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Equity markets at a crossroads – What is the way forward?

Truemind Capital

The liquidity support since 2008 and massive stimulus post March 2020 has inflated all the asset prices be it equity, debt, or real estate. However, we can think of three possible scenarios ahead: Irrespective of what scenario will pan out, equity valuations inevitably have to adjust according to the principle of mean reversion.

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Myth-Busting with Momentum: How to Pursue the Premium

ClearMoney

As with many things in life, the truth is somewhere between the extremes: While both simulated and real-world data suggest momentum may not be suitable as a driver of long-term asset allocations, we believe momentum considerations can be integrated in a cost-effective way to help inform daily portfolio management decisions.

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The time has finally come

Truemind Capital

In good times i.e. when the market valuations are usually very high, everyone agrees to the logic of buying low and selling high. Not understanding the role & importance of tactical asset allocation (overweight debt in euphoric times and overweight equity in a time of acute pessimism) in creating superior returns over the long term.

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Insane Gain After Fed & Ukraine Pain

Investing Caffeine

As I pointed out last month, we are coming off a heroic advance over the last three years (2019/2020/2021) with the S&P 500 soaring +90%. They certainly could, but valuations remain attractive given where interest rates currently stand. Source: Yardeni.com. Could the headwinds previously described cause prices to go lower?

Economy 59
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March Madness: Final Four Investing Bracket 2024

Dear Mr. Market

EOG is poised to breakout and trades at bargain valuation of about nine times earnings (relative to the S&P at 23 times earnings and a touch under the overall energy sector of 12 times earnings). That said, it loses early in round one simply due to us believing it’s close to full valuation and due for a breather.

Investing 105
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From Rocket Ship to Roller Coaster

Investing Caffeine

T he stock market has been like a rocket ship over the last three years 2019/2020/2021, advancing +90% as measured by the S&P 500 index, and +136% for the NASDAQ. After this meteoric multi-year rise, stock values started to come back to earth in 2022, and the rocket ship turned into a roller coaster during January.

Math 52
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Managing Liquidity in the Coronavirus Market

Brown Advisory

Managing Liquidity in the Coronavirus Market ajackson Mon, 03/30/2020 - 16:04 This article was written by Sid Ahl, Taylor Graff, Adam King and J.R. Consider how we defined investment risk in our 2018 asset allocation publication, Confronting the Unknown: “The probability that a portfolio will not meet an investor’s needs.”