Wed.Feb 22, 2023

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MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Decreased Sharply, Lowest Since 1995

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 13.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 17, 2023. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 13.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

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Avoiding Financial Disasters

The Big Picture

Click to download Financial Disasters Yesterday was kind of a fun day: Sure, it was a dark, damp, dreary February morn when I showed up at the Brooklyn Bridge Marriot, but it was also the first time I did a new presentation in front of a live audience since before the pandemic. I do a quarterly update for RWM clients that covers the economy, the markets, and our portfolios every three months.

Clients 311
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Vehicle Sales Forecast: Vehicle Sales to be up Year-over-year in February

Calculated Risk

From WardsAuto: U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales, Inventory Continue Upward Climb in February (pay content). Brief excerpt: With inventory expected to record big gains by the end of the first quarter, consumers could be on the verge of seeing an easing up in pricing through a combination of greater availability of more affordable vehicles and increased incentives, especially when the industry gets into the spring selling season. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

Sales 352
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America’s Wealth is On the Move

Wealth Management

The affluent are seeking out new investment opportunities domestically and abroad.

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2025 Industry Index: How Top Advisors Are Scaling Smarter (and Faster) This Year

Where are top advisors focusing in 2025? AcquireUp’s 2025 Industry Index reveals it all. Based on insights from 200+ financial professionals nationwide, discover why 74% say seminars and referrals deliver the best ROI, how automation is helping advisors scale faster, and why only 8% are tapping into niche marketing (a major growth opportunity!). Whether you're refining your client acquisition strategy or scaling your practice, this report gives you the real-world data, benchmarks, and action ste

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AIA: Architecture Billings "Continue to Contract" in January

Calculated Risk

Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: Architectural billings continue to contract in 2023 Fewer architecture firms report declining billings in January compared to billing activity in December, according to a new report today from The American Institute of Architects (AIA). AIA’s Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score for January was 49.3 * compared to 48.4 in December (any score below 50 indicates a decline in firm bill

Investing 340
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Tax Considerations Relating to Debt for Distressed CRE Owners

Wealth Management

In addition to analyzing the economics of a distressed position, real estate owners must consider the tax implications of the various outcomes surrounding debt. In the worst-case scenario of a foreclosure, not only can an owner lose a property, but also be subject to income tax on phantom income.

Taxes 278

More Trending

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News Corp. Says Realtor.com Sale to CoStar Is Off

Wealth Management

News Corp. said in its statement that it will “actively assess opportunities” as it continues a strategy of optimizing the value of its online real estate segment. The company has received interest from other potential buyers, said a person familiar with the talks who asked not be identified because they are private.

Sales 253
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Has Housing Bottomed?

Pragmatic Capitalism

There was a glimmer of hope in the housing data from January.

Economy 196
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Avantax Announces $1.7B in Newly Recruited Assets in 2022

Wealth Management

During the fourth quarter of 2022, 66 independent financial professionals affiliated with the tax-centric broker/dealer.

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Has Housing Bottomed?

Pragmatic Capitalism

There was a glimmer of hope in the housing data from January.

Economy 189
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Data Talks, CFOs Listen: Why Analytics Are Key To Better Spend Management

Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive

Finance teams are drowning in data—but is it actually helping them spend smarter? Without the right approach, excess spending, inefficiencies, and missed opportunities continue to drain profitability. While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise.

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Goodwill Hunting When Selling a Business

Wealth Management

Isolating "personal" goodwill can be highly advantageous for sellers.

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Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday: • At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 200 thousand initial claims, up from 194 thousand last week. • Also at 8:30 AM, Gross Domestic Product, 4th quarter 2022 (Second estimate). The consensus is that real GDP increased 2.9% annualized in Q4, unchanged from the advance estimate of 2.9%. • Alsot at 8:30 AM, Chicago Fed National Activity Index

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ETFs With the Greatest Outflows in the Past Month

Wealth Management

These funds lost the most money over the last 30 days.

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FOMC Minutes: All participants continued to anticipate ongoing rate increases

Calculated Risk

From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, January 31–February 1, 2023. Excerpt: In their consideration of appropriate monetary policy actions at this meeting, participants concurred that the Committee had made significant progress over the past year in moving toward a sufficiently restrictive stance of monetary policy. Even so, participants agreed that, while there were recent signs that the cumulative effect of the Committee's tightening of the stance of monetary policy had be

Economics 147
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What Your Financial Statements Are Telling You—And How to Listen!

Speaker: David Worrell, CFO, Author & Speaker

Your financial statements hold powerful insights—but are you truly paying attention? Many finance professionals focus on the income statement while overlooking key signals hidden in the balance sheet and cash flow statement. Understanding these numbers can unlock smarter decision-making, uncover risks, and drive long-term success. Join David Worrell, accomplished CFO, finance expert, and author, for an engaging, nontraditional take on reading financial statements.

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New Coalition Focuses on Industry’s Individuals

Wealth Management

The Financial Professional Coalition will cater to the “rank-and file” of the industry by offering specific, non-legal assistance for reps and support staff.

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Gold Investors are Betting on the Fed's Incompetence

Advisor Perspectives

Gold investors are betting the Fed will continue to be negligent with its monetary policy.

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Wells Fargo Discloses Probes as Scrutiny of Messaging Apps’ Use Widens

Wealth Management

Regulators are investigating Wells' retention of employee communications over unapproved messaging apps.

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Wednesday links: bombarded with information

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Why short term is our default investment setting. (behaviouralinvestment.com) There are a lot of different ways to define company quality. (blog.validea.com) Crypto Even without new laws, the SEC pulling together regulation via enforcement action. (coindesk.com) What Coinbase ($COIN) is facing with the SEC. (axios.com) Companies Not everyone thinks Taiwan Semiconductor's ($TSM) investment in the U.S. makes sense.

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How to Avoid Pitfalls In Automation: Keep Humans In the Loop

Speaker: Erroll Amacker

Automation is transforming finance but without strong financial oversight it can introduce more risk than reward. From missed discrepancies to strained vendor relationships, accounts payable automation needs a human touch to deliver lasting value. This session is your playbook to get automation right. We’ll explore how to balance speed with control, boost decision-making through human-machine collaboration, and unlock ROI with fewer errors, stronger fraud prevention, and smoother operations.

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10 Must Reads for CRE Investors Today (Feb. 23, 2023)

Wealth Management

Institutional Investor examines the assumption that REITs can always hedge inflation. Some Amazon employees ask management not to make them return to in-office work, reports Gizmodo. These are among today’s must reads from around the commercial real estate industry.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Ingersoll Rand, Starbucks, Raytheon & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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401(k) Real Talk Episode 48: February 22, 2023

Wealth Management

Open, honest and candid discussions about the latest news in the RPA industry.

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Final Look at Local Housing Markets in January

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Final Look at Local Housing Markets in January A brief excerpt: The big story for January existing home sales was the sharp year-over-year (YoY) decline in sales. Also, active inventory increased sharply YoY, but is still historically low. This is the final look at local markets in January. I’m tracking about 40 local housing markets in the US.

Marketing 130
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Book of Secrets on the Month-End Close

Based off SkyStem's popular e-Book, the book of secrets to the month-end close will be revealed in this one-hour webinar. Learn leading practices when it comes to building a strong and sustainable month-end close that has room to grow and evolve. Learn about the power of precise estimates, why reconciliations are critical to closing the books, how and when to automate, and how the chart of accounts play into your close process.

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ETF Traders Ditch Risk Assets En Masse, Pile Billions Into Bonds

Wealth Management

The flows underscore the fragility of investor sentiment surrounding the new-year rally.

Assets 130
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Too Hot For Comfort

The Irrelevant Investor

I’m enjoying a week off with my family in Disney World. Yesterday, as I waited in a sea of people to get into the park, I checked my phone and saw the futures were pointing to a deeply red open. It was a perfect juxtaposition of this paradox we’re living in; the economy is too strong to avoid a recession. This week for the first time ever, the Genie plus, which allows riders to skip long lines, sold out.

Economy 117
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Immaculate disinflation: A long way to lower inflation

Nationwide Financial

The uncertain forecast for the U.S. economy in the near term has not only contributed to widely disparate expectations about the path of Federal Reserve interest rate policy. Still, it has also created new words and phrases that have confounded many investors. (Think “transitory inflation” or “soft landing.”) The latest expression buzzing through the financial media is “immaculate disinflation,” which refers to the possibility of inflation falling quickly to the Fed’s 2% target with minimal econ

Economy 105
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Eric Bottolfsen Serves His Clients and Community with Compassion

NAIFA Advisor Today

Eric Bottolfsen, MBA , is a Vice President at GoldBook Financial and a financial planner with a passion for protecting the medical professionals and small business owners who make up Main Street USA. Getting Started Bottolfsen knew from an early age that he wanted a career in financial services. When he played Monopoly as a kid, he insisted on being the banker.

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Stop Falling Short When It Matters Most—The Elite Advisor’s Playbook to Success

Like being inches from the end zone, many advisors are frustratingly close to their next level of success. You work hard. You put in the hours. But if your closing rate is stuck or your pipeline feels like a revolving door… something has to change. Most advisors are just one small shift away from dramatically increasing their revenue. The difference?

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4 Tips to Take Your 401(k) to the Next Level

Carson Wealth

Matt Kory, Vice President, Retirement Programs As a retirement income vehicle, the 401(k) is second in popularity only to Social Security – and as CNBC reported in 2019 the number of 401(k) millionaires is at an all-time high. But is a million dollars even enough for your retirement needs? Just think of the numbers. People are living longer these days, and that number is only going up.

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: Moderna stock pops after cancer-vaccine candidate gets FDA breakthrough designation

MarketWatch

Moderna Inc. MRNAand Merck Inc. MRK shares increased in after-hours trading Wednesday after the pharmaceutical companies announced that a cancer-vaccine candidate received the “breakthrough therapy” designation from the Food and Drug Administration. The designation, which allows for expedited review of a candidate, was granted after a Phase 2b study of the personalized vaccine — known as mRNA-4157/V940 — in combination with Merck’s Keytruda.

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Ask Brad: The Super-OSJ Model is Doomed

Advisor Perspectives

The economics behind the “super OSJ” brokerage model are unsustainable. Those firms are destined to transition to RIAs.

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A Detailed Look at the Quality Factor

Validea

By Jack Forehand, CFA, CFP® ( @practicalquant ) — We all want to own great companies. We look at Warren Buffett’s success and want to own the same types of businesses he did. We love high returns on capital. We love great brands. We love strong balance sheets. We love MOATs and consistent earnings. The logical progression from that idea is that building a portfolio of high-quality companies should lead to great investment returns over time.

Assets 83
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Demo SkyStem’s Award Winning Month-End Close Solution & Earn $100

Is your finance team bogged down by endless data requests and disorganized spreadsheets during the month-end close? It’s time to consider a better option – automate with ART! SkyStem’s solution works alongside your ERP to transform the close and account reconciliation process and speed up month-end work. Explore SkyStem’s ART - the award-winning account reconciliation automation platform - and receive a $100 Amazon gift card as a thank you for your time.