Remove 2007 Remove Economics Remove Numbers Remove Portfolio
article thumbnail

10 Tuesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. The leading economic indicators show the U.S. 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis 7. 1987 Crash 3.

Insurance 130
article thumbnail

How To Craft A 30-Stock, Sector-Neutral Portfolio

Fortune Financial

One topic I have not touched on in a while is portfolio construction, so I wanted to dedicate this post to the reasons why a sector-neutral portfolio makes sense, and to give investors some ideas for creating their own. The first step is to decide how many positions you want to hold in the portfolio.

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Don’t Ask An Economist Where the GDP Is Headed

Validea

Wall Streeters give a lot of credence to economic forecasts at the start of every year, as corporations project demand and craft their budgets and money managers plan out their strategies for the next year. for 2020 while the real number was -2.8%. Some years saw a bigger discrepancy; in 2019, the median prediction was 1.8%

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Stocks Are Quite Resilient

Carson Wealth

There are certainly more questions than answers right now, and yes, the odds of a recession have increased as banks will tighten lending, which could lead to an economic slowdown. Still, economic data is improving. Recent sentiment polls show a high number of bears while worries about the economy and earnings continue to expand.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: S&P 500 Index Hits a New All-Time High

Carson Wealth

While new highs were set before bear markets in 1987, 2000, 2007, and 2020 in recent memory, the market has also made spectacular gains following new highs. We believe the first interest rate cut may come in May, unless inflation data over the next six weeks surprises to the downside or we get terrible payroll numbers.

article thumbnail

Market Commentary: Fundamentals May Be Aligned for Solid Stock Gains in 2024

Carson Wealth

The third quarter’s blockbuster productivity data follows a hot number from the prior quarter, when productivity rose 3.5% (annualized). Economic output regained its pre-pandemic level by the first quarter of 2021, with 8 million fewer workers, which translated to higher productivity per worker. What About Artificial intelligence (AI)?

article thumbnail

How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

Meaning, you do not get the 8-10% long-term gains without living through a significant number of market events, ranging from cyclical drawdowns to longer secular bear markets, and full-on crashes. The first bear I experienced was utterly meaningless economically but still felt bad. In fact, it felt horrible.

Marketing 335