lost $5 billion annually in some recent years.

Numbers 337
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Friday links: old patterns

Abnormal Returns

Markets How do stocks beat inflation? thereformedbroker.com) The S&P 500 is not the economy. awealthofcommonsense.com) FTX Is the FTX blow up the end of crypto? economist.com) Why did so many people have a blind spot for FTX?

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Do We Implement Portfolio Construction Completely Backwards?

Pragmatic Capitalism

I’ve had three big investing epiphanys in my investing career. The first big epiphany was that macro matters much more than micro. The direction of the river is much more [ …

Portfolio 187
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Tax Advice Restrictions For Financial Advisors: How To Offer Tax Planning And Remain In Compliance

Nerd's Eye View

Taxes are a central component of financial planning.

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Quick Guide to Digital Lending for Regional & Community Banks

Ever wonder how some regional and community banks are able to outperform their larger rivals? One of the biggest keys to this success lies in digital transformation. In fact, digital lending technologies are helping banks make the transition faster so they can compete more effectively. Read this eBook to learn how to use lending technology to transform your bank’s outcomes, too!

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Which is Worse: Inflation or Unemployment?

The Big Picture

You may have missed this wonderful Josh Zumbrun column in the Wall Street Journal last week: “ Inflation and Unemployment Both Make You Miserable, but Maybe Not Equally.”. It’s one of those things that are so obvious no one ever stops to think about it – and so we have overlooked this for decades.

Budgeting 306
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This Week On TRB

The Reformed Broker

Just wanted to start by saying thanks to everyone who made a donation to our Long Island Cares food drive for Thanksgiving. The money really goes a long way, we’re going to be making a big difference in the lives of people who need help this holiday season.

Food 290
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Bitcoin Hits a New 52-Week Low, Where to From Here?

Mish Talk

Bitcoin daily chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com. I have been making notes, some of them incorrectly. Apologies offered. Generational Bottoms Bitcoin is Life Hoot of the Day (From May 2022). Hmm 6 months is up. On May 8, Bitcoin was $34,000. It's now under $16,000.

Economics 334
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Lessons learned from a young Warren Buffett. neckar.substack.com) How do stocks beat inflation? thereformedbroker.com) The normalization of interest rates is going to change how people invest. blairbellecurve.com) There are five levels of wealth.

Portfolio 235
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Global Hiring Guide: Top Emerging Fintech Hubs

The fintech industry is growing exponentially. Companies can find the talent they need in top emerging fintech hubs around the world. Highly skilled global candidates are available to hire — companies just need to know where to look for them.

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The Triffin Dilemma and Why it Matters More Than Ever (Video)

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here’s a new Three Minute Money video on the Triffin Dilemma and why it matters more than ever. The basic gist of the video is that the reserve currency issuer [ …

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Establishing Solo 401(k) Plans For Self-Employed Workers: Options, Contribution Limits, Deadlines, And More!

Nerd's Eye View

Among the several different types of retirement plans that are available to self-employed workers, solo 401(k) plans can offer the most flexibility and the ability to contribute the highest amount of tax-advantaged savings.

Planning 229
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Six Degrees of Separation

The Big Picture

I wonder how far my view of the universe is from (objective) reality. My pal Dave Nadig suggests that we are all much further away from any sort of recognition of the true universe than we suspect.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

We made some industry news this week with the hiring of Ritholtz Wealth Management’s first President. You can read about it at Investment News here. And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. .

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The HR Compliance Playbook: How to Improve Speed-to-Hire

Every global growth to-do list should begin with compliance. Navigating international jurisdictions can be complex and time-consuming, but with solid, up-to-date compliance procedures, companies can maximize efficiency, speed-to-hire, and mitigate risks.

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Lost in the Strong Jobs Meme, Full Time Employment is Down 572,000 Since May

Mish Talk

Payroll and employment data from the BLS, chart by Mish. Today, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Monthly Payroll Report. Initial Thoughts The discrepancy between jobs and employment continues for the seventh month. Last month the unemployment rate fell 0.2 percent to a record low 3.5

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Wednesday links: explaining your investment process

Abnormal Returns

Markets If nothing else, the Fed is causing investors pain. howiesarchive.com) The risk/reward equation for bonds has done a 180. pragcap.com) FTX How FTX unraveled. thediff.co) The Binance deal for FTX is not a foregone conclusion. coindesk.com) The end to the FTX story has not yet been written.

Investing 237
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Boring is Beautiful in Investing

A Wealth of Common Sense

Boring is better this year in the markets. The more exciting your portfolio, the worse your performance is in this bear market.