ClearMoney

NOVEMBER 4, 2021

As with many things in life, the truth is somewhere between the extremes: While both simulated and real-world data suggest momentum may not be suitable as a driver of long-term asset allocations, we believe momentum considerations can be integrated in a cost-effective way to help inform daily portfolio management decisions.

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Brown Advisory

FEBRUARY 15, 2019

Later in the year, markets became anxious about other topics, such as a potential economic slowdown, a new level of dysfunction in Washington (including unusual executive challenges to the Fed's independence and an extended partial government shutdown), and escalating trade disputes between the U.S. equity exposure.

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Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. From an economic perspective, growth in the U.S. In the U.S.,

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Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. From an economic perspective, growth in the U.S. Incremental Equity Risks.

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

could fall victim to long-term economic stagnation, similar to the fate that befell Japan starting in the 1990s. Japan’s GDP had grown by an average of more than 5% per year from 1950 to 1989—a true post-War economic miracle. government debt is nearly 110%, compared to 82% ten years ago and 32% in 1981 (its modern-day low point).

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Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

could fall victim to long-term economic stagnation, similar to the fate that befell Japan starting in the 1990s. Investors who were active in the late 1980s will recall that asset prices in Japan reached extreme levels as money poured into the country from all over the world, propelled by extraordinary economic growth.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 3, 2015

The economic expansion is weak and inflation is still below the central bank’s 2% target. equity market: A comparatively quick interest rate increase counteracts the benefit from stronger economic growth, impairing profitability and valuations. Concern about future economic growth undermines valuations.

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Truemind Capital

APRIL 19, 2024

Central Governments have given hope of meaningful rate cuts within this year. Equity markets are riding on the expectations of the strong comeback of the NDA-led Government resulting in policy continuity. Indian equity benchmark BSE Sensex went up by only 2% due to already stretched equity valuations.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 3, 2015

Consider this scenario: An economy is shrinking, government debt is ballooning and emigration is eroding the workforce. Yet creditors shrug off signs of decline and cling to public-sector bonds yielding as much as 15%—until the government abruptly drops the pretense of fiscal solidity and labels the debt unpayable. Not Appropriate.

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Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

As I have discussed numerous times in the past, money goes where it is treated best, which is why interest rates, cash flows, and valuations play such a key role in ultimately determining long-term values across all asset classes. Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). interest rates.

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Brown Advisory

APRIL 1, 2015

Almost exactly five years ago, we wrote a piece entitled Bubbles, which discussed the sharp rally in stocks from the lows of early 2009 and the risks of the growing federal deficit that resulted from government bail-outs and fiscal stimulus during the financial crisis. Possible Signs. Then and Now.

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James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. Recent economic data has pointed to continued growth—giving rise to the “no landing” narrative.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2017

Investment Perspectives - The Great Debate achen Wed, 06/21/2017 - 12:35 Aside from some current political and economic topics that dominate the financial media, the most widely debated investment issue today involves the merits of passive investing, or indexing. High portfolio turnover can be an indicator of changing risk.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2017

Aside from some current political and economic topics that dominate the financial media, the most widely debated investment issue today involves the merits of passive investing, or indexing. It underperformed primarily during very strong markets, as might be expected given its discipline with regard to valuations.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. As we know from historical precedents, when the Fed aggressively raises rates, economic growth slows or outright contracts, which is the Fed’s goal.

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James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.

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James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 22, 2017

ESG and the Stock-­Picker’s Dilemma achen Fri, 09/22/2017 - 12:58 One of the greatest challenges that public equities investors face to integrating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) data into their decision making is the lack of proof that real – not hypothetical – investment strategies can use ESG factors to enhance performance.

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Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 22, 2017

One of the greatest challenges that public equities investors face to integrating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) data into their decision making is the lack of proof that real – not hypothetical – investment strategies can use ESG factors to enhance performance. ESG and the Stock-­Picker’s Dilemma. Fri, 09/22/2017 - 12:58.

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James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. Although energy prices came down some, weakening economic data and the lack of a cease-fire in Ukraine offset the modest gas price relief.

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James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

Lessons learned: Economic forecasts The Fed’s bark was as bad as its bite! economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. The hit to valuations in the form of about 4 P/E points (21 to 17) translates into a roughly 20% drop in the S&P 500 Index. Here are some of our lessons learned from 2022.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

CHANCELLOR: And look — yeah, but then if you look at the valuation of the market at that time, the market was — the U.S. CHANCELLOR: And look — yeah, but then if you look at the valuation of the market at that time, the market was — the U.S. CHANCELLOR: Well, he sort of — yeah, he thought about it.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

due to expectations of slowing economic growth. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. We could see a retest of 3.5%

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James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Perhaps that was not the first time market watchers used the term, but the conversations at the Economic Club of New York were prescient.

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James Hendries

JULY 3, 2023

While activity remains muted at best, expectations are focused on 2024, when there is a prevailing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be finished with its rate hike campaign, and that economic conditions will be resilient enough to underpin a strong capital markets environment. With economic data continuing to suggest the U.S.

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Marketing Marketing Banking Valuation 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

Job gains were broad-based and especially prominent in sectors such as education, health care, and government. Market strategists and pundits make the relationship between recessions and the stock market seem binary, but each economic contraction is different and has different effects on earnings. is currently not in recession.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 28, 2019

As we stated in “Confronting the Unknown,” our 2018 asset allocation publication, standard deviation is “a helpful shortcut for thinking about risk, but it is not a fully effective proxy.” The “shoestring curve” below depicts these risks for a hypothetical portfolio, assuming various asset allocation targets.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 28, 2019

As we stated in “Confronting the Unknown,” our 2018 asset allocation publication, standard deviation is “a helpful shortcut for thinking about risk, but it is not a fully effective proxy.” The “shoestring curve” below depicts these risks for a hypothetical portfolio, assuming various asset allocation targets.

Asset Allocation 52

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

One equity market debate discussed frequently in the LPL Research Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) is the growth vs. value style reversal experienced the past 12 months. Increasing the discount rate, which lowers the present value of future cash flows, and company valuations.

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The Big Picture

MARCH 5, 2024

So I switched to be an economics major. I graduated economics with, with a lot of coursework in accounting and finance. So they’d give individual asset allocation to people and they’d go invest their money. What happened over the last year and a half or so is rates went up and valuations went down.

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Banking Portfolio Assets Investing 141

James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.

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Brown Advisory

MARCH 30, 2018

While February’s volatility did not materially change our asset allocation views, it reinforced to us the importance of a comprehensive discussion about how we think about risk and how we manage it. Our asset allocation process accounts for a wide range of potential outcomes over the next 18–36 months.

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Asset Allocation Portfolio Assets Valuation 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds.

Portfolio 52

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James Hendries

DECEMBER 12, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds.

Portfolio 52

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 7, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) upgraded its view of duration to neutral. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds. Stock investing involves risk including loss of principal.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Taxes Investment Advisor Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) downgraded its view of emerging market (EM) equities in August. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Corporate bonds are considered higher risk than government bonds.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 22, 2022

Recent wholesale inflation tells a similar story of a peak in pricing pressures, which has been the expectation of the Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) at LPL Research. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. All index data from Bloomberg. 11/23).

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