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“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

This is true about equity and bond markets, specific company stocks, and economic data series. ” As the chart above shows, all the major Wall Street brokerage and bank strategists failed to anticipate how well the market would do in 2024 (Bloomberg’s chart below). One last reminder: All forecasts are marketing.

Banking 345
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How Many Bear Markets Have You Lived Through?

The Big Picture

The chart shows the peak-to-trough declines of all the bear markets with the popular definition of a 20% decline, measured up until the start of the first 20% rally. As Batnick points out, all of these horrendous periods of market pain are already factored into long-term returns of equities. Have a look at the BAML chart above.

Marketing 336
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10 Biggest Ideas in “How NOT to Invest”

The Big Picture

This is as true for professionals as it is for amateurs; it’s also true in music, film, sports, television, and economic and market forecasting. Economic Innumeracy : Some individuals experience math anxiety, but it only takes a bit of insight to navigate the many ways numbers can mislead us. Bad Numbers : 4.

Investing 317
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4 Ways And 5 Charts To Talk Tariffs With Clients With Empathy And Strategy

Nerd's Eye View

A rapid sequence of policy announcements and reversals has created volatility across nearly every asset class, with the S&P 500 falling to near-bear-market levels before rebounding sharply. Finally, volatile markets offer a powerful opportunity for advisors to reinforce the value of financial advice.

Clients 220
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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

At a high level, we're currently seeing a 'tale of 2 economies': While the market for services has expanded steadily since the beginning of the year (with both employment and the price of services growing in kind), the U.S. manufacturing sector, by the measures of employment and service prices, has been in a recession for nearly 12 months.

Valuation 246
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Market Timing vs. Time in the Market

Zoe Financial

Market Timing vs. Time in the Market Updated January 28th, 2025 Reading Time: 4 minutes Written by: The Zoe Team Though these terms may sound similar, market timing is not the same as time in the market. It all comes down to human psychology and the relationship between markets and volatility. Lets take a poll.

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5 Tactics for Retirees to Navigate Economic Uncertainty

MainStreet Financial Planning

Economic uncertaintywhether it’s due to market volatility, rising inflation, or potential recessionscan feel overwhelming. Here are five practical tactics to help retirees weather economic uncertainty: Take a Break from the News Constantly consuming news and social media can lead to unnecessary panic.