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Bad News is Good News?

Investing Caffeine

most recently) and the economy went into recession with GDP (Gross Domestic Product) declining by -2.2%. Bad economic news turned out to be good news for stocks. On the flip side, during 2022, the economy was firing on all cylinders. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. With the whole population locked in their homes and 9.4

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Did Santa Claus Come Early This Year?

Investing Caffeine

Economy Remains Healthy : As mentioned earlier, the constant barrage of recession calls over the last two years has been blatantly wrong. Source: Trading Economics Employment Strength Continues : The labor picture remains strong, as well. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. growth rate (see chart below). www.Sidoxia.com Wade W.

Economy 91
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This Baby Bull Has Time to Grow

Investing Caffeine

With China’s stagnating economy, it has helped our inflationary cause by exporting deflationary goods to our country. Source: Trading Economics Declining inflation and interest rates explain a lot of investor optimism, but there are additional reasons to be sanguine. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. a few months ago to 3.9%

Economy 98
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Air Bags Deployed to Cushion Bank Crashes

Investing Caffeine

In recent years, COVID and a ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) caused out-of-control inflation to swerve the economy in the wrong direction. Source: Trading Economics Unfortunately, this unparalleled spike in interest rates contributed to the 2nd and 3rd largest bank failures in American history, both occurring in March. 3, 2023).

Banking 105
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Mission Accomplished?

Investing Caffeine

The Federal Reserve has a “ dual mandate ” designed to “foster economic conditions that achieve both stable prices and maximum sustainable employment.” More specifically, inflation, according to the just-reported BEA’s (Bureau of Economic Analysis) GDP Price Deflator statistics, has plummeted dramatically to the Fed’s goal of 2.0%

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Consumer Wallets Strong, Rate Hikes Long, What Could Go Wrong?

Investing Caffeine

Cash in consumer wallets and money in the bank help the economy keep chugging along at a healthy clip. Source: Trading Economics As long as consumers continue to hold a job, they will continue spending to buoy economic activity – remember, consumer spending accounts for roughly 70% of our country’s economic activity.

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From Hard Landing to Soft Landing to No Landing?

Investing Caffeine

I haven’t received my pilot’s license yet, but in trying to figure out whether the economy is heading for a hard landing, soft landing, or no landing, I’m planning to enroll in flight school soon! More recently, economic data has been flying in at an accelerating pace, which could mean the economy will stay in the air and have no landing.

Economy 59