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Ten Economic Questions for 2025

Calculated Risk

Below are my ten questions for 2025 (I've been doing this online every year for 20 years!). economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking. economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking.

Economics 290
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Question #3 for 2025: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2025?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. range in Q4 2025. What will the unemployment rate be in December 2025? It appears that the participation rate will decline in 2025 based on demographics and that population growth will slow due to less net migration.

Economics 272
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Avoid the Unforced Investment Errors Even Billionaires Make

The Big Picture

In How Not to Invest , I showcase extreme examples of unforced errors to illustrate these behavioral mistakes. Chris Bloomstran, chief investment officer of Semper Augustus Investments Group, has tracked this. Decades as an investor and trader on Wall Street have taught me that panics come and go.

Investing 267
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Nine Investment Must Reads for This Week (May 13, 2025)

Wealth Management

These are among the investment must reads we found this week for financial advisors. Up to $30 billion in mutual fund marketing and distribution fees could be at risk if the SEC approves dual share classes. The Mag Seven stocks have regained momentum in recent weeks, but will that last?

Investing 212
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Question #6 for 2025: What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2025?

Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2025. Most FOMC participants expect around two 25 bp rate cuts in 2025. What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2025? by the end of 2025 (Q4-over-Q4). I also expect the FOMC to slow balance sheet runoff in 2025.

Economics 278
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Eight Investment Must Reads for This Week (June 3, 2025)

Wealth Management

CBIZ took a look at how the One Big Beautiful Bill Act would impact alternative investments. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for financial advisors. A federal appeals court ruling might have long-term implications for inclusion of private market assets in retirement plans, according to Private Funds CFO.

Investing 189
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Talk Your Book: How Not To Invest Like Buffett

The Big Picture

Fun factoid: The sound of Batnick’s eye rolls as he heard the same story for the umpteenth time was always in the back of my head as I wrote the book… Source : How Not To Invest Like Buffett.

Investing 236