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At the Money: Stock Picking vs. Value Investing 

The Big Picture

Dividends come from earnings, and so those are sort of anchors to valuation. It’s where tech bubble in 2000 is the classic example. Barry Ritholtz : He had a very famous Wall Street Journal piece In, like, late night fourteenth 2000. Present value of future cash flows, any asset is present value of future cash flows.

Investing 297
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Heavy Weights: The Real Story Behind Current Market Concentration

Financial Symmetry

The previous high mark over this period, around the height of the dot-com era in early 2000, appears small in comparison. This means that the expansion of valuation multiples, like price-to-earnings (P/E), has played a big role.2 Data for Panel A and Panel B from 1/1/2000 12/31/2024. Pay attention to valuations.

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Bull Market Signposts: What Happens Before S&P 500 Peaks?

The Big Picture

She observes it is less about the things investors tend to focus on — “technical analysis, geopolitics, behavioral finance and even skirt hemline trends” — and more about specific measures she tracks in sentiment, valuation, macro-economic areas. The table above shows the major market peaks going back to 1990.

Marketing 196
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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Nvidia is not the first giant tech company to trade at a rich valuation. Irrelevant Investor ) see also “No matter how you cut it, you’ve got to own Cisco” (2000) 23 years ago, Fortune magazine’s cover story about networking gear maker Cisco was published. We can’t compare things to the future, so we look to the past.

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Validea’s Top 10 Russell 2000 Stocks – August 2024

Validea

This has made finding fundamentally sound stocks trading at reasonable valuations much easier in the small-cap space than in the S&P 500. Here are the current top 10 Russell 2000 stocks.

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Negative effects of a prolonged bull market

Truemind Capital

Equity markets corrected by more than 50% in 2000-01 and more than 60% in 2007-08 which lasted for 1.5-3 Like the circle of life, good times are followed by bad times, and bad times are followed by good times, stock markets also go through cycles of excessive greed/optimism to excessive fear/pessimism.

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Round Trip

The Big Picture

but the giveback off the highs was substantial: S&P 500 was down ~23%, Russell 2000 was off 27%, and the Nasdaq 100 came down 32%. But we won’t know how big a losing trade it might be until early 2024, when we see the updated valuations. Blame whatever you want – Too far, too fast? End of ZIRP? Too rapid rate increases? –

Economics 246