Wed.Mar 13, 2024

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At the Money: How To Know When The Fed Will Cut

The Big Picture

At the Money: How To Know When The Fed Will Cut with Jim Bianco (March 13, 2024) Markets have been waiting for the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates for over a year. What data should investors be following for insight into when they will begin? Jim Bianco discusses initial unemployment claims data and wage gain to identify when the Fed will start lowering rates.

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Wednesday links: a good process

Abnormal Returns

Crypto Travis Kling, "The evidence for the rise of Financial Nihilism is all around us." (epsilontheory.com) How much is Bitcoin worth? Nobody really knows. (wired.com) The spot Bitcoin ETF fee war is here. (etf.com) Finance Why Evercore ($EVR) is outperforming other investment banks. (on.ft.com) There is still a lot of uncertainty around office building valuations.

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Why Moving To A Lower-Tax State Doesn’t Always Result In Lower State Taxes On Deferred Income

Nerd's Eye View

Most of the time, people are subject to state taxes in the states where they live and/or earn their income. So when moving to a lower-tax state or another, their income tax burden likewise shifts to the new state along with them. Which is, for example, why so many people opt to move to lower-tax or no-tax states like Florida or Texas in retirement, where they can enjoy lower state income taxes and preserve more of their retirement savings for use by themselves or their heirs.

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Personal finance links: a shared home

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Christine Benz and Amy Arnott talk with Anne Lester author of "Your Best Financial Life: Save Smart Now for the Future You Want." (morningstar.com) Dan Haylett talking Paul Armson about lifestyle financial planning. (humansvsretirement.com) Shane Parrish talks with Chris Davis about the challenges of inter-generational wealth. (fs.blog) Khe Hy talks with Noah Kagan about building a side hustle without losing your mind.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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FLX Networks’ New Program Aims to Educate Advisors on Closed-End Funds

Wealth Management

Closed-end funds can help advisors achieve alpha for their clients, said FLX's CEO. However the market remains under-served when it comes to education and thought leadership.

Education 110

More Trending

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Top 5 FINRA Enforcement Issues in 2023 Included Reg BI, Spoofing

Wealth Management

Though the number of fines increased from 2022 by 63%, the disciplinary actions declined for the third straight year, according to an analysis from the law firm Eversheds Sutherland.

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The 5 Pillars of Retirement Planning You Should Be Aware of

WiserAdvisor

Achieving financial freedom in retirement requires meticulous planning, dedicated effort, and strategic management. Without a solid plan, you risk drifting without direction. When aiming for financial independence, the importance of a structured approach should be emphasized. A well-structured approach ensures that every aspect is carefully considered.

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Q4 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Q4 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO A brief excerpt: I’ve argued repeatedly that we would NOT see a surge in foreclosures that would significantly impact house prices (as happened following the housing bubble). The two key reasons are mortgage lending has been solid, and most homeowners have substantial equity in their homes.

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Advisor Movement Increased 7.5% in 2023

Wealth Management

A total of 9,674 experienced advisors changed jerseys in 2023, according to the most recent Diamond Consultants Advisor Transition Report.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2024

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2024 A brief excerpt: This 2-part overview for mid-March provides a snapshot of the current housing market. I always like to start with inventory, since inventory usually tells the tale ! Here is a graph of new listing from Realtor.com’s February 2024 Monthly Housing Market Trends Report showing new listings were up 11.3% year-over-year in February.

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401(k) Real Talk Episode 97: March 13, 2024

Wealth Management

Open, honest and candid discussion about February job growth, CITs in 403b plans, Gen Z and data sharing, the annual NEPC audit and more.

Planning 107
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Animal Spirits: The Richest Country in the World

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by Texas Capital Management: See here for more information on The Texas Small Cap Equity Index ETF RWM is coming to LA! Reach out to us at info@ritholtzwealth.com subject line “LA” to set up a time to meet! On today’s show, we discuss: Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2024 15 funds that have destroyed the most wealth over the past decade Cliff Asness.

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Focused on the Future: Carina Diamond on Staying in a Beginner's Mindset and the Power of Reinvention

Wealth Management

Carina Diamond details her personal approach with clients in the first episode of season two of the Focused on the Future podcast.

Clients 107
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Middle-Class Hourly Wages as of February 2024

Advisor Perspectives

This series has been updated to include the February release of the consumer price index as the deflator and the monthly employment update. The latest hypothetical real (inflation-adjusted) annual earnings are at $50,210, down 7.3% from over 50 years ago. After adjusting for inflation, hourly earnings are below their all-time high from April 2020.

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Two Reasons Why It's a Critical Time to Discuss Charitable Planning

Wealth Management

And the four client types that stand to benefit most from a conversation regarding donation to charity and philathropy.

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Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin Rallies Past $72K to New Record High

Advisor Perspectives

Bitcoin rallied past $72,000 this week as its price hit a new all-time high. BTC is currently up ~62% year to date. Here's the latest charts on three of the largest cryptocurrencies by market share through 3/12/24.

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Apex Continues To Make Moves To Compete With Big Three Custodians

Wealth Management

Apex Fintech Solutions announced it acquired AdvisorArch, a portfolio management company and rebalancer.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 7.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 8, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 7.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

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An Artist’s Estate Wants a Say in How the Media Portrays Her Life

Wealth Management

The case of Ana Mendieta raises issues about who controls our stories after we're gone.

Media 107
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What Research Says About Likability, Client Compliance, and Your Value

Advisor Perspectives

There’s a lot of discussion about why prospects hire you, why they don’t follow your advice, and the value you add. Much of this discussion isn’t based on research, which is curious because there are studies on each subject.

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Perfect Storm of Estate Planning Challenges

Wealth Management

Will you be there to help clients with wills, trusts and estate planning needs?

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Baby Boomer Employment Across Time

Advisor Perspectives

The 20th century Baby Boom was one of the most powerful demographic events in the history of the United States. We've created a series of charts to show seven age cohorts of the employed population from 1948 to the present.

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Seven Ways Financial Advisors Instantly Appear Salesy

Wealth Management

Seven pitfalls for financial advisors to avoid appearing too salesy.

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Save Taxes With BOXX? It Is Too Good to Be True

Advisor Perspectives

Among the many too-good-to-be-true financial stories is the Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF, known by its ticker BOXX, that offers Treasury bill yields taxed at capital gains rates.

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Baird Picks Up $680M UBS Team in Wisconsin

Wealth Management

The Palm Financial Group has joined Baird’s Madison West office.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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Long-Term Trends in Employment by Age Group

Advisor Perspectives

The labor force participation rate (LFPR) is a simple computation: You take the civilian labor force (people aged 16 and over employed or seeking employment) and divide it by the civilian non-institutional population (those 16 and over not in the military and or committed to an institution). As of February, the labor force participation rate is at 62.5%, unchanged from the previous month.

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Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, PPI

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday: • At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 221 thousand initial claims, up from 217 thousand last week. • At 8:30 AM, Retail sales for February is scheduled to be released. The consensus is for a 0.7% increase in retail sales. • At 8:30 AM, The Producer Price Index for February from the BLS.

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America's Driving Habits as of January 2024

Advisor Perspectives

Travel on all roads and streets decreased in January. The 12-month moving average was down 0.1% month-over-month and was up 1.6% year-over-year. If we factor in population growth, the 12-month MA of the civilian population-adjusted data (age 16-and-over) was up 0.1% MoM and up 1.0% YoY.

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