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The (Muted) Impact of Tariffs on Inflation

The Big Picture

It won’t take very much math to put the effect of tariffs into a broader context. By Ben Casselman New York Times, July 16, 2025 _ 1. I wanted to drop a quick note regarding some recent CPI data and tariffs. There is a fundamental misunderstanding (aka political spin) about the impact of tariffs.

Math 310
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Why Gen 2 Advisors Are a Flight Risk

Wealth Management

Resonant Capital Merges with Tax, Accounting Firm QBCo by Alex Ortolani Jul 18, 2025 1 Min Read SEC Chair Paul Atkins Alternative Investments SEC’s Atkins Says Changes to 401(k) Plans Must Be Reviewed Carefully SEC’s Atkins Says Changes to 401(k) Plans Must Be Reviewed Carefully by Nicola M.

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Research links: more than math

Abnormal Returns

morningstar.com) Research The 2025 Global Investment Yearbook is here. (noahpinion.blog) Asset growth High investment has historically led to disappointing future returns. acadian-asset.com) The asset growth factor is not as powerful on a closer look. ubs.com) What factors drive the stock-bond correlation?

Math 147
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Thursday links: dismissing nuance

Abnormal Returns

(ritholtz.com) Not every problem can (or should) be solved by math. techcrunch.com) UnitedHealth ($UNH) slashed 2025 earnings guidance. timharford.com) ETFs Investors love CLO ETFs like the AAA CLO ETF ($JAAA). on.ft.com) Still no sign that traders are giving up on leveraged ETFs.

Medicine 162
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Friday links: lady luck

Abnormal Returns

ritholtz.com) Compounding math is often confounding. theblock.co) Economy Personal income and spending declined in May 2025. Strategy Why you shouldn't fear all-time highs. nytimes.com) Survivorship bias affects in any number of ways. sherwood.news) Are stablecoins the new money market funds?

Math 147
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Avoid the Unforced Investment Errors Even Billionaires Make

The Big Picture

These two possibilities a 10-fold increase versus a 90% drop are roughly symmetrical in terms of math (but probably not probabilities). By Devon Pendleton, Dasha Afanasieva, and Benjamin Stupples (With assistance from Karolina Sekula, Tom Maloney, Pui Gwen Yeung, and Marton Eder) Bloomberg August 13, 2024 2.

Investing 264
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When is the Best Time for a Roth Conversion?

Darrow Wealth Management

The federal estate tax exemption is nearly $14M per person in 2025. Last reviewed April 2025] The post When is the Best Time for a Roth Conversion? In working with clients, we use tools to simulate the impact of converting different amounts from an IRA or 401(k). appeared first on Darrow Wealth Management.