Tue.Jan 02, 2024

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Tuesday links: the vibes discourse

Abnormal Returns

Markets How major asset classes performed in December 2023. (capitalspectator.com) 2023 was a welcome respite from 2022, market-wise. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Growth stocks have trounced value over the past decade no matter the geography. (albertbridgecapital.com) Strategy 10 predictions for 2024 including 'The economy overheats.' (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Don't get caught sitting in cash in 2024.

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#FA Success Ep 366: Avoiding The ‘Big Swap’ Of Wealth And Health As Your Advisory Firm Grows, With Stevyn Guinnip

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the 366th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Stevyn Guinnip. Stevyn is founder of Grow Wellthy, a health and wellness consulting firm based in Springfield, Missouri that specializes in working with busy – but not always healthy – financial advisors. What's unique about Stevyn, though, is how she combines her family roots in financial advice with her decades-long career in wellbeing and health as a coach to financial advisors,

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Research links: hedging crucial risks

Abnormal Returns

Research Is the stock market predictable? Once in awhile for short periods of time. (alphaarchitect.com) Some evidence that indexing makes markets less efficient. (nber.org) How have risk parity funds weathered the past couple of years? (markovprocesses.com) What explains the 'distress risk premium'? (alphaarchitect.com) A round-up of recent research papers including 'We’re Not So Different, High Yield Bonds and Leveraged Loans.

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What Comes After a Good Year in the Stock Market?

A Wealth of Common Sense

2023 was a good year for the stock market. Bad years in the stock market are typically followed by good years (but not always): The obvious follow-up here is: What happens after good years? Or how often do we see good years followed by good years? There are, of course, bad years that follow good years, just like there are good years that follow bad years.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Construction Spending Increased 0.4% in November

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased: Construction spending during November 2023 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,050.1 billion, 0.4 percent above the revised October estimate of $2,042.5 billion. The November figure is 11.3 percent above the November 2022 estimate of $1,842.2 billion. emphasis added Private spending increased and public spending decreased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of

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Why Wasn’t there a Recession?

The Irrelevant Investor

To say that everyone was expecting a recession going into 2023 is an understatement. This headline is from October. Poetically, and something few people were predicting at the time, the S&P 500 had bottomed five days before this ran. So, how did everyone get 2023 so wrong? Michael Cembalest hit on this in his 2024 outlook. Monetary policy is tighter but below the level of real rates that led to prior recessions; corp.

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Mariner Acquires $360M California Firm

Wealth Management

Confluence Financial Planning’s six associates will continue to operate out of their Sacramento office. It’ll be Mariner’s first location in the city, and 15th in California.

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The Return of Buy-Low Sell-High

Advisor Perspectives

The strongest stock market returns in the coming decade, perhaps longer, are likely to emerge during advances in the S&P 500 that attempt to catch up with the cumulative return of risk-free Treasury bills.

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This Baby Bull Has Time to Grow

Investing Caffeine

You may have witnessed some fireworks on New Year’s Eve, but those weren’t the only fireworks exploding. The last two months of 2023 finished with a bang! More specifically, over this short period, the S&P 500 index skyrocketed +13.7%, NASDAQ +16.8%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average +14.0%. The gains have been even more impressive for the cheaper, more interest-rate-sensitive small-cap stocks (IJR +21.8%), which I have highlighted for months ( see also AI Revolution ).

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Jane Street Emerges as Broker of Choice for Bitcoin-ETF Issuers

Wealth Management

Fidelity, WisdomTree, BlackRock and JPMorgan Securities have all named Jane Street Capital as their "authorized participant" for a possible spot Bitcoin ETF.

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Animal Spirits: 2024 Predictions

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts: See here for a webinar with our very own Nick Maggiulli on Transforming Data Into Dollars On today’s show, we discuss: 10 predictions for 2024 Where did Americans put their money this year? Everywhere. Gas prices will fall in 2024 and Americans spend $32B less on fuel, GasBuddy predicts We aren’t posting on social media as much anymore.

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Hybrid IBD CoastalOne Rebrands to Realta

Wealth Management

The rebrand comes as the $3.3 billion AUM firm aims to broaden its appeal to a wider swath of advisors and increase recruiting.

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Market Commentary: Top Charts From 2023 Set the Scene For 2024

Carson Wealth

Top Charts of the Year What a year it has been! The economy surprised, the consumer remained resilient, stocks soared, and even bonds did well on the year thanks to a late-innings rally. Just like everyone called it, right? As we look ahead to 2024, we want to share with you some of our team’s favorite charts on the year. Some are perhaps unorthodox, but they tell us a lot about 2023 while setting the scene for 2024.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Dakota Acquires $350M Massachusetts RIA

Wealth Management

The deal with C2C Wealth Management represents Dakota’s fourth transaction since June 1, and third office in Massachusetts.

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Do racial barriers prevent Black and Hispanic households from pursuing financial advice?

Alpha Architect

This article seeks to examine what research says about the interplay between risk tolerance, financial literacy, and trust and their collective impact on the pursuit of financial advice by Black and Hispanic households. Do racial barriers prevent Black and Hispanic households from pursuing financial advice? was originally published at Alpha Architect.

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Investment Winners and Losers in 2023

Advisor Perspectives

Here’s a look at some of the biggest winners and losers in 2023, plus a few investments that sat somewhere in the middle.

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FORM: The timeless way to get prospects to open up

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Bryce Sanders The best ideas withstand the test of time. One of the best techniques to encourage a person you meet socially to open up is with a strategy known as FORM. Let’s say you occasionally run into someone, and you’d like to learn more about them and get past the surface without seeming like you’re prying. You can do it gradually and tactfully with FORM.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Weekly Insights – January 1, 2024

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

Weekly Market Insights: S&P Ends 2023 Up 24% Stocks posted a slight gain last week amid a shortage of news and light holiday trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.76%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 added 0.49%. The Nasdaq Composite index advanced 0.32% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, increased 1.13%. 1,2,3 Source: YCharts.com, December 30, 2023.

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Market Valuation: Is the Market Still Overvalued?

Advisor Perspectives

Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.

Valuation 108
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The Wealthiest People to Watch in 2024

Wealth Management

Elon Musk led the world’s richest to a $1.5 trillion wealth gain in 2023.

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Crestmont P/E and Market Valuation: December 2023

Advisor Perspectives

Based on the December S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 34.5 is 130% above its arithmetic mean, 150% above its geometric mean, and is at the 99th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Empowering Financial Advisors: Strategies and Insights for Providing Effective Value-Add Programs and Enhancing Client Engagement

Wealth Management

A close look at providing the tools financial advisors need to attract and retain clients.

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Wednesday: Job Openings, ISM Mfg, FOMC Minutes

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday: • At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. (Two weeks!) • At 10:00 AM, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for November from the BLS. • Also at 10:00 AM, ISM Manufacturing Index for December.

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How to Make the Most of Retirement Savings in 2024

Wealth Management

Seven ideas for how to save smarter, from automation to rollovers and Roths.

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S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI™: Sharper Decline in December

Advisor Perspectives

The December S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI™ fell to 47.9 from 49.4 in November, signaling a sharper decline in operating conditions. The latest reading was lower than the forecasted reading of 48.2. The index has contracted for two straight months.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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History Bodes Ill for Growth Stocks After Big 2023 Rally

Wealth Management

Lower valuations and higher dividend yields mean value stocks typically outperform in the long run regardless of interest rates.

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You Lost the Sale at “Hello”

Advisor Perspectives

What would it take for your qualified prospects to feel so confident after an initial meeting with you that they felt it wasn’t necessary to see any other advisors and they were ready to hire you on the spot?

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Alternative Investment Fund – Meaning, Types & Tax Benefits

Trade Brains

Alternative Investment Fund : Are you one of those investors looking for options beyond traditional investments like mutual funds, stocks, cash, or bonds? If so, then Alternative Investment Fund (AIF) might be the right investment option for you, as these investment options can offer higher returns compared to traditional investment. In India, there are over 900 registered AIFs, with a total amount raised of Rs. 8.3 trillion as of March 31, 2023, according to SEBI.

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