Dear Mr. Market

AUGUST 5, 2022

We’re currently seeing one of the largest disparities in valuations between growth and value stocks which in our opinion presents a very appealing opportunity for dividend seeking investors. The Top 10 Dividend Growth Portfolio was actually created last year and began trading live in January of 2022.

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Validea

JANUARY 4, 2023

In reviewing the returns for our portfolios in 2022, which were difficult for the markets and investors, things mostly played out as you may have expected as we look back with hindsight, although there are a few surprises and important lessons I think we can draw from the results. in 2022 vs. a 19.4% Were there any major surprises?

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Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2022

After a painful start to 2022, the stock market surged last month, with the S&P 500 index gaining a respectable +3.6%, while the technology-heavy NASDAQ index rose by +3.4%. They certainly could, but valuations remain attractive given where interest rates currently stand. unemployment rate; record 11.3m Source: Yardeni.com.

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Dear Mr. Market

MARCH 17, 2024

EOG is poised to breakout and trades at bargain valuation of about nine times earnings (relative to the S&P at 23 times earnings and a touch under the overall energy sector of 12 times earnings). That said, it loses early in round one simply due to us believing it’s close to full valuation and due for a breather.

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Validea

SEPTEMBER 29, 2022

There’s no sugarcoating it — 2022 hasn’t been kind to investors. The downturn in stocks and other assets reflect a number of concerning things. Second, if investors aren’t willing to assign the same valuation to stocks (due to higher interest rates and uncertainty), that also has a negative effect. Stocks are down.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The growth vs. value debate has been pretty one-sided in 2022, with value outperforming growth for a sustained period for the first time in almost 15 years. Value vs. Growth – Value Takes 2022. Increasing the discount rate, which lowers the present value of future cash flows, and company valuations. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. You may also be interested in: How Much Higher Can Rates Go? – September 19, 2022. Getting Jobs Market Back into Balance – September 12, 2022.

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Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

After this meteoric multi-year rise, stock values started to come back to earth in 2022, and the rocket ship turned into a roller coaster during January. This article is an excerpt from a previously released Sidoxia Capital Management complimentary newsletter (February 1, 2022). www.Sidoxia.com. Slome, CFA, CFP®.

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James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

Here are some of our lessons learned from 2022. One of the lessons learned in 2022 was to never underestimate our central bank’s resolve to squelch inflation. At the start of 2022, markets expected the upper bound of the fed funds rate to stay below 1%. economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

We won’t predict a soft landing, but there is a plausible scenario where a mild recession comes in 2023, the S&P 500 does not retest its June 2022 lows, and stocks are nicely higher in a year. We maintain our preference for equities over fixed income and cash in our recommended tactical asset allocation. Conclusion.

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James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) changed its recommended asset allocation for July, shifting from core bonds to small cap equities.

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James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Retail sales data from the Census Bureau (we focus on the Retail Sales excluding Food Service, Autos, Building Materials, and Gas Stations statistics) has shown year-over-year growth, slow from the average mid-teens numbers seen in 2021, to a still healthy upper-single digits number in 2022 [Figure 2]. over the last 20 years, pre-2020.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 22, 2022

Recent wholesale inflation tells a similar story of a peak in pricing pressures, which has been the expectation of the Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) at LPL Research. You may also be interested in: Inflation and Rising Rates Supports Value – November 14, 2022. IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. We could see a retest of 3.5% over the next few months.

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James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. But valuations strongly favor value over growth. The Russell 1000 Growth Index has returned 4.6%

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

in September, temporarily breaking below the June 2022 closing low. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) upgraded its view of duration to neutral. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. currency crisis also contributed to a tough month for stocks.

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James Hendries

DECEMBER 12, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. Core bonds, as measured by the Bloomberg Aggregate Bond index, were up 3.7%

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. times the STAAC’s 2023 S&P 500 earnings per share forecast of $230.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) downgraded its view of emerging market (EM) equities in August. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. Core bonds, as measured by the Bloomberg Aggregate Bond index, lost 2.8%

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James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

MAY 2, 2024

Finomial looked at the excess return generated long only factors like momentum, quality, various valuation metrics and I would add covered call fund to this discussion too. It allocates to equities, managed futures, hedged fixed income and it seeks out "idiosyncratic macro dislocations." A few different things for this post.

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The Better Letter

JANUARY 26, 2024

In late August 2022, he claimed that “ [t]he biggest crash of our lifetime is in progress ,” but it wasn’t. In November, he pushed it back to early 2022. 2014 : “What concerns us beyond valuations is the full ensemble of overvalued, overbought, overbullish conditions.” Also, wrong. percent in 2021.

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The Big Picture

MAY 9, 2023

So what we find, and then of course we have a multi-asset solutions business where we talk to clients about the entirety of their portfolio, their strategic asset allocation models. So you’re Chief Investment officer of Asset and Wealth Management. So we start with a strategic asset allocation.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

CHANCELLOR: And look — yeah, but then if you look at the valuation of the market at that time, the market was — the U.S. CHANCELLOR: And look — yeah, but then if you look at the valuation of the market at that time, the market was — the U.S. CHANCELLOR: Well, he sort of — yeah, he thought about it.

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Random Roger's Retirement Planning

FEBRUARY 9, 2023

The funds did well in the Financial Crisis and they did well in 2022 but from 2009 onward, one of his two long standing funds has a negative annual growth rate and the one with a positive growth rate was less than 1/3 of a plain vanilla 60/40 portfolio.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

So there’s been a big push for folks to get the appropriate level of asset allocation in a highly diversified, low cost way. I got to imagine a year like 2022 wasn’t horrible for Vanguard’s asset growth. Go to the decade before 2022, the equity side was something like 13%.

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James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

in 2022— to a more sustainable rate that neither stokes inflation nor stalls economic growth. Higher interest rates are challenging stock valuations and perhaps pushing the gains further out in 2023, but we still see solid potential for double-digit returns for stocks this year. What Does This Mean for You? in 2021 and 2.1%

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The Big Picture

JUNE 13, 2023

RITHOLTZ: I forgot to mention, you have received the Chevalier dans l’Ordre de la Légion d’Honneur by the president of the French Republic in January 2022. I don’t know how relevant that is to asset management, but let’s talk a little bit about you were doing before you were being lauded by the French president.

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The Big Picture

MARCH 26, 2024

He wasn’t tactical asset allocator. Let’s talk about 2022 and 2023. What was 2022 like for you, dealing with a lot of clients and investors concerned about what was going on. What was 2022 like for you, dealing with a lot of clients and investors concerned about what was going on. 22 is a tough year.

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The Big Picture

MARCH 14, 2023

He launched his own firm right into the teeth of the collapse in ’09, which turned out to be quite a fortuitous time to launch an asset management shop. Everybody wants to sell a company when they get a good valuation. BERNSTEIN: I think — RITHOLTZ: Well, 2022, clearly, was a macro investors paradise — BERNSTEIN: Yes.

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The Big Picture

DECEMBER 20, 2022

It’s just a fascinating conversation about looking at the world from both bottoms up and top-down, as well as thinking about what valuations are like, how likely are macro events, the impact you’re getting not just the return on capital, but as famously said in fixed income, a return of your capital. RITHOLTZ: Sure. RITHOLTZ: Wow.

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James Hendries

JULY 6, 2022

While we acknowledge that a V-shaped recovery is probably not in the cards and prior valuation targets no longer appear achievable, we remain constructive on equities for the second half, but not complacent. trillion more in checkable deposits on March 31, 2022 than at the end of 2019 before the pandemic. households held $3.2

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

These runoffs do happen: In 2022 both Georgia Senate seats went to a runoff, as did Georgia Senate election in 1992 and 2008. Barry Gilbert , PhD, CFA, Asset Allocation Strategist, LPL Financial. You may also be interested in: Federal Reserve Preview: TRICK or Treat? – October 31, 2022. All index data from FactSet.

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