Fri.Mar 01, 2024

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Friday links: feelings of FOMO

Abnormal Returns

February 2024 A look at asset class performance for February 2024. (allstarcharts.com) Small cap stocks are still down on the year. (on.spdji.com) The momentum factor had a big month. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Markets What's the biggest risk right now? (awealthofcommonsense.com) Stock market concentration is the norm. (acadian-asset.com) Crypto Bitcoin is now worth two Teslas ($TSLA).

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Construction Spending Decreased 0.2% in January

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased: Construction spending during January 2024 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,102.4 billion, 0.2 percent below the revised December estimate of $2,105.8 billion. The January figure is 11.7 percent above the January 2023 estimate of $1,882.2 billion. emphasis added Private spending increased and public spending decreased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $

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Podcast links: the rise of the pod shop

Abnormal Returns

The biz Google Podcasts is going away. (wired.com) Finance Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talks multi-strategy hedge funds with Krishna Kumar, a portfolio manager at Goose Hollow Capital Management. (podcasts.apple.com) Patrick O'Shaughnessy talks with Ali Hamed, co-founder and partner at CoVenture. (joincolossus.com) Barry Ritholtz talks concentrated portfolios with Andrew Slimmon, managing director at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.

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Avoiding Burnout & a Mid-Life Crisis

A Wealth of Common Sense

A podcast listener asks: How do you both manage to produce podcasts every week, handle your jobs, write, read, and raise families without burning out? How do you maintain this balance? What strategies do you use to recharge yourselves? Personally, when I go on vacation, I completely disconnect from work, yet I’ve noticed you guys continue podcasting even during your vacations.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Cut Your Losses and Let Profits Run?

Alpha Architect

Be careful before acting on what is considered to be conventional wisdom. Make sure it’s supported by empirical evidence. In this case, the evidence makes clear that “cut your losses and let your profits run” should not be conventional wisdom. Cut Your Losses and Let Profits Run? was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

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DIY Trend-Following Allocations: March 2024

Alpha Architect

Full exposure to domestic equities. Full exposure to international equities. Partial exposure to REITs. No exposure to commodities. Partial exposure to intermediate-term bonds. DIY Trend-Following Allocations: March 2024 was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

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Focus to Merge $10.4B GW & Wade Into The Colony Group

Wealth Management

The combination of The Colony Group and GW & Wade in a $31.5 billion firm marks Focus’s second intra-partnership merger as part of its 'hub' strategy.

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Vehicles Sales Increase to 15.8 million SAAR in February; Up 6% YoY

Calculated Risk

Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for January: U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Bounce Back Nicely in February (pay site). Inventory control was behind part of the month’s gains, but February evened out Januarys’s softness, which included payback for December’s strong results. The combined December-February seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.7 million units is more indicative of current demand, despite the gyrations of the past three months.

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SEC Summit Aims to Raise Awareness of Investor Law Clinics

Wealth Management

The SEC's Investor Advocacy Clinic Summit comes as the number of pro bono law clinics for small clients has shrunk and federal funding dried up.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Episode #523: Whitney Baker on The Death of (Upside) American Exceptionalism

Meb Faber Research

Guest: Whitney Baker is the founder of Totem Macro, leveraging extensive prior buyside experience to create unique research insights for an exclusive client-base of some of the world’s preeminent investors. Previously, Whitney worked for Bridgewater Associates as Head of Emerging Markets and for Soros Fund Management, co-managing an internal allocation with a dual Global Macro […] The post Episode #523: Whitney Baker on The Death of (Upside) American Exceptionalism appeared first on Meb Fa

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RIAs Faced a 213% Spike in Paid Errors and Omissions Claims in 2023

Wealth Management

A report from insurance broker Golsan Scruggs shows large increases in claims involving both the suitability standard and wire fraud in 2023.

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GDP Tracking: Low 2% Range

Calculated Risk

From BofA: This week, we align our 1Q GDP tracking with to our official forecast of 2.5% q/q saar. We still expect consumption growth to slow due to the negative impact from seasonal factors and extreme weather in January. But we have made upward revisions to the non-conconsumer sectors of the economy. [Mar 1st estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: We lowered our Q1 GDP tracking estimate by 0.2pp to +2.2% (qoq ar) and our Q1 domestic final sales forecast by 0.1pp to +2.5% (qoq ar), mainly refle

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A Lesson in Understated Generosity

Wealth Management

Ruth Gottesman’s landmark donation to donate $1 billion to the Albert Einstein College of Medicine receives praise for her no frills approach to giving.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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March 1st COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Due to changes at the CDC, weekly cases are no longer updated. For deaths, I'm currently using 4 weeks ago for "now", since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly. Hospitalizations are almost triple the low of 5,386 in June 2023, however, they have declined significantly from the winter high of 30,013 earlier this year.

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The WealthStack Podcast: Betterment for Advisors' Thomas Moore on What Custodial Competition Means for the Industry

Wealth Management

Thomas Moore, the head of Betterment for Advisors, details how new custodians and increased competition are reshaping wealth management.

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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Moves Sideways in February

Advisor Perspectives

Consumer sentiment moved sideways in February according to the final report for the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The index fell 2.1 points (2.7%) to 76.9 from the January final. The latest reading was below the forecast of 79.6.

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Financial Planning for Families With Disabilities

Wealth Management

Sixty-one million people in the U.S. live with a disability; intergenerational planning for this population is critical.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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RecessionAlert Weekly Leading Economic Index

Advisor Perspectives

The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of February 16th, the index was at 15.819, down 2.184 from the previous week, with 5 of the 6 components in expansion territory.

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Myths and Realities About Special Needs Planning

Wealth Management

Debunking common misconceptions regarding planning with families with special needs.

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ISM Manufacturing Index Contracts for 16th Consecutive Month

Advisor Perspectives

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to 47.8 in February from 49.1 in January. The latest figure marks the 16th consecutive month the index has been in contraction territory after a 29-month period of growth dating back to June 2020. The February reading was below the forecast of 49.5.

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To Walk With You on This Journey

NAIFA Advisor Today

Demetrius Bryant is an insurance agent helping individuals safeguard their income against unforeseen expenses. He runs a multi-line insurance business that has been a NAIFA member since 2011. Through his company, Demetrius offers comprehensive insurance services, including automobile, home, life, and business policies. He believes that protecting one's financial interests is fundamental to improving the overall quality of life.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI™: Fastest Pace Since July 2022

Advisor Perspectives

The February S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI™ rose to 52.2 from 50.7 in January, signaling the strongest improvement in operating conditions since July 2022. The latest reading was higher than the forecasted reading of 51.5.

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The Art of Maximizing Gains and Minimizing Taxes in a World of AI

Investing Caffeine

The AI Wave The weather may be cold during winter, but stocks were scorching hot last month, fueled in part by the surge in performance from AI (Artificial Intelligence) stocks. More specifically, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up +2.2% to 38,996. The S&P 500 surged +5.2% to 5,096. And the AI-heavy Nasdaq index climbed the most by +6.1% to 16,092.

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Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective

Advisor Perspectives

As of February 29, 2024, the 10-year note was 373 basis points above its historic closing low of 0.52% reached on August 4, 2020.

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Duration & Volatility Follow Ups

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Today we have some market opinions and data that serve as good follow ups to our discussion this week about duration and volatility. PIMCO is warning that our excessive debt loads could take the treasury market back to where it was in the 1980's in terms of very high yields like 8, 10 or 12%. We talked yesterday about whether intermediate treasury yields might ever get to 6 or 7%.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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S&P 500 Snapshot: Another Record Close to End the Week

Advisor Perspectives

The S&P 500 finished the week up 1.0%, notching another new record close. The index is currently up 8.31% year to date and has set a new record closing high 15 times so far this year.

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How do I name my financial advisor firm?

Sara Grillo

In this blog I’m going to teach you how to name your financial advisor firm so you can make people’s heads turn and make them pay attention to you! Question from a subscriber: “I want to rename my firm but I can’t think of anything interesting. Help me!” Yup. It’s suuuuppper overwhelming to have to think of a name for a company, a newsletter, a new product, etc.

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Fed’s Williams Repeats Rate Cuts Likely Coming Later This Year

Advisor Perspectives

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said he doesn’t see a need for officials to tighten policy further and reiterated that he expects the central bank to cut rates later this year.

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