2021 Economics License Valuation 
Brown Advisory
JANUARY 1, 2021
Global Leaders Investment Letter: January 2021 jharrison Fri, 01/01/2021 - 08:53 Just want the PDF? When does crowd psychology take hope for economic return beyond what valuation can support? And why do markets irregularly detach fundamentals from valuation to their own detriment? Download it here > What is Time?
James Hendries
MARCH 6, 2023
Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Perhaps that was not the first time market watchers used the term, but the conversations at the Economic Club of New York were prescient.
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James Hendries
JANUARY 13, 2023
Lessons learned: Economic forecasts The Fed’s bark was as bad as its bite! When LPL Research released the Outlook 2022: Passing the Baton in December 2021, the team’s view was that the hit from inflation would be manageable and would therefore limit the number and magnitude of interest rate increases, enable the U.S.
James Hendries
DECEMBER 4, 2022
Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. However, consumers were likely tapping into credit and using savings to support spending.
James Hendries
JUNE 26, 2023
The S&P 500’s Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a momentum oscillator used to measure the speed and magnitude of price action—recently reached its most overbought reading since November 2021 (Figure 1). Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.
James Hendries
JUNE 20, 2023
That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement.
James Hendries
JULY 6, 2022
While we acknowledge that a V-shaped recovery is probably not in the cards and prior valuation targets no longer appear achievable, we remain constructive on equities for the second half, but not complacent. Remember stock valuations are inversely correlated to inflation and interest rates. So a P/E over 20 is probably too rich.
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