Sun.Oct 29, 2023

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week A big regime shift has happened in the economy and financial markets. (ritholtz.com) The bond market bear market is pretty epic. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Byron Wien's 20 rules for investing and life. (ritholtz.com) Why aren't stocks down more? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Remember the guy who forgot the password for a hard drive with 7,002 Bitcoin on it?

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How Much is a 3% Mortgage Worth?

A Wealth of Common Sense

There are always going to be winners and losers in the system under which we operate. Some people will always be doing better than you while some people will always be people doing worse than you. Right or wrong, that’s a feature, not a bug. Most of the time it could take years, decades or even generations to separate the winners from the losers in the economy.

Economy 127
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Sunday links: a strong signal

Abnormal Returns

Bonds Traders are buying the dip in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ($TLT) (wsj.com) Be wary shifting too much of your money into bonds. (humbledollar.com) Strategy Calling for a crash will work at some point, but what happens in the meantime? (awealthofcommonsense.com) 11 lessons learned about investing including 'You are not the next Warren Buffett.

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Other Capital Sources Have Stepped in Amid the Small Bank Retreat on Real Estate Lending

Wealth Management

We talked to MSCI’s Jim Costello about where we are in the commercial real estate cycle and who’s been picking up the smaller banks’ business.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Have a vision, write it down and make it happen

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Matt Pais, MDRT Content Specialist A several years ago, Joe Thomas sat down with a visionary coach. At first the now-11-year MDRT member from Birmingham, Alabama, USA, had been reluctant, thinking the idea was “hokey.” But he gave it a try and has been stunned by the effectiveness of having someone to hold him accountable for the things he wants to hold himself accountable for.

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Blogs On A Plane: Special Bonds Are Blowed Up Edition

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

I wrote most this post on a plane back from Molokai. We went for a short trip, with our psychology being to not want to think we spent too much time in a place where there's less to do than places like Maui. We ended up doing a lot of chilling on the beach, beaches that we mostly had to ourselves. This post looks at several interesting articles in the current Barron's.

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The 2023 WealthStack Study

Wealth Management

How technology is driving the growth of wealth management firms.

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FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected

Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect there will be no change to FOMC policy at this meeting, keeping the target range for the federal funds rate at 5‑1/4 to 5-1/2 percent. On the meeting this week from BofA: " We still do not expect a hike in November, as the Fed is clearly worried about the extent of financial tightening. But today’s robust spending and inflation data keep a December hike on the table, as they are a reminder that the war on inflation has not yet been won." emphasis added And from Goldman Sachs

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Talk Your Book: Investing in Luxury

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Talk Your Book is brought to you by KraneShares: Today we are joined by Brendan Ahern, CIO of Kraneshares to discuss their new Global Luxury Index ETF $KLXY On today’s show, we discuss: The creation of the Luxury ETF Luxury spending dynamics and recessions Getting exposure to China through European companies Demographic trends and the wealth effect Utilizing thematics in a portfolio Finding a better way to i.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of October 29, 2023 • FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected Monday: • At 10:30 AM ET, Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for October. This is the last regional Fed survey for October. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 futures are up 10 and DOW futures are up 30 (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $84.46 per barrel and Brent at $89.39 per barrel.

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Bitcoin Faces Reality Check if ETF Launches Spark ‘Sell-the-News’ Pivot

Advisor Perspectives

Bitcoin has jumped on bets that the first US exchange-traded funds investing directly in the token are set to be approved. The question now is whether an actual green light for the products would spur some profit-taking.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.8% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From STR: U.S. hotel results for week ending 21 October U.S. hotel performance increased from the previous week and showed improved year-over-year comparisons, according to CoStar’s latest data through 21 October. 15-21 October 2023 (percentage change from comparable week in 2022): • Occupancy: 69.0% (-0.8%) • Average daily rate (ADR): US$165.32 (+3.8%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): US$114.04 (+2.9%) emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy r

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Thoughts from the Digital Fixed-Income Evolution

Advisor Perspectives

The data science wave is here, and bond managers must adapt traditional investment processes to harness new technologies and amplify human talent.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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[cdata[ Stock Advice From My Barber ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ Regularly getting a haircut and carrying on conversations with "trusted" service providers opens doors to interesting conversations and unsolicited advice. When we are familiar with someone, we often share ideas, talk about what's going on in our lives, and bring up our job successes and dilemmas. The other day, my barber, who is very proud of his title as Master Barber, gave me.

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RiverFront Strategic Income Fund (RIGS)

Advisor Perspectives

VettaFi’s vice chairman Tom Lydon discussed the RiverFront Strategic Income Fund (RIGS)on this week’s “ETF of the Week” podcast with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.

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A One-Page Financial Plan for a New College Graduate

Ron A. Rhodes

I took a stab at putting together a one-page financial plan for a typical college graduate.

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Quarterly Trading Report – Q3 2023: A Cruel Summer for Trading Volumes?

Advisor Perspectives

Credit volumes witnessed some strong highs and lows in the third quarter. Notably, July—a month where trading volumes are generally steady—saw very inconsistent flows over the month. September, meanwhile, followed historical trends with an increase in primary market supply, reflecting higher volumes in the secondary.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Standing Out in the Herd of Predators

Inside Information

I just got off of a virtual panel discussion for NAPFA, and in the course of a long conversation, I made a point that seemed to surprise the other panelists. I said that brokers and sales agents are essentially predators, wolves in sheep’s clothing, where the sheep are fiduciary advisors, and the clothing is, well, you know what it is: ‘fee-based’ and ‘best interest’ (instead of fee-only and fiduciary).

Sales 40
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Treasury Rout Lures M&G to Buy More as US Stocks Seen Too Risky

Advisor Perspectives

US stocks carry too much risk and buying Treasuries will pay off, according to M&G Plc as the $402 billion fund house navigates the brutal selloff in global markets.

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Fundamental Analysis of Himadri Speciality Chemical – Stock Analysis

Trade Brains

Fundamental Analysis of Himadri Speciality Chemical : From a plant or a pencil to a diamond or even the human body, Carbon is found everywhere. It is one of the reason why Carbon is known as the VIP of the Periodic Table. It is the most important element known to humans. The significance of this element cannot be understated, especially considering its major role in our entire ecosystem.

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Does The Vanguard Value ETF VTV Practice Value Investing?

Advisor Perspectives

In this video, Chuck Carnevale, Co-Founder of FAST Graphs, a.k.a. Mr. Valuation will discuss the concept of value investing and its importance in the world of investing.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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The Modern Music Business

The Big Picture

You don’t know everything. And if you pretend to know everything, those who know something will dismiss you. Used to be a pro knew every record on the chart, now pros have never even heard of an act that goes #1. Ignore the charts. They’re momentary. Today it’s about longevity, streaming pays out for the life of the copyright. Look at the cume, that’s important, but how many streams this week, slicing and dicing, that, i.e. the chart, has never meant less.

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ESG Still Priority Among CFOs

Advisor Perspectives

While environmental, social, and governance criticism remains elevated (and loud) and interest rates are affecting the performance of the related equities and exchange traded funds, ESG-committed investors can find relief on multiple fronts.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • A Record of Pure, Predatory Sadism : Officials in Israel screened footage of the Hamas attack for the press: “What we shared with you, you should know it,” one official said. ( The Atlantic ) see also First, Hamas Took Hostages. Then, It Took Over Their Social Media.

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Consumer Discretionary vs. Staples: What ETFs Can Tell Us

Advisor Perspectives

Despite some signs of slowdown in the economy, the biggest stories in the market still revolve around big tech earnings and artificial intelligence.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.