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Market Commentary: Stocks and the Economy Show Continued Strength

Carson Wealth

After a large reversal Thursday, stocks bounced back Friday, bolstered by the continued impressive performance of the economy (further details below). Economic growth accelerated over the past year, defying tight policy and expectations. However, the last time this happened was in 2021, and that was followed by a drop of nearly 12%.

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Market Commentary: Is “Sell in May” Still Relevant?

Carson Wealth

The Headline GDP Number Masks a Strong Economy The economy grew 1.6% Excluding these categories provides a much clearer picture of actual spending and production in the economy, i.e., final demand after adjusting for inflation. After adjusting for inflation, the economy is almost 1% larger than the CBO projected.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Tops 5,000. What’s Next?

Carson Wealth

But now we have a healthy economy, well-contained inflation, a Federal Reserve set to cut rates, improving productivity, record earnings, and stocks at all-time highs. As we wrote in our 2024 Outlook, “Seeing Eye to Eye” ( download here ), productivity growth is a game-changer for the economy.

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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

In 2022, positive economic data typically led to a sell-off in the stock market, and weak data often led to a rally. Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. The economy ran above trend last year, despite high interest rates.

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Market Commentary: Slow Start For Stocks Despite Solid Job Gains

Carson Wealth

A “Goldilocks” December jobs report highlights sustained momentum for the economy as it continues its path to normalization. The last time the S&P gained 20% (2021), stocks moved into a bear market the following year (2022), but the nine years before that (and 10 of the last 11) markets gained after a 20% year.

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Market Commentary: What a Month!

Carson Wealth

The economy overall remained firm and the consumer quite healthy all along, but the realization that inflation was no longer a headwind prompted stocks to rise. That’s the lowest reading since March 2021. Fed officials are now acknowledging that inflation can fall even as the economy remains strong and unemployment stays low.

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Market Commentary: Fundamentals May Be Aligned for Solid Stock Gains in 2024

Carson Wealth

ECONOMY The economy saw blockbuster productivity growth in the third quarter. ECONOMY: PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH COULD BE A GAME CHANGER Lost in all the consternation over a weak payroll report this month was robust productivity data, which was released earlier. But this was not because the productive capacity of the economy expanded.