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10 Biggest Ideas in “How NOT to Invest”

The Big Picture

The challenge in writing How NOT to Invest was organizing a large number of ideas, many of which were only loosely connected, into something coherent, understandable, and, most importantly, readable. How can we re-engineer our media consumption to make it more useful to our needs? Bad Numbers : 4. It is March 18th!

Investing 317
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

Global Financial Data ) Vanguard 2025 economic and market outlook : The global monetary easing cycle will be in full swing in 2025, with inflation in most developed economies now within touching distance of central banks targets. Luxury car sales fell 27%. But cutting government spending is easy, if you take on power.

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Sunday links: forecasting accuracy

Abnormal Returns

washingtonpost.com) Measuring economic inequality is harder than it looks. washingtonpost.com) The number of American centenarians is set to quadruple. papers.ssrn.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. theatlantic.com) Why your search engine results are getting worse. honest-broker.com)

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Soft Landing RIP

The Big Picture

Will the economic slowdown continue into 2023? But there is a tomorrow and my expectations are that if the Fed overtightens (as they appear on track to do) then the next 12 months will be less economically robust than the prior 12. Will the economic slowdown continue into 2023? How much will the economy slow in Q3 and Q4?

Economy 345
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The ultrarich are growing in numbers, and changing wealth as we know it. ( Imagine if every sentence in a story were expected to contain the same number of alphanumeric characters. Tablet ) see also Welcome to the New Military-Industrial Complex. Everyone else hasnt. That would be absurd, no? So why doesnt our music do that?

Math 162
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Predicting the Next Recession

Calculated Risk

Also, there are two measures of economic growth - Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and Gross Domestic Income (GDI). The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) produces two measures of national output which, in theory, should be equivalent. For a discussion of recessions, see NBER's What is a recession? 2) Significant policy error.

Sales 363
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RIA Edge Podcast: Schwab’s Jalina Kerr on How Resilient RIAs Can Turn Market Volatility Into Growth

Wealth Management

Number 8860726. David Armstrong , Executive Director, Content and User Engagement at WealthManagement.com June 10, 2025 Economic uncertainty, heightened volatility and on-again, off-again trade policies are challenging for investors. Some RIAs can turn volatility into a growth engine. Registered in England and Wales.