Tue.Jan 30, 2024

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Tuesday links: an insatiable curiosity

Abnormal Returns

Markets Should you invest in stocks when they are at all-time highs? (ofdollarsanddata.com) It's not just tech stocks that are working. (allstarcharts.com) Finance Is Reddit really meant to be a public company? (advisorperspectives.com) How much capital can be effectively deployed in the clean energy space? (ft.com) Pharma Vertex Pharmaceuticals ($VRTX) has developed an effective painkiller that seemingly does not risk addiction.

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#FA Success Ep 370: Leveraging Google Reviews To Generate Inbound Local Prospects, With Tim Goodwin

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 370th episode of the Financial Advisor Success podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Tim Goodwin. Tim is the founder of Goodwin Investment Advisory, an RIA based in Woodstock, Georgia, that oversees $275M in assets under management for 370 client households. What's unique about Tim, though, is how he leaned into Search Engine Optimization (SEO) – Google Reviews in particular – coupled with paid search ads to capture consumers actually searching for "financial a

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Research links: an obsolete model

Abnormal Returns

Momentum Does the distance between 21- and 200-day moving averages help predict equity returns? (alphaarchitect.com) Design matters a lot when it comes to CTA momentum-style strategies. (quantpedia.com) Quant stuff How to calculate the risk-free rate implicit in options prices. (papers.ssrn.com) Counterparty risk is real in markets and sports betting.

Investing 179
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17 Thoughts About Money

A Wealth of Common Sense

Some money stuff I’ve been thinking about lately: 1. Freedom is overrated as a financial goal. There are plenty of billionaires who can do whatever they want, whenever they want and spend as much money as they want. Many of these people still seem miserable or don’t take advantage of their perceived freedom. Financial contentment is a better goal than financial freedom. 2. ‘Money can’t buy happines.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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BLS: Job Openings Little Changed at 9.0 million in December

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings changed little at 9.0 million on the last business day of December , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.6 million and 5.4 million, respectively. Within separations, quits (3.4 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) changed little. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hires (da

Numbers 115

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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.1% year-over-year in November

Calculated Risk

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for November ("November" is a 3-month average of September, October and November closing prices). This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index. From S&P S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Upward Trend Decelerates in November The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S.

Assets 114
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13 Investment Must Reads for This Week

Wealth Management

The secular shift from mutual funds to ETFs, including through conversions, shows no signs of letting up in 2024, according to FINSUM. Asset managers that historically catered to institutions continue to roll out new products aimed at advisors, reports FundFire. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors.

Investing 105
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Comments on November Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.1% year-over-year in November Excerpt: S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for November ("November" is a 3-month average of September, October and November closing prices). November closing prices include some contracts signed in July, so there is a significant lag to this data.

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Federal Reserve’s Dilemma Is a Nice Problem to Have

Advisor Perspectives

The latest economic data for the US are better than most dared hope a year ago. Inflation has fallen much faster than the Federal Reserve expected, and so far without the abrupt economic slowdown and higher unemployment that many economists thought likely.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Animal Spirits: Gen Z is on Fire

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by Kraneshares: See here for Kraneshare’s latest 2024 outlooks on China, the carbon market, and managed futures. See here to register for the Future Proof Retreat in March! On today’s show, we discuss: Plummeting inflation raises new risk for Fed: Rising real interest rates GDP, fourth quarter and year 2023 Young people have a lot more wealth than we thought The sec.

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Chart of the Week: The Labor Market Continues to Soften

Discipline Funds

One of the main drivers in the falling rate of inflation has been the consistently softening labor market. The Covid stimulus and recovery resulted in a huge employment surge. The unique nature of the boom and the work from home policies gave workers unprecedented negotiating power. For a brief moment in time it even looked like a return of the 1970s and a wage price spiral was a real possibility.

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‘Hot Sauce’ ETFs Will Thrive Even Without Jim Cramer Funds

Wealth Management

There’s plenty of room for unique exchange-traded funds in a world of passive index investing despite the demise of two inspired by the CNBC host.

Investing 103
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The multiplier of success: A business strategy

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Robert Abbate, FICS, CSA If you work hard as a financial advisor, you’ll likely reach some level of success. Yet, you may not reach your highest potential, and you may experience a lot of frustration if your only strategy is working as many hours as you can. This might feel as if you’re constantly running on a treadmill. If, however, you create and execute a thoughtful business strategy, you can multiply your success with intention and with a lot less frustration.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Savvy Wealth Introduces Investment Management Capabilities

Wealth Management

Savvy Wealth Investment Management is the latest update to the RIA’s responsive, tech-driven platform.

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HVS: Q4 2023 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates

Calculated Risk

The Census Bureau released the Residential Vacancies and Homeownership report for Q4 2023 today. The results of this survey were significantly distorted by the pandemic in 2020. This report is frequently mentioned by analysts and the media to track household formation, the homeownership rate, and the homeowner and rental vacancy rates. However, there are serious questions about the accuracy of this survey.

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Americans’ Working Years Need a Better Ending

Wealth Management

Suppose presidential candidates were genuinely interested in addressing retirement insecurity. Could they find common ground?

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“Soft Landing”: Where Inflation Completes Its Journey Back to Normal Levels While the Economy Stays Healthy

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

Did the Fed pull it off? Are we experiencing the “soft landing” that we’ve been hearing about? Is this the mid-90s again, where Alan Greenspan was leading the charge to a soft landing? Many have heard or read about a soft landing in the news, but some may not have an actual definition of what it means. One definition , according to a speech delivered by Tom Barkin, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, is “where inflation completes its journey back to normal levels while the ec

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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The IRS Is Recruiting an Army to Take on Wealthy Taxpayers

Wealth Management

It's focusing on recruiting those with specialized tax expertise.

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FHFA House Price Index Increases 0.3% in November

Advisor Perspectives

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) house price index (HPI) continued to increase in November, coming in at 417.4. U.S. house prices increased by 0.3% from the previous month and by 6.6% from one year ago. After adjusting for inflation, the real index is up 0.4% month-over-month and up 5.1% year-over-year.

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Valuation of Real Estate Interests In Tiered Entities

Wealth Management

Fundamental principles still apply regardless of structure.

Valuation 107
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Consumer Confidence Hits Two Year High

Advisor Perspectives

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index® hit a two year high in January after climbing 6.8 points. The index increased to 114.8 from December's downwardly revised 108.0. This month's reading was lower than expected, falling short of the 115.0 forecast.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Wednesday: FOMC Statement, ADP Employment, Chicago PMI

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Wednesday: • At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:15 AM, The ADP Employment Report for January. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 130,000 payroll jobs added in January, down from 164,000 added in December. • At 9:45 AM: Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for January.

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S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index: Upward Trend Decelerates in November

Advisor Perspectives

Home prices continued to trend upwards in November, albeit at a slower pace, as the benchmark 20-city index rose for a tenth consecutive month. The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index revealed seasonally adjusted home prices for the 20-city index saw a 0.1% increase month-over-month (MoM) and a 5.4% increase year-over-year (YoY). After adjusting for inflation, the MoM was reduced to -0.4% and the YoY was reduced to -1.2%.

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Understanding Inside Bar Strategy – Types, Strategies & More

Trade Brains

Inside Bar Strategy : As a trader spotting exact opportunities in all market conditions needs the exact understanding of price movements. All the strategies prevalent in the market have their functionality in varying market conditions In this article, we shall discuss one of the prominent candlestick patterns i.e., the inside bar pattern. We shall explore the meaning, formation, and strategy with examples of charts for better understanding.

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Job Openings Rise in December

Advisor Perspectives

The latest job openings and labor turnover summary (JOLTS) report showed that job openings rose to a 3-month high in December. Vacancies increased to 9.026 million from November's upwardly revised level of 8.925 million. The latest reading was higher than the expected 8.750 million vacancies.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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The “January Barometer”: What You Need to Know

Wealthfront

There’s a saying in investing: “As January goes, so goes the year.” Known as the “January barometer,” this adage suggests that the US stock market’s performance in January can help predict positive or negative returns for the remainder of the year. Specifically, if the US stock market has positive returns in January, the theory suggests […] The post The “January Barometer”: What You Need to Know appeared first on Wealthfront Blog.

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Home Ownership Rate: 65.7% in Q4 2023

Advisor Perspectives

Over the last decade, the general trend has been consistent: The rate of homeownership has struggled. The Census Bureau released its latest quarterly report for Q4 2023 showing the latest homeownership rate is at 65.7%, down 0.2% from Q3 2023.

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Key Tax Court Cases on Valuation of Pass-Through Entities: The Early Years

Wealth Management

Developments from 1999 through 2019.

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