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Market Commentary: Stocks and the Economy Show Continued Strength

Carson Wealth

After a large reversal Thursday, stocks bounced back Friday, bolstered by the continued impressive performance of the economy (further details below). Instead of saying the economy grew at a “modest” pace, Fed members said it’s growing at a “moderate” pace. Moderate” is Fedspeak for a strong economy. The economy grew 2.4%

Economy 52
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Market Commentary: Things You Don’t See in a Recession

Carson Wealth

It is important to remember that stocks lead the economy, both on the way up and the way down. To us, this is the market’s way of saying the economy will continue to see solid growth next year. Stocks tend to lead the economy, and several major indexes are near new highs, which is a good signal for the economy.

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: Is “Sell in May” Still Relevant?

Carson Wealth

The Headline GDP Number Masks a Strong Economy The economy grew 1.6% Excluding these categories provides a much clearer picture of actual spending and production in the economy, i.e., final demand after adjusting for inflation. After adjusting for inflation, the economy is almost 1% larger than the CBO projected.

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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

The economy has strong momentum, with growth accelerating since the first half of the year. Let’s Call It Like It Is: The Economy Is Strong, and There’s No Recession on the Horizon A year ago, a Bloomberg Economics model projected a recession within the next 12 months with 100% probability. Through June 2023, the economy grew 2.4%

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: Another October Bottom?

Carson Wealth

The September payroll report confirms the economy is strong. Aggregate income is rising above the pace of inflation, and that’s powering the economy. Wage growth is easing, which should alleviate concerns that the economy is overheating. Expectations for a stronger economy are driving interest rates higher.

Marketing 134
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Market Commentary: Carson Investment Research Looks at the Year Ahead

Carson Wealth

We believe the odds of a recession remain low, with continued income growth, a recovery in rate-sensitive cyclical areas of the economy, and untapped potential for productivity gains helping to support the expansion. Market participants, strategists, policymakers, and the economy rarely saw eye to eye.

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Market Commentary: What a Month!

Carson Wealth

The economy overall remained firm and the consumer quite healthy all along, but the realization that inflation was no longer a headwind prompted stocks to rise. Fed officials are now acknowledging that inflation can fall even as the economy remains strong and unemployment stays low. What sparked the historic rally? over the last six.