Tue.Mar 26, 2024

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Tuesday links: moving toward the mean

Abnormal Returns

Markets The equity risk premium is skimpy at the moment. (capitalspectator.com) Higher for longer is helping to push Treasury yields higher. (wsj.com) Books Gary Stevenson’s book “The Trading Game” helps explain the past twenty years in the financial markets. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) What you can learn from Carrie Sun's new book “Private Equity: A Memoir.

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#FA Success Ep 378: Scaling Growth At 1/4th The Cost Of M&A By Wading Through The “No’s” Of SmartAsset Leads, With Michael Collins

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 378th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Michael Collins. Michael is the CEO & Founder of WinCap Financial, an RIA based in Boston, Massachusetts, that oversees $80M in assets under management for 70 client households. What's unique about Michael, though, is that since 2021 he has been able to grow WinCap Financial at a rate of more than $10M of AUM per year through consistently reaching out to leads purchased through SmartAs

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Research links: noisy, unreliable data

Abnormal Returns

ETFs How the existence of sector ETFs affects analyst estimates. (papers.ssrn.com) How mutual funds and ETFs can exist side-by-side. (papers.ssrn.com) Macro Hedging inflation risk is harder than it looks. (insights.finominal.com) How do macro factors affect trend following returns? (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Quant stuff It's not difficult to calculate downside beta.

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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.0% year-over-year in January

Calculated Risk

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for January ("January" is a 3-month average of November, December and January closing prices). This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index. From S&P S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Continues to Trend Upward in January 2024 The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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The Corporate Transparency Act: What You Need to Know

Carson Wealth

By Mike Valenti, CPA, CFP®, Director,Tax Planning LLCs can provide legal protections and a level of anonymity, either or both of which can be beneficial for business owners, investors, and others with valid intentions. But those features also attract criminal activity, and layers of shell companies can create excellent cover for those involved in fraudulent activities.

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More Trending

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Consumer Confidence Inches Down in March

Advisor Perspectives

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index® inched down in March. The index fell to 104.7 this month from February's downwardly revised 104.8. This month's reading was lower than expected, falling short of the 106.9 forecast.

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11 Investment Must Reads This Week

Wealth Management

Non-traded alternative funds have raised nearly $17 billion so far in 2024, according to the latest data from Robert A. Stanger. Some hedge fund managers are looking to launch ETFs amid a boom in actively-managed funds, reports ETF Stream. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for financial advisors.

Investing 110
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Banks’ New Trick Won’t Make Their Risks Disappear

Advisor Perspectives

One big reason the global financial system nearly collapsed in 2008 was that banks had shifted risks into the shadows, relying on insurance-like instruments that proved incapable of absorbing losses.

Banking 105
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Comments on January House Prices, FHFA: House Prices Declined Slightly in January

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.0% year-over-year in January; FHFA: House Prices Declined Slightly in January, up 6.3% YoY Excerpt: S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for January ("January" is a 3-month average of November, December and January closing prices).

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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$750M Advisor Joins Raymond James from Schwab

Wealth Management

Lynette Ancona will be part of Raymond James’ employee advisor channel. Previously, she was a branch-based advisor with Charles Schwab.

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A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices

Calculated Risk

Two key points: 1) There is a clear seasonal pattern for house prices. 2) The surge in distressed sales during the housing bust distorted the seasonal pattern. This was because distressed sales (at lower price points) happened at a steady rate all year, while regular sales followed the normal seasonal pattern. This made for larger swings in the seasonal factor during the housing bust.

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RIA Edge Podcast: Modern Wealth's Mike Capelle on Lessons Learned at United Capital, Goldman Sachs

Wealth Management

RIA executive Mike Capelle shares his vision for Modern Wealth Management to become a nationwide, “holistic” wealth management firm for the mass affluent.

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Wednesday: Mortgage Applications

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday: • At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Stifel Faces $2.2M in FINRA Penalties for Poor ETP Oversight

Wealth Management

Stifel Financial will pay more than $2.2 million to settle FINRA charges it poorly supervised non-traditional ETP recommendations.

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Three Questions Every Growth-Minded Advisor Must Answer

Advisor Perspectives

Effective marketing requires intention and a gut check. You need to honestly assess where your business is today before investing your time and efforts to get where you want to go.

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Dynasty/F2 Survey Highlights Benefits of 'Partnered' Independence

Wealth Management

The survey found RIAs that work with wealth management platforms—like Dynasty's—grow significantly faster and have higher valuations than standalone firms.

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My Top 10 Peeves

Discipline Funds

I wrote a fun new paper about the top 10 thing s in finance and economics that are my pet peeves. The article was inspired by the wonderful Cliff Asness paper from 2014 in which he debunks many common finance myths. Many of the things that annoy Cliff also annoy me, but I tend to get more annoyed by bad economic narratives. So, while this paper will never match up to the brilliant thinking of someone like Cliff I hope it’s a useful and different angle on some bad narratives that I wish wou

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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ETFs with the Worst Three-Year Returns

Wealth Management

Funds focused on clean energy and cannabis performed the worst over the last three years.

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Animal Spirits: The Roaring Twenties

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by TBIL and the US Benchmark Series: See here for more information on investing in TBIL and the US Benchmark Series See here to register for The Compound Insider On today’s show, we discuss: Why the roaring twenties left many Americans poorer Lots more on the big can kick in commercial real estate The $27T Treasury market is only getting bigger Hey ChatGPT, why isn&#821.

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California CPA Firm Unveils WFY Wealth Management

Wealth Management

Wright Ford Young & Co. launched its new division on the Integrated Partners platform.

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FHFA House Price Index Falls for First Time Since August 2022

Advisor Perspectives

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) house price index (HPI) fell to 417.5 in January, its first decline since August 2022. U.S. house prices decreased by 0.1% from the previous month and are up 6.4% from one year ago. After adjusting for inflation, the real index was down 0.2% month-over-month and up 4.7% year-over-year.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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3 strategies for working with millennials

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Liz DeCarlo, MDRT Content Manager The “me” generation, self-absorbed, high-maintenance. These stereotypes are often used to describe millennials, said Aaron L. Hammer, LUTCF , in his presentation at the 2017 Annual Meeting. But there are also other words that apply to them: independent, positive, multi-taskers, tech-savvy, hungry for information, optimistic.

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Gasoline Prices Rise to Highest Level Since October

Advisor Perspectives

Gas prices increased for a fourth straight week, jumping to their highest level since October. As of March 25th, the prices of regular and premium gas each increased 7 cents from the previous week. The WTIC end-of-day spot price for crude oil closed at $81.95, down 0.3% from last week.

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The Threat to Economic Growth of Rising U.S. Debt-to-GDP Ratio

Wealth Management

It could lead to lower equity returns for Investors.

Economics 115
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Durable Goods Orders Rise More Than Expected in February

Advisor Perspectives

New orders for manufactured durable goods rose in February, coming in at $277.93B. This is a 1.4% increase from the previous month and more than the expected 1.2% growth. The series is up 2.6% year-over-year (YoY). If we exclude transportation, "core" durable goods were up 0.5% from the previous month and up 1.3% from one year ago.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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How to Handle a Forced Early Retirement, Ep #212

Financial Symmetry

Retirement can hit us with numerous curveballs. One of those could happen right out of the gate–being forced with an early retirement. We all know that layoffs are part of the corporate landscape. While they are commonplace, when you are … Continued The post How to Handle a Forced Early Retirement, Ep #212 appeared first on Financial Symmetry, Inc.

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S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index: Upward Trend Continues in January

Advisor Perspectives

Home prices continued to trend upwards in January as the benchmark 20-city index rose for an eleventh consecutive month. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index revealed seasonally adjusted home prices for the 20-city index saw a 0.1% increase month-over-month (MoM) and a 6.6% increase year-over-year (YoY). After adjusting for inflation, the MoM was reduced to -0.4% and the YoY was reduced to 0.4%.

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Adjusted for Risk: How Advisors Can Differentiate Themselves Via Retirement Strategies

Wealth Management

Dunham Trust's Sal Capizzi details how advisors can bring value to their clients through retirement planning and understanding the different retirement strategies.