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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

Retail and food service sales have increased at an 8.6% Economic indicators across consumption, income, industry and the labor market don’t point to a recession. Fast forward 12 months and not only did we not have a recession, but economic growth has accelerated over the past quarter and is showing strong momentum as we head into 2024.

Marketing 143
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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

In 2022, positive economic data typically led to a sell-off in the stock market, and weak data often led to a rally. Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, is now running below the Fed’s target.

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Market Commentary: The Bulls Are Still in Charge

Carson Wealth

The Path to Lower Inflation Is Now Clear The June CPI report was a positive surprise, both in terms of the headline numbers as well as the underlying details. The good news is that food inflation is also easing a lot, rising at an annual pace of just 1.3% That comes out to a very impressive 12.2% average, not bad, not bad. annual pace.

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Market Commentary: More Seasonal Choppiness

Carson Wealth

Headline inflation was up at an annualized pace of 4% over the past three months, but core inflation, which excludes food and energy, is running at 2.4%. Housing makes up 40% of core inflation, and the August numbers showed the official data is catching up to private rental data, albeit slowly. That slowed to a 5.5-7%

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Market Commentary: Market Rally to Close April, But Be Wary of “Sell in May”

Carson Wealth

Equities closed out April in strong form amid better-than-expected earnings and resilient economic data. Don’t Be Fooled by Headline GDP The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the U.S. Here’s how the various components contributed to the headline number in the fourth quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023.

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Market Commentary: The Rally Continued

Carson Wealth

Also, the number of NYSE stocks on the rise surged, which is exactly what was needed for the next phase of this bull market to continue. The Federal Reserve prefers to look at inflation stripped of food and energy, since these are volatile. Core inflation rose just 0.2% in October, translating to a 2.8% annualized pace.

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Market Commentary: Down for Two Consecutive Weeks

Carson Wealth

Disinflation is Happening, and There’s More to Come Inflation has been top of mind for investors over the past 18 months, both from an economic and monetary policy perspective. As the chart below shows, energy, food, and vehicle prices have driven inflation lower. That’s well below the June 2022 level of 9%. Core inflation rose 0.2%