The Big Picture
DECEMBER 1, 2023
The chart above shows that 84% of CEOs are forecasting a recession over the next 12 months, 69% of Consumers saying the same thing, with the yield curve predicting a 61% chance of a contraction. The problem is those sets of forecasts is already 2 months old, dated October 3, 2023. It was before the very encouraging CPI, Unemployment, and GDP data releases.
Abnormal Returns
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Markets The performance of major asset classes in November 2023. (capitalspectator.com) Even after November's rally low volatility stocks are still down on the year. (on.spdji.com) The magnificent seven stocks are having a big 2023, in part because they had a rough 2022. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Charlie Munger Charlie Munger perferfected the art of being a second-in-command.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
The Big Picture
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Welcome to December! Our end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • S&P 500’s Historic 8.9% Rally Blindsides Skeptics on Wall Street : The US stock market just posted its best month in almost a year and a half, and one of its best Novembers in decades, defying skeptics and fueling hopes for more gains to come. ( Bloomberg ) • Dimensional Fund Advisors Reaps $100B More in Assets With ETFs : The firm has $100 billion in assets under management in its nearly 40 exchange-traded funds, even though it
Abnormal Returns
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Listening Young Americans are boosting their consumption of spoken audio. (edisonresearch.com) A look at your best options for audiobooks. (wsj.com) The Castro podcasting app may be going away. (sixcolors.com) Substack is adding video creation tools. (washingtonpost.com) Lists The best podcasts of 2023 including “The Big Dig.” (newyorker.com) The top podcasts of 2023 via Apple Podcasts, including the Huberman Lab.
Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem
Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.
Nerd's Eye View
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that the U.S. Supreme Court heard arguments this week in the case of SEC v. Jarkesy, which in a narrow sense focuses on the SEC's use of in-house Administrative Law Judges to hear securities law cases rather than traditional Federal jury trials, but in a broader sense could call into question the SEC's (and other government agencies') authority to make rules and enforce laws in
Financial Advisor Source brings together the best content for financial advisor professionals from the widest variety of industry thought leaders.
A Wealth of Common Sense
DECEMBER 1, 2023
I heard an old Norm Macdonald joke once that went something like this: An optimist looks at the glass as half full. A pessimist looks at the glass as half empty. I’m a pessimist and I look at the glass as half full…but I might have bowel cancer. I am a glass-is-half-full guy but tend to lean optimistic unlike Norm. Just think about all that we’ve accomplished as a species.
Wealth Management
DECEMBER 1, 2023
As the first AI-powered GPT assistant for financial advisors, SIFA is on a mission to automate ongoing communications between advisors and their clients.
Calculated Risk
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.0% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 6.9% below recent peak Excerpt: It has been over 17 years since the bubble peak. In the September Case-Shiller house price index released this week, the seasonally adjusted National Index (SA), was reported as being 69% above the bubble peak in 2006.
The Irrelevant Investor
DECEMBER 1, 2023
The S&P 500 is up 21% year-to-date. “Wait, what?” you might be thinking. Yep, it’s true. 21%. This number might not surprise index fund holders, but it’s likely to stun individual stock pickers. The S&P 500 is outperforming 73% of the stock in the index! Seven deadly stocks are driving an Andre the Giant-sized hole through the performance of the S&P 500 and the performance of the S& The post 7 Deadly Stocks appeared first on The Irrelevant Investor.
Advertisement
As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.
Trade Brains
DECEMBER 1, 2023
In a city where nearly half of the population lives in slums, working their backs off to afford that extremely simple roof over their heads, there are some people who control large portions of land, passed down through generations or gifted decades ago in a city where land is scarce and where every square foot of space brings a huge premium. The city holds countless secrets close to its heart, and one among them is the identities of those who own lands in Mumbai.
Wealth Management
DECEMBER 1, 2023
After leaving BNY Mellon | Pershing over the summer, Crafford and colleague Morgan McGovern have landed at Karl Heckenberg’s new RIA investment company.
Integrity Financial Planning
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Staying active in your retirement years can help you to maintain good health and longevity. Making physical activity a habit can be fun and can have various physical, mental, and emotional benefits if executed in a way that makes sense for you. Here’s a rundown of five exercises that can be ideal for retirees. Walking Walking is an excellent, low-impact exercise that can help improve cardiovascular health, maintain a healthy weight, and improve mood.
Wealth Management
DECEMBER 1, 2023
With most schools no longer requiring standardized test scores, college-bound students will have to look to other ways to impress admissions officers.
Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor
During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.
Validea
DECEMBER 1, 2023
In this episode, we speak with Joel Tillinghast, who will retire as the manager of the Fidelity Low-Priced Stock Fund at the end of this year. Joel managed the fund for over 30 years and built an impressive track record, substantially outperforming the S&P 500 over his tenure. We talk to Joel about the biggest lessons from his career, his approach to finding undervalued stocks, what he learned from Peter Lynch, the most important advice he will give his successors and a lot more.
Wealth Management
DECEMBER 1, 2023
F2 Strategy co-founder and CEO Doug Fritz provides his take on the most important wealth management technology news of the last month.
Investing Caffeine
DECEMBER 1, 2023
With all this potential recession talk that has lasted two years, you would expect a lump of coal to arrive in your Christmas stocking this year. But quite the contrary, Santa Claus appears to have arrived early this year as evidenced by the +8.9% spike in prices last month, the largest monthly increase in 10 years. The NASDAQ fared slightly better with a +10.7% rise, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged by a tad with an +8.0% monthly increase.
Wealth Management
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Associated RIA and CPA firms add seven new employees and an office in Clinton, South Carolina.
Advertisement
Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.
Alpha Architect
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Full exposure to domestic equities. Full exposure to international equities. Partial exposure to REITs. No exposure to commodities. No exposure to intermediate-term bonds. DIY Trend-Following Allocations: December 2023 was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.
Wealth Management
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Associated RIA and CPA firms add seven new employees and an office in Clinton, South Carolina.
Calculated Risk
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Here is the CES Strike report for November released this morning: This shows a total of 10,500 workers on strike in November, down from 48,100 in October. With the end of the UAW and SAG-AFTRA strikes, 41,300 strikers returned to work for the November reference period. Note: The reference period usually contains the 12th of the month, however there are exceptions, and the reference period for November 2023 was the 5th through the 11th.
Advisor Perspectives
DECEMBER 1, 2023
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) remained at 46.7 in November. The latest figure marks the 13th straight month the index has been in contraction territory after a 29-month period of growth dating back to June 2020. The November reading was below the forecast of 47.6.
Advertisement
All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!
Calculated Risk
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Due to changes at the CDC, weekly cases are no longer updated. For deaths, I'm currently using 3 weeks ago for "now", since the most recent two weeks will be revised significantly. Hospitalizations have more almost tripled from a low of 5,150 in June 2023. Hospitalizations are far below the peak of 150,000 in January 2022.
Advisor Perspectives
DECEMBER 1, 2023
The weekly leading economic index (WLEI) is a composite for the U.S economy that draws from over 20 time-series and groups them into the following six broad categories which are then used to construct an equally weighted average. As of November 17th, the index was at 10.531, down 0.444 from the previous week, with 4 of the 6 components in expansion territory.
Calculated Risk
DECEMBER 1, 2023
From BofA: Overall, since our last weekly publication, our 4Q US GDP tracking estimate fell three-tenths to 1.0% q/q saar. [Dec 1st estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: We boosted our Q4 GDP tracking estimate by one tenth to +1.5% (qoq ar) and our Q4 domestic final sales growth forecast by the same amount to +2.1% (qoq ar). [Dec 1st estimate] And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2023 is 1.2 per
Advisor Perspectives
DECEMBER 1, 2023
The S&P 500 posted its highest close of the year on Friday as it capped off a fifth consecutive week of gains. The index finished the week up 0.8% from last Friday and is currently up 20.15% year to date.
Advertisement
Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.
Calculated Risk
DECEMBER 1, 2023
Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for November: No Holiday Boost but U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Continue Gains in November (pay site). Labor-related plant shutdowns in the U.S. that covered the latter half of September and most of October negatively impacted deliveries in November. Combined sales of the vehicles impacted by shutdowns fell 15% year-over-year in November.
Advisor Perspectives
DECEMBER 1, 2023
The November S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI™ fell to 49.4 from 50.0 in October, signaling a renewed decline in operating conditions. The latest reading was consistent with expectations. The index has now fallen back into contraction territory after a brief 1-month expansion.
Calculated Risk
DECEMBER 1, 2023
From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased: Construction spending during October 2023 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,027.1 billion, 0.6 percent above the revised September estimate of $2,014.7 billion. The October figure is 10.7 percent above the October 2022 estimate of $1,830.5 billion. emphasis added Both private and public spending increased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,579.3 billi
Expert insights. Personalized for you.
276 
Let's personalize your content