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Global Portfolio Strategy | July 7, 2022

James Hendries

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. Although energy prices came down some, weakening economic data and the lack of a cease-fire in Ukraine offset the modest gas price relief.

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Taking Advantage of Higher Yields | Weekly Market Commentary | September 26, 2022

James Hendries

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. As we know from historical precedents, when the Fed aggressively raises rates, economic growth slows or outright contracts, which is the Fed’s goal.

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Client Letter | Looking Ahead | November 2, 2022

James Hendries

Some recent softening in economic data, coupled with signals from the bond market, may be indicating that Fed policymakers’ concerted inflation fight may be closer to the end than the beginning. We should also have slowing corporate earnings growth and greater economic uncertainty to contend with, some formidable seas to navigate.

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Global Portfolio Strategy | August 3, 2022

James Hendries

due to expectations of slowing economic growth. The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) made no changes to its recommended asset allocation for August. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. We could see a retest of 3.5%

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New Bull May Need a Breather | Weekly Market Commentary | June 26, 2023

James Hendries

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. Diversification does not protect against market risk.

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Market Responses to Fed (in)Action | Weekly Market Commentary | June 20, 2023

James Hendries

That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement.

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Resilient Consumers Have Not Saved Retail Stocks | Weekly Market Commentary | December 5, 2022

James Hendries

Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.

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