Sun.Oct 01, 2023

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Netflix's DVD-by-mail business is winding up. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Individual investors win by not competing with professionals. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why it is so hard to be a truly long term investor. (behaviouralinvestment.com) How long is too long when it comes to your bond allocation? (humbledollar.com) 5%+ T-bill yields are a welcome relief, but don't overdo it.

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10 Sunday Reads

The Big Picture

Avert your eyes! My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • Inside Sam Bankman-Fried’s Family Bubble : At Stanford Law School, Joseph Bankman and Barbara Fried specialized in ethics and social fairness. Now that their son stands accused of one of the largest financial frauds in U.S. history, they’re scrambling for legal escape routes. ( New Yorker ) • The Nasdaq 100 Is Wildly Popular.

Ethics 130
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Best Defence Stocks With High FII Holdings To Add To Your Watchlist

Trade Brains

Best Defense Stocks With High FII Holdings : In the world of investing, certain sectors stand out for their unique blend of stability and growth potential. One such sector is defence stocks. These companies operate in an environment where national security and global events play a pivotal role in shaping their success. In this article, we going to look at 5 Best Defence Stocks With High FII Holdings.

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How Prepared Are Consumers For a Recession?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Brandolini’s law states: The amount of energy needed to refute b t is an order of magnitude bigger than the amount needed to produce it. Carlson’s law of finance is similar: The amount of energy needed to refute bad news is an order of magnitude bigger than the amount needed to produce it. It’s much easier to take bad news at face value than good news.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Assessing the State of Commercial Real Estate Debt

Wealth Management

MSCI Real Assets’ new report looks at the capital availability trends in the commercial real estate sector.

Assets 122

More Trending

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Improve client relationships

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Mike Beirne, MDRT Round the Table editor As there are many types of clients in a range of demographics, there also are a variety of ways to communicate with them. Try these three ideas from MDRT members around the world for inspiration. Allocating retirement planning I introduce asset allocation with clients by dividing retirement life into two parts: basic life and high-quality life.

Clients 77
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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles What are all these GPUs being used for? Who is the customer’s customer? (By David Cahn) The company’s global parks attendance is not much higher than it was a decade ago; the primary driver of improved financial results in Disney’s Parks business has been a more than 100% increase in per capita guest spending. (By Alex Morris, paid) Life is about change (By Michael Antonelli) Some things I believe about inv.

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China’s Economic Woes Have Sparked A Gold Rush

Advisor Perspectives

The Chinese yuan has lost nearly 6% of its value against the U.S. dollar this year, while Shanghai-listed stocks are off about 8% from their 2023 high, set back in May.

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Monday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending

Calculated Risk

Weekend: • Schedule for Week of October 1, 2023 Monday: • At 10:00 AM ET, ISM Manufacturing Index for September. The consensus is for a reading of 47.8, up from 47.6 in August. • Also at 10:00 AM Construction Spending for August. The consensus is for a 0.5% increase. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 futures are up 16 and DOW futures are up 110 (fair value).

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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The Geography of Working From Home Begins to Shift Again

Advisor Perspectives

The Oakland Hills Public Use Microdata Area, or PUMA (a Census Bureau designation that I’ll explain in a moment), in Oakland, California, contains some of the most appealing urban neighborhoods in the US.

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Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in August to New High; Up 4.0% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in August to New High; Up 4.0% Year-over-year A brief excerpt: On a year-over-year basis, the National FMHPI was up 4.0% in August , from up 3.0% YoY in July. The YoY increase peaked at 19.1% in July 2021, and for this cycle, bottomed at up 0.9% in May 2023.

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Wall Street Echoes Fed’s View on Growth, Higher-for-Longer Rates

Advisor Perspectives

Wall Street economists are growing more upbeat about US economic growth while acknowledging that it may require interest rates to stay higher for longer, in line with recent projections by the Federal Reserve.

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[cdata[ Medical Debt and Your FICO Score ]]

oXYGen Financial

![CDATA[ Recently, there have been changes in legislation, proposed changes and overall consumer credit trends concerning medical debt and its impact on FICO scores. In this blog, we will explore these changes and their implications for your financial well-being. When it comes to your personal finance, staying informed about legislative changes is crucial for making sound financial decisions.

Medical 52
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Peak CD Rates Don't Always Result in Peak Performance

Advisor Perspectives

In 2022, the Federal Reserve began aggressively raising interest rates and has continued to do so in 2023, albeit at a much more measured pace. This has helped many certificate of deposits (CDs) increase their interest rates to levels not seen in well over a decade. However, while investing in CDs at peak rates might seem like a sound strategy, in the past it hasn’t always translated into the best outcome for investors.

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Raining On All-Weather?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The Permanent Portfolio was devised decades ago by Harry Browne as diversified approach that favored defense and tried to ensure that no matter how bad things got, at least one holding was working. It equal weights stocks, long term bonds, gold and cash. Any back testing you might do or find will probably look pretty good because of the fantastic 40 year run that long bonds had up until the end of 2021.

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Preparing for the Sunset of the TCJA Tax Relief

Advisor Perspectives

Change is inevitable. When those changes involve tax law, it is extremely important for clients to meet with their financial professional, tax advisor, and legal advisor to discuss any adjustments that may need to be made to their financial, retirement, or estate plan. One change that is looming is the expiration of provisions that were passed under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA).

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Sunday links: 40% forecasts

Abnormal Returns

Markets The S&P 500 was down 4.77% in September 2023. (on.spdji.com) There's no shortage of stuff to be worried about at the moment. (tker.co) Rates The yield curve is finally steepening. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Higher interest rates mean higher taxes. (marketwatch.com) Closed-end muni funds are trading at big discounts to NAV. (marketwatch.com) Finance Do you really want a private investment targeted to individual investors?

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Taking Stock: Q4 2023 Equity Market Outlook

Advisor Perspectives

U.S. stocks typically post their best returns in the final quarter of the year. Our review of S&P 500 performance since the index’s inception in 1957 found an average Q4 uptick of 4%. (Q1 was next best at an average of 2%.

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Millennials, Keep Your Avocado Toast and Ditch the Dream House

Advisor Perspectives

Avocado toast, hard seltzers, and Instagrammable vacations are not the reasons millennials and our Gen Z compatriots have failed to scrimp, save and budget our way into home ownership.

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Retailers Are Nervous About Your Student Loans

Advisor Perspectives

The level of concern among retail executives over the resumption of student loan payments run the gamut from brushing it off as a non-event to bracing for a big pullback in spending.

Retail 52
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2023 Global Market Outlook – Q4 Update: Falling with Style

Advisor Perspectives

We believe a mild U.S. recession is more likely than not in 2024, although a soft-landing scenario cannot be ruled out. A recession is also likely in the UK and eurozone, but appears less likely in Australia.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Stealth Stagnation: Why the U.S. Economy Is Not as Robust as You Think

Advisor Perspectives

The prevailing narrative about the U.S. economy is that it’s ‘resilient’: despite rapid rate hikes, economic growth has held up and may even be accelerating.

Economy 52
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Once Unthinkable Bond Yields Are Now the New Normal for Markets

Advisor Perspectives

It was the week that bond markets finally seemed to grasp what central bankers have been warning all year: higher interest rates are here to stay.

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Visions of Sugar Plums and Soft Landings

Advisor Perspectives

Rising real interest rates invariably trigger recessions. The residual impact of pandemic related behaviors delayed the impact in this cycle.

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Bitcoin Is Ending September With First Quarterly Loss This Year

Advisor Perspectives

As September comes to a close, Bitcoin is poised to end the quarter on a down note in its first quarterly decline this year.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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Alternative Allocations: Navigating Through Economic Regimes

Advisor Perspectives

Certain asset classes thrive or lag as economies move through one cycle to the next. Franklin Templeton Institute’s Tony Davidow shares how to analyze different economic indicators and how asset classes perform through economic regime changes.

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Pressure Could Be Ahead for Big Tech as 2023 Winds Down

Advisor Perspectives

Big tech is often cited as the primary catalyst in 2023’s stock market rally. Yet at some point, the laws of market gravity will set in, and what comes up must eventually come down. As 2023 winds down, some market experts foresee pressure ahead for big tech.

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Why Investors Are Gravitating Toward Active Management In 2023

Advisor Perspectives

Active management in ETFs are gaining market share in 2023, as leading managers bring their best ideas into the ETF industry.