James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. The relationship between inflation and stock valuations is a strong one, as shown in Figure 2 , which meant the market could no longer support price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios over 20 (the same goes for the relationship between interest rates and stock valuations).

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

Sara Grillo

NOVEMBER 14, 2022

He is a flat fee advisor; not a licensed insurance agent. I am a CFA® charterholder and financial advisor marketing consultant. I have a newsletter in which I talk about financial advisor lead generation topics which is best described as “fun and irreverent.” Should advisors go to hell before selling an annuity?

Insurance 59

Insurance Financial Advisor Retirement License 59

James Hendries

JULY 3, 2023

Investment Conclusion Stocks have celebrated the newly minted bull market, closing out one of the best first halves for the S&P 500 in recent decades, up 15.9%, and a third consecutive quarterly gain over 7%. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. economy and corporate America have has been impressive.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Banking Valuation 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

One equity market debate discussed frequently in the LPL Research Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) is the growth vs. value style reversal experienced the past 12 months. Increasing the discount rate, which lowers the present value of future cash flows, and company valuations. large cap S&P 500 Index.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. While we acknowledge that interest rates could move higher still, we think the risk/reward profile of adding to rate-sensitive fixed income assets has improved.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing Assets 52

James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) changed its recommended asset allocation for July, shifting from core bonds to small cap equities. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Taxes Investment Advisor 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates. We could see a retest of 3.5%

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Taxes Investment Advisor 52

James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

LPL’s Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) recommends a neutral tactical allocation to equities, with a modest overweight to fixed income funded from cash. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Communication 52

James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Higher interest rates are challenging stock valuations and perhaps pushing the gains further out in 2023, but we still see solid potential for double-digit returns for stocks this year. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 18, 2022

But overall, we would expect modest estimate cuts to be received positively by markets, supported by lower valuations and depressed investor sentiment. rather than 4%) could prop up valuations, stocks will likely take their cues from earnings in the near term. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economics 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 23, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 98

Marketing Marketing Sales Economy 98

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Government Investment Advisor 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

We maintain our preference for equities over fixed income and cash in our recommended tactical asset allocation. Stock valuations are higher but bond yields are still low enough to support valuations with the 10-year Treasury yield well under 3% despite the big jobs number. All index data from FactSet.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) upgraded its view of duration to neutral. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial (LPL), a registered investment advisor and broker/dealer (member FINRA/SIPC).

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) downgraded its view of emerging market (EM) equities in August. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-toearnings valuation ratio. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 22, 2022

Recent wholesale inflation tells a similar story of a peak in pricing pressures, which has been the expectation of the Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) at LPL Research. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 30, 2022

In our Midyear Outlook 2022: Navigating Turbulence , released back in mid-July, we wrote that it was tough to see the bull case through the cloud cover, but that an improved macroeconomic environment may set the stage for higher valuations, further earnings growth, and solid gains for stocks over the rest of the year.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economics 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

James Hendries

JANUARY 26, 2023

Interest rates move higher along with the dollar, weighing on risk assets. Should the Fed pause after a March interest rate hike, the stage may be set for a nice stock market rebound on the back of falling inflation, reasonable valuations, and stable interest rates. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 11, 2022

In addition, a major structural re-organization is in the planning stages that will involve sales of assets and spinning off parts of the international business. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Banking Government 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 25, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economics Economy 52

James Hendries

JANUARY 31, 2023

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Insurance 52

James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Retailer valuations have also taken a hit, as the forward (next 12 months) P/E multiple has contracted ~20% year to date, from ~27x to ~22x currently. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index.

Retail 52

Retail Marketing Marketing Sales 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 1, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Manufacturing Economy 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 3, 2022

We still expect a growing economy, steady, if not solid, earnings gains ahead, and stable interest rates to fuel higher stock prices, although further gains will be more difficult to achieve given the time it will take for inflation to come down enough for the Fed to more strongly signal a pause and higher valuations.

Marketing 98

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 98

James Hendries

JANUARY 20, 2023

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 7, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Insurance 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 20, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

James Hendries

OCTOBER 4, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

James Hendries

JULY 6, 2022

While we acknowledge that a V-shaped recovery is probably not in the cards and prior valuation targets no longer appear achievable, we remain constructive on equities for the second half, but not complacent. Money market assets are also nearly $1 trillion above December 2019 levels. Not out of the woods but some encouraging signs.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 52

James Hendries

JULY 21, 2022

Lower inflation tends to bring higher valuations (Fig.1). The market clearly does not expect 8 – 9% inflation to persist based on current stock valuations, but whether inflation eventually settles at 3% or 4% will go a long way toward determining how much higher stock valuations can go from current levels. If the U.S.

Management 52

Management Marketing Marketing Valuation 52

James Hendries

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

Another rating downgrade by a major rating agency would likely call into question use of Treasury securities as risk-free assets, which would have major financial implications globally. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Government Economy 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

Barry Gilbert , PhD, CFA, Asset Allocation Strategist, LPL Financial. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Government Banking 52