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A Spectacularly Underappreciated 15 Years

The Big Picture

From March 2000 to the double lows October 2002 and March 2003, the Nasdaq 100 fell 82.9% (peak to trough). See also Lazy Portfolios rolling returns. For two decades, every dip purchase was soon rewarded. It takes a while to change behavior. Look at the dotcom implosion (and the September 11 terrorist attacks).

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Observations to Start 2023

The Big Picture

– Dot Com Implosion, March 2003 : After making a provisional low in October 2002, the dot com collapse reached its nadir in March 2003 coinciding with the launch of the Iraq invasion by the United States. The rally from those lows were close to a market double by the time we saw the next peak in October 2007.

Economy 328
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Where is This Rally Going?

The Big Picture

Those of you looking for income might consider putting fresh money to work building a bespoke muni portfolio, or buying the appropriate muni fund for your circumstances. ( February 4, 2013) Looking at the Very Very Long Term (November 6, 2003) Bull & Bear Markets The post Where is This Rally Going? we are happy to help ).

Taxes 288
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How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

My portfolio was tiny; I had no 401k, and my wife’s 403(b), with less than a decade’s worth of contributions, was barely 5-figures. The GFC and the pandemic were global phenomena; the 2022 market was the worst since 1981 for a 60/40 portfolio. By the mid-to-late-1990s, I was switching careers from law to finance.

Marketing 336
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Strategy of the Week: The Peter Lynch P/E/Growth Investor Model

Validea

Model Performance & Return History Since its inception on Validea in 2003, the 20-stock, monthly rebalanced Peter Lynch-based portfolio has delivered a 1,142.0% Long-Term Performance : With a cumulative return over 1,100% since 2003, the strategy has proven effective for disciplined, long-term investors.

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Avoiding Overly Sophisticated Portfolios

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Let's continue the conversation about all-weather generically and then the Cockroach Portfolio. First a comparison of the Permanent Portfolio Mutual Fund (PRPFX) versus a 60/40 portfolio comprised of two Vanguard mutual funds. Putting 20% in VIXM pretty much doomed that version of the portfolio. This period is noteworthy.

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The Contrarian’s Guide: Inside David Dreman’s Value Investment Strategy

Validea

A 10-stock portfolio based on his criteria returned 79.2% over five years from 2003-2008, nearly quadrupling the S&P 500’s gain. The strategy showed particular strength in 2003, 2004, and 2006, with returns exceeding 30% in each of those years. The portfolio maintained a beta of roughly 1.0,