This site uses cookies to improve your experience. To help us insure we adhere to various privacy regulations, please select your country/region of residence. If you do not select a country, we will assume you are from the United States. Select your Cookie Settings or view our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Used for the proper function of the website
Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Strictly Necessary: Used for the proper function of the website
Performance/Analytics: Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
To prove their point, a number of friendly commentators, academics, and hired guns all wrote endless white papers, Op-Eds and commentaries. But they made one super-sized mistake: they cheated with the numbers. ” A bit of quick math: 726,600/0.987 = 736,170 (starting point). 726,600 – 736,170 = -9,570.
The challenge in writing How NOT to Invest was organizing a large number of ideas, many of which were only loosely connected, into something coherent, understandable, and, most importantly, readable. Bad Numbers : 4. We evolved in an arithmetic world, so we are unprepared for the exponential math of finance. It is March 18th!
The more appropriate number — Gov’t Consumption Expenditures and Gross Investment — is $4.9893T ($4.9893/$29.1838 = 17.1%). ” “ Transfer Payments ,” for the uninitiated, include such things as Social Security benefits. Both the Wall St. Both the Wall St. Pay attention.
This is more than overconfidence, the DKE is how poorly we are at metacognition assessing our own abilities at a specific task Look at the history of performance and the small number of professional investors who outperform their benchmarks over 1, 5, 10, and 20 years. What are some examples of bad numbers? What are some examples?
The ultrarich are growing in numbers, and changing wealth as we know it. ( Imagine if every sentence in a story were expected to contain the same number of alphanumeric characters. Or why we need less math in music theory. ( Tablet ) see also Welcome to the New Military-Industrial Complex. Everyone else hasnt.
This was impossible, and I said so: Either you guys are either going to win the Nobel prize in economics or go to jail. These two possibilities a 10-fold increase versus a 90% drop are roughly symmetrical in terms of math (but probably not probabilities). That was the pitch for securitized subprime mortgages (MBS).
Most economic downturns hit lower-income Americans hardest, but this time is different. Wall Street Journal ) • From Math Camp to Handcuffs: FTX’s Downfall Was an Arc of Brotherhood and Betrayal : Gary Wang and Sam Bankman-Fried are offering dueling accounts of the FTX fiasco and of who’s ultimately to blame.
But most of all, it was just simple maths according to Druck. The easy part is over. Barron’s ) • The Bear Market’s Survivors Share Their Biggest Lessons : With the S&P 500 in the longest bear market since 1973, individual investors maneuver differently from just months ago. The first was don’t lose money. I don’t like to lose.”
My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. The leading economic indicators show the U.S. So doesn’t it make sense to cut risk and stick to the safety of cash?
Case number one is price neutral to Bitcoin. Case number two is net negative for Bitcoin. Case Number One Let's return to case number one above: The merchant not only accepts Bitcoin but also holds it. Bitcoin Accepted Here What happens if increasing numbers of merchants accept bitcoin but do it hold it.
Recession-proof businesses are more than just smart, they’re essential when economic uncertainty hits. Content related to challenging financial times Final thoughts: Start building a recession-proof business today Recession-proof businesses can thrive despite an economic downturn. Should I start a business during a recession?
3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: International Trade in Goods. Source: Investor’s Business Daily, Econoday economic calendar; January 5, 2024 The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. Math errors: Simple addition and subtraction mistakes can delay your return. News of unemployment remaining steady at 3.7%
As it turns out, there are ways you can use data to your advantage, even if you’re not a math wizard. And everyone answers for, except for the person they hire, whose answer was, what number did you have in mind? the number of periods over one, three, five, and 10 years where it beats its benchmark is extremely high.
This meant that there was very little demand for debt and so increasing the supply of potential loans was like an apple cart salesman increasing the number of apples he sells with the hope that more supply would create its own demand. The only people who say interest rates have had no material impact on economic growth are Americans.
A Glimpse into the Past: The Historical Giants In order to understand the potential growth trajectory to a $10 trillion company, we must first examine the economic giants of the past. The Math Behind the Growth Let’s take a step back and think about what it would take for a company like Apple to reach a $10 trillion market cap.
Its just basic math. Theres one common theme in the big tech company boom right now: recent advances in AI have surprised the business world as software is suddenly able to display human-like reasoning in a rapidly growing number of fields. What if the Earnings are Rising? 4.3% – 5.3% bonds: 4.3% – 5.3% Wow look at that.
Recession-proof businesses can thrive despite an economic downturn. GDP is how overall economic activity is measured for a country. So, if you’re looking for recession-proof business ideas to switch into, then keep reading to find out which ones have the best chance of riding out an economic storm. Retail consignment.
And so, coming out of school, I studied Economics and Spanish Literature, and I applied to a — a program that actually targeted Liberal Arts majors. I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that …. It was at Bank One, at the time. BITTERLY MICHELL: … was — no, no.
One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. New York is number one. Two reasons.
She has had a number of different positions within PIM, including managing their flagship core real estate fund. She has lived and invested through not just the great financial crisis, but the SNL crisis and a number of other fascinating experiences in real estate. If there was an error in a report or a number, I went ballistic.
Heather comes from with a fascinating background, having previously been in a number of other places, most notably Morningstar, and, and she has a very specific approach to investment management and thinking about stock selection. They do a number of things at Diamond Hill that many other investment shops don’t.
00:17:50 You wanna know why Dara reported for Uber that again, their number of employees was down quarter of over quarter. It’s 10 blue links, but it’s an infinite number of blue links. So remember data and data infrastructure, that is the number one primitive to ai. So here’s the math, Barry.
And they do that for 35 years tweaking numbers I go you won, you won the game. Number one, everybody has credit cards, everybody misunderstands how to use them, and there are actually some secret perks that people have no idea about. In fact, here’s the phone number you call, and you will get your $37 fee waived.
A Glimpse into the Past: The Historical Giants In order to understand the potential growth trajectory to a $10 trillion company, we must first examine the economic giants of the past. The Math Behind the Growth Let’s take a step back and think about what it would take for a company like Apple to reach a $10 trillion market cap.
it had grown so influential, and had become so widely accepted, that it was less a hypothesis than a commandment from God in heaven passed down through his economic prophet of the Windy City. There are a number of consequences to market efficiency," Fama said, facing the classroom. I'm not aware of anyone else. Tell them to flip.
Let’s bring in some numbers. That requires a little more math (or a HELOC calculator , whichever you prefer). If your number is too high, you may not be eligible to take on more debt. Each lender sets its own standards, but most look for a number under 40%. You’ll then turn the result into a percentage.
These credits and deductions reflect Louisianas policy goals, such as supporting families, encouraging education, and promoting economic development. Understanding these benefits can lead to significant savings and should be a key part of your tax preparation strategy. Keeping copies of all submitted documents is also advisable.
Which has in turn triggered the more skittish stock investors to run for the exits and completely change their view of our economic future, flooding the financial news with red ink and scary headlines. Now that we’ve covered the background, we can get into some better news: This is all a normal, healthy part of the economic cycle.
And when I was studying in university economics, I did not really get the passion. And so, I write about it both — I do know, the simple maths about it how you can double shop ratios for uncorrelated strategies and then remind that it’s really difficult to find for uncorrelated strategies in long-only world. ILMANEN: Yes.
We remain highly dubious of price-to-earnings ratios as a proxy for value given earnings can be distorted by “creative” accounting and the measure embeds a range of factors into a single number. Specifically, economics has a half-life of 9.4 Maths has a long half-life and a DCF correctly done accounts for inflation.
Unlike federal forms, Hawaii tax forms often include state-specific adjustments and considerations that reflect the unique economic and social environment of the islands. Common Tax Filing Errors Some frequent mistakes include incorrect Social Security numbers, math errors, missing signatures, and failing to report all income.
The New Normal It is difficult for investors and individuals alike not to have been directly impacted by the rapid rise in inflation in 2021 and 2022, the succeeding interest rate hikes by global central banks and the ensuing effects these economic events have had on financial markets, including the mortgage market.
Or at least the top, pick a number, 30, 40%. I don’t remember the number. ” 29, 87, 74, just pick any 50 plus percent number and certainly 2000 and ’08, ’09, a major index gets cut in half. So you’re talking about an average of a large number. Less, 20, 30%? And — RITHOLTZ: What?
And since 2022 is becoming a year of interesting financial changes, it’s time to spark things up again, go back to our roots, and start covering some of the many subjects that are cropping up in this latest incarnation of our economic world. So I did the math on that too**. What would you do in the following situation?
political and economic system, wondered if the divisions among people had grown in the last 50 years and if Buffett had any words of wisdom to help narrow the political divide. That can work for a while and sometimes climbs to extraordinary numbers, but it comes to a bad ending. stocks, the productive asset!
political and economic system, wondered if the divisions among people had grown in the last 50 years and if Buffett had any words of wisdom to help narrow the political divide. That can work for a while and sometimes climbs to extraordinary numbers, but it comes to a bad ending. stocks, the productive asset!
In real numbers, that works out to 57 million people! Data entry jobs are one of the best entry level work from home jobs where you are behind a computer or laptop, and you input data – numbers or any other information such as phone logs into a database. Accountant This requires some job training and a love of numbers.
KCP Group ). • Your Career Is Just One-Eighth of Your Life : Five pieces of career advice, shaped by economics, psychology, and a little bit of existential math. ( History by numbers : Is history a matter of individual agency and action, or of finding and quantifying underpinning structures and patterns? The Atlantic ). •
Building multiple passive income streams has an additional benefit in the short term: it can make you more resilient and better able to weather economic shocks, such as what was experienced with the past housing crisis and global pandemic. This is your nest egg. We’ll come back to this. All you, as the investor, have to do is put up the cash.
You graduate Harvard in 1990, with an Economics and Computer Science degree, perfect for the explosion of the Internet; a PhD from MIT and Information Technology in ‘96. WENGER: No, we’ve definitely always been disciplined on valuation, and we’ve let a number of things go. And sometimes you’re very happy at that.
The platform had punched above its weight in pure user numbers thanks to an unrivaled ability to both distribute real-time information and make expertise available. Real Estate Bust Exposes Big Divide At the heart of the country’s economic and social crisis is a broken housing market, which has amplified social divisions.
Peter Borish, founding partner number two at Tudor Investments where he worked directly with Paul Tudor Jones, most famously helping him put on a very aggressive short position heading into the ’87 crash. .” RITHOLTZ: So literally number two at the firm? And so it’s one of these things that math works.
Number one, and I think they both reflect strong leadership at the firms. Number one, you had, you know, somewhat of a groundswell from within the firm, certainly at leadership that said we need to figure out a way to do something. RITHOLTZ: What’s some of the economic sectors within that area? SHAW: Yeah.
RITHOLTZ: There’s safety in numbers. since the ‘80s regarding economic mobility, that there used to be a huge ability to move up, or at least be in a better situation than your parents were. Tell us about how you saw this lack of diversity and the lack of economic mobility. The numbers are correct. MIELLE: Correct.
We organize all of the trending information in your field so you don't have to. Join 36,000+ users and stay up to date on the latest articles your peers are reading.
You know about us, now we want to get to know you!
Let's personalize your content
Let's get even more personalized
We recognize your account from another site in our network, please click 'Send Email' below to continue with verifying your account and setting a password.
Let's personalize your content