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Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity rose slightly"

Calculated Risk

Fed's Beige Book Economic activity rose slightly in most Districts. Though growth in economic activity was generally small, expectations for growth rose moderately across most geographies and sectors. Three regions exhibited modest or moderate growth that offset flat or slightly declining activity in two others.

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Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity increased slightly"

Calculated Risk

Fed's Beige Book Economic activity increased slightly from late May through early July. Hiring remained generally cautious, which many contacts attributed to ongoing economic and policy uncertainty. That represented an improvement over the previous report, in which half of Districts reported at least slight declines in activity.

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Fed's Beige Book: "Economic outlook worsened considerably"

Calculated Risk

Fed's Beige Book Economic activity was little changed since the previous report, but uncertainty around international trade policy was pervasive across reports. The outlook in several Districts worsened considerably as economic uncertainty, particularly surrounding tariffs, rose.

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Fed's Beige Book: "Overall economic activity rose slightly"

Calculated Risk

Fed's Beige Book Overall economic activity rose slightly since mid-January. Overall expectations for economic activity over the coming months were slightly optimistic. Six Districts reported no change, four reported modest or moderate growth, and two noted slight contractions.

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Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity increased slightly to moderately"

Calculated Risk

Fed's Beige Book Economic activity increased slightly to moderately across the twelve Federal Reserve Districts in late November and December. Consumer spending moved up moderately, with most Districts reporting strong holiday sales that exceeded expectations. Vehicle sales grew modestly.

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Wednesday: PPI, Industrial Production, Beige Book

Calculated Risk

At 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve Beige Book , an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to be unchanged at 77.4%. •

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“Nobody Knows Anything,” Wall Street Strategist Edition

The Big Picture

This is true about equity and bond markets, specific company stocks, and economic data series. The best films, books, and music releases are unknown in advance. ” If you want to read more of the fun details, well, than order the book. One last reminder: All forecasts are marketing. Please pre-order a copy today!