Carson Wealth

JULY 10, 2023

We continue to hear predictions of a stock market fall and economic recession, but we disagree with both assessments. The big picture is the economy is normalizing. Big Picture: The Economy Is Normalizing We started this year discussing how the economy has been at the “edge of normal” in our 2023 outlook.

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Carson Wealth

JANUARY 16, 2024

We believe the odds of a recession remain low, with continued income growth, a recovery in rate-sensitive cyclical areas of the economy, and untapped potential for productivity gains helping to support the expansion. Market participants, strategists, policymakers, and the economy rarely saw eye to eye.

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Carson Wealth

NOVEMBER 6, 2023

Although many were worried, the economy remained quite strong and odds were high the Fed was done hiking rates. The economy is normalizing, which could loosen tight financial conditions and boost cyclical activity. The October payroll report indicates the economy is slowing from its red-hot pace.

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Carson Wealth

DECEMBER 4, 2023

The economy overall remained firm and the consumer quite healthy all along, but the realization that inflation was no longer a headwind prompted stocks to rise. Fed officials are now acknowledging that inflation can fall even as the economy remains strong and unemployment stays low. What sparked the historic rally? over the last six.

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Carson Wealth

JANUARY 2, 2024

The economy surprised, the consumer remained resilient, stocks soared, and even bonds did well on the year thanks to a late-innings rally. The Manufacturing Renaissance is Here Sonu Varghese, VP and Global Macro Strategist I’ve never seen an economic chart like this, especially one related to factory construction.

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Carson Wealth

JULY 5, 2023

Six months ago, most financial experts were talking about an imminent recession and the likelihood of stocks breaking the October lows. But instead, stocks had one of their best six-month starts and the economy shows no signs of slowing. Business investment is rising once again, and that’s a big deal for the economy.

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Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 18, 2023

At the same time, we do not expect Fed members to even hint that they’re thinking about cutting rates any time soon, especially since the economy continues to show strength, as evidenced by relatively strong retail sales and industrial production data last week. This newsletter was written and produced by CWM, LLC.

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Carson Wealth

MARCH 27, 2023

There are certainly more questions than answers right now, and yes, the odds of a recession have increased as banks will tighten lending, which could lead to an economic slowdown. Still, economic data is improving. Recent sentiment polls show a high number of bears while worries about the economy and earnings continue to expand.

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Carson Wealth

AUGUST 7, 2023

debt was downgraded for a second time in history, but we do not expect this to have much impact on the bull market or the strength of the economy. The economy is growing and normalizing. Lastly, the economy continues to surprise to the upside (discussed further below), so the timing of this downgrade is questionable. on average.

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Carson Wealth

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

We Aren’t Alone Anymore A year ago, we told anyone who would listen that the economy would likely avoid a recession and stocks were going to have a great year. Since avoiding a recession is normal, falling concern about the economy isn’t contrarian in itself, but we do lose some extra fuel from bearish views unwinding.

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Carson Wealth

APRIL 10, 2023

Stocks were relatively flat last week in the face of weak economic data. Services, manufacturing, and job openings all were weak, but the monthly jobs data (more below) was a bright spot. Still, in the face of slowing economic reports, we were impressed stocks were able to hold onto some gains. Short answer: No.

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Carson Wealth

JULY 17, 2023

Even though inflation has come back quickly (more on that below), wages growing faster than inflation, small business sentiment is improving, consumer sentiment is improving, housing bottoming, manufacturing bottoming, and a consumer that is incredibly resilient, there is still plenty of worry to go around.

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Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 17, 2023

The company has diverse experience in handling complex projects across various industries like infrastructure, chemical, automobile, healthcare, manufacturing, real estate and national/state governments. Registrar to the Issue: Bigshare Services Private Limited. Cr Fresh Issue ₹16.72

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

Among the concerns breeding skepticism about the economy and the markets are on-again/off-again trade negotiations, disruption of supply chains, declines in manufacturing activity, and sluggish capital spending. economy that may restrain the country's ability to grow at rates considered normal over the last several decades.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

Among the concerns breeding skepticism about the economy and the markets are on-again/off-again trade negotiations, disruption of supply chains, declines in manufacturing activity, and sluggish capital spending. economy that may restrain the country's ability to grow at rates considered normal over the last several decades.

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Carson Wealth

MARCH 25, 2024

A Dovish Fed Signals Rate Cuts Amid a Strong Economy — That’s Bullish The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at its March meeting, but the headline takeaway was that the median official continues to project three interest rate cuts in 2024, each worth 0.25%. Fed officials upgraded their economic growth projections for 2024 from 1.4%

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Carson Wealth

JUNE 12, 2023

Carson’s leading economic index indicates the economy is not in a recession. We’ve believed for a while now that the bear market ended in October, but the financial media prefer the 20% definition. Interestingly, the tide has been shifting recently , as a string of relatively stronger economic data has been reported.

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Carson Wealth

APRIL 3, 2023

We continue to believe the economy is strong. There are positives, including a Fed that may be done with rate hikes, lower inflation, a rebound in manufacturing, and a strong labor market. companies are re-shoring a record number of manufacturing jobs. Stocks had a strong first quarter, even though the path wasn’t easy.

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 4, 2022

Given the country’s weak economy, due in large part to stringent zero-COVID-19 measures that have led to strict and prolonged lockdowns, coupled with a debt-laden property market, authorities in Beijing and throughout the Chinese provinces will need to focus on reviving the country’s economic underpinning. At the same time, U.S.

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The Big Picture

JULY 11, 2023

JOHNSON: So I spent a year, my father said to me, “Look, if you’re going to be in the financial services business you should probably work in New York.” Otherwise, the West Coast, if you were in the financial services business, it was rough life. JOHNSON: And so, and the manufacturer had less power.

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Carson Wealth

AUGUST 21, 2023

The economy has surprised to the upside and stocks had one of their best starts to a year. Resilient Economy May Be Accelerating Another month, another slew of economic data that not only shows the economy is resilient, but also that it may be accelerating. Retail sales and food services rose 0.7%

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Carson Wealth

JULY 24, 2023

economy has accelerated over the past year, defying calls of recession amid the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes. We just received a tremendous amount of data to round out the economic picture in the second quarter (Q2). In sum: Not only is there no recession, but the economy does not even appear to be headed for a “landing” at this point.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 20, 2017

Another is Catalent (CTLT), which is an outsourced manufacturer of pharmaceutical dosage forms with a solid reputation. But what we liked most about Catalent was a rapidly growing biologics manufacturing business we found buried in one of its reported segments. That’s attractive in and of itself.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 20, 2017

Another is Catalent (CTLT), which is an outsourced manufacturer of pharmaceutical dosage forms with a solid reputation. But what we liked most about Catalent was a rapidly growing biologics manufacturing business we found buried in one of its reported segments. That’s attractive in and of itself.

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Carson Wealth

MAY 22, 2023

As we explain more below, the economy is presenting many positive signs that suggest a recession is unlikely, and stocks likely are sniffing this out. Economic data continues to come in strong, including for retail sales and vehicle production. Housing may no longer be a drag on economic growth the rest of this year.

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Carson Wealth

JUNE 26, 2023

Housing is making a sharp turnaround, and that’s very positive for the economy. The economy continues to surprise to the upside, with housing a potential wildcard that few are discussing. But this is also important: Housing has historically bottomed prior to the end of a recession and has typically led the economy out of one.

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Brown Advisory

AUGUST 25, 2017

Manager Q&A: Mick Dillon and Bertie Thomson, Global Leaders Strategy achen Fri, 08/25/2017 - 11:34 Indeed a host of macro-economic and political events have impacted global markets since Mick Dillon and Bertie Thomson launched the Brown Advisory Global Leaders strategy. MD: One of my favorites is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.

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Brown Advisory

AUGUST 25, 2017

Indeed a host of macro-economic and political events have impacted global markets since Mick Dillon and Bertie Thomson launched the Brown Advisory Global Leaders strategy. MD: One of my favorites is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. FCF yield calculations presented use LFY and exclude financial services.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 24, 2021

And like gold, Bitcoin is expensive to mine, difficult to value and impractical for everyday economic transactions. If a business has wonderful economics that are easy to understand but extremely difficult to replicate, then we believe in holding the investment for the long term. In other words, it’s akin to digital gold.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 24, 2021

And like gold, Bitcoin is expensive to mine, difficult to value and impractical for everyday economic transactions. If a business has wonderful economics that are easy to understand but extremely difficult to replicate, then we believe in holding the investment for the long term. In other words, it’s akin to digital gold.

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The Big Picture

JULY 18, 2023

The worst the economy is. Why Bubbles Are Great for the Economy” and his thesis is, yeah, let the VC spend all the money laying this fiber. I was like talking through with him how the fund economics worked and what the upside was. So Porsche, which manufactures the car that we’re racing and we’re thrilled to do that.

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Brown Advisory

JULY 1, 2016

Instead, we’re looking 10, 20 or 30 years ahead—a long enough horizon to smooth out short-term fluctuations resulting from variables such as economic cycles, changes in interest rates and geopolitical events. Following the 2007–2008 financial crisis, some observers began referring to the “new normal.”

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Brown Advisory

JULY 1, 2016

Instead, we’re looking 10, 20 or 30 years ahead—a long enough horizon to smooth out short-term fluctuations resulting from variables such as economic cycles, changes in interest rates and geopolitical events. Following the 2007–2008 financial crisis, some observers began referring to the “new normal.” Adjusting to the "New Normal".

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Abnormal Returns

APRIL 9, 2023

wsj.com) Why so many financial services companies introduce friction into the system. manufacturing plants is at a record high. vox.com) Economy Hours worked are below where they were pre-pandemic. msn.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. nytimes.com) Construction spending on U.S.

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The Big Picture

APRIL 18, 2023

BARATTA: Wind, solar, electrifying the economy, getting off of oil and gas, and it’s all kinds of companies engaged. BARATTA: — manufacturing those facilities. You saw it in the financial services sector. In 2006, ’07, ’08, you saw the financial crisis. That is part of the energy transition.

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The Big Picture

JANUARY 31, 2023

Neil Dutta has been doing economic analysis and research from a market-based perspective for over 20 years. I found this to be just an absolutely fascinating discussion about how to best contextualize the world of economic data around you, in a way that’s useful for you as an investor. With no further ado, RenMac’s Neil Dutta.

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Carson Wealth

APRIL 22, 2024

Geopolitical worries are high, but historically the impact of global events on stocks has been short-lived, especially if the economy is strong. While geopolitics is a near-term risk, three major themes for 2024 are worth watching: Data continues to support an overall positive outlook for the economy. and hides underlying strength.

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