Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2023

Commentators continue to shout the doom-and-gloom forecasts of a hard landing recession, but after an economic hurricane in 2022 there are some signs the financial clouds have begun to lift this year. Investors Waiting for Another Flood While the calls for a hard economic landing remain, healthy GDP growth ( +2.9% Prosper.

Economy 59

Economy Economics CFP Investing 59

Bell Investment Advisors

JUNE 17, 2022

Forrest Bell, CFP®. The volatility which has dogged financial markets this year continued during May. stock market declined for several sessions until it was 5.5% bond market logged its first positive monthly return this year, increasing by 0.6%. bond market was also down over 10% before May’s small recovery.

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Investing Caffeine

JUNE 1, 2022

Although the economy is currently very strong (i.e., raise interest rates and reduce balance sheet debt without crippling the economy), then substantial rewards could accrue to stock market investors. Slome, CFA, CFP®. But there are clouds on the horizon. MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH% (M2) VS. GOVERNMENT DEFICIT. www.Sidoxia.com.

Economy 59

Economy Government Economics CFP 59

Bell Investment Advisors

OCTOBER 5, 2022

Forrest Bell, CFP®. Investor optimism carried the global stock market higher during the beginning of September. High inflation puts a consistently unwanted pressure on consumers and on the economy in general. But, as last month’s volatility shows, the market has begun pricing in the possibility of a recession anyway.

Economy 52

Economy CFP Investment Advisor Marketing 52

Investing Caffeine

AUGUST 4, 2022

S o far, 2022 has been a volatile year in the financial markets, and as a result, investors have been on an emotional rollercoaster, questioning whether we are going into a recession, or are already in one? recession” is the NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research), which defines a recession more broadly. Ronald Reagan.

Economy 59

Economy Economics CFP Investing 59

Investing Caffeine

MARCH 1, 2022

As you can see below, the worst economic impact is forecasted to be felt by Russia (consensus on 2/24/22 of approximately a -1.0% hit to economic growth), more than twice as bad as the -0.2% a rounding error and less than 1% of total global economic activity). Source: The Financial Times. Slome, CFA, CFP®.

Economics 59

Economics Accounting Advertising CFP 59

Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2022

The hangover from COVID has created significant supply chain disruptions and widespread economic shortages. Source: Trading Economics. The rising Baker Hughes drilling rig count below reflects the miracle of supply-demand economics operating in full force. Source: Trading Economics. Source: GasBuddy.com.

Economy 59

Economy Economics Valuation Investing 59

Investing Caffeine

MAY 2, 2022

Although I have noted some of the key headwinds the economy faces above, it is worth noting that current corporate profits remain at/near all-time record highs (see chart below) and the 3.6% Market corrections are never comfortable, but successful, long-term investing comes with a price…no pain, no gain! Slome, CFA, CFP®.

Electronics 59

Electronics Economy CFP Government 59

Investing Caffeine

JANUARY 3, 2023

Typically, during weak stock markets (i.e., bear markets”), the bond or fixed income investments in a diversified portfolio act as shock absorbers to cushion the blow of volatile stock prices. Why in particular did bonds perform so poorly this year, when they commonly outperform in slow or recessionary economic conditions?

Economy 59

Economy Transportation CFP Investing 59

Yardley Wealth Management

OCTOBER 6, 2021

Garry, Esquire, CFP©, MBA Founder & CEO. We’re comparing May 2021 to May 2020, when we were still deep into what The Wall Street Journal called a “screwy” pandemic economy. In fact, a bit of inflation goes hand in hand with economic growth and reasonable interest rates for lenders and borrowers alike. What We Know.

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Good Financial Cents

DECEMBER 14, 2022

And while there’s no guarantee that any job will be immune to cutbacks or layoffs, some industries weather economic storms better than others. After all, people will always need financial services, whether investing their money , taking out loans, or managing their taxes. Financial Examiner. Hedge Fund Manager.

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Investing Caffeine

NOVEMBER 1, 2021

With the COVID Delta variant subsiding ( see chart below ), economic activity rising ( Q4 GDP is estimated at +4.8% ), and corporate profits going gang busters (33% growth and 84% of corporations are beating Q3 estimates ), it should come as no surprise that stock market values continue to rise. Slome, CFA, CFP®.

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Government Valuation Economics Investing 52

Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

However, the fact remains the economy remains strong, corporate profits are at record levels, unemployment is low, and interest rates remain at attractive levels despite nagging inflation ( see chart below ) and the removal of accommodative monetary policies by the Federal Reserve. Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED).

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Bell Investment Advisors

JUNE 29, 2023

Market expectations have been persistently underrating what the Fed was going to do and, since they’ve continuously had to readjust those expectations, there’s been a rise in short-term rates. Thank you for that quick market recap. economy today? Economy Today 08:31 Ryan Kelley: Actually, it looks pretty strong.

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Marketing Marketing Banking Numbers 52

Investing Caffeine

MAY 1, 2024

If the stock market was a patient, its 2024 checkup would produce a large smile. in the first four months of the year, thanks to a resilient economy, robust employment, and record corporate profits (see chart below). So, if pain can come from different scenarios, what is your favorite economic dental procedure? • Why so happy?

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Economy Economics Financial Planning Planning 52

Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2024

Nevertheless, investors are choosing instead to focus on the strong fundamentals of the economy. Just this last week, we saw the broadest measurement of economic activity, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), get revised higher to +3.4% Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan. growth during the 4th quarter of 2023 (see chart below).

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Investing Caffeine

OCTOBER 4, 2022

The Fed’s goal is to inflict quick, near-term pain on the economy in exchange for long-term price stability and future economic gains. Source: Trading Economics. Source: Trading Economics. How quickly has the Fed been hiking interest rates? Going forward, the goal is to lift rates to 4.4% by year-end, and then to 4.6%

Economy 59

Economy Economics CFP Investing 59

Investing Caffeine

NOVEMBER 1, 2023

However, the economic impact should not be overstated either. In other words, the hundreds of billions of dollars in financial stock market losses this month are not proportional to the Mideast economic losses incurred thus far. And let’s not forget, economic activity is not dropping to zero. Slome, CFA, CFP® Plan.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economics Accounting 52

Investing Caffeine

JUNE 1, 2023

If you look at the performance summary below, you can see that basically every other segment of the stock market outside of technology (e.g., First of all, smaller companies are more cyclically sensitive to an economic slowdown, and do not have the ability to cut costs to the same extent as the behemoth companies.

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Engineering Accounting Healthcare CFP 105

Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2024

Inflation dropping ( see chart below ), the Federal Reserve signaling a decline in interest rates, low unemployment ( 3.7% ), and healthy economic growth ( +3.3% Q4 – GDP ) have all contributed to the continuing bull market run. When it comes to the financial markets, money continues to go where it is treated best.

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The Better Letter

JANUARY 12, 2023

trillion into the economy in addition to the $4.1 The contracts were based upon Summers’ macro-economic forecast, which turned out to be wildly wrong. Instead, after the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, we entered a period of ultra-low interest rates from which we are only now emerging. Inflation was already hot.

Economy 116

Economy Economics CFP Management 116