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2021 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook

Brown Advisory

2021 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook. Fri, 02/26/2021 - 13:22. We are pleased to share Brown Advisory’s 2021 Investment Solutions Group (ISG) Annual Outlook report. Valuations seem stretched, and there may be many signs that animal spirits are soaring. Download the full report >.

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Financial Market Round-Up – Jul’23

Truemind Capital

The recent rally in the market has made the valuations more expensive compared to historical standards. However, heightened valuations do not provide comfort in replicating higher returns of the past in the medium term. Valuations across all sectors do not offer any margin of safety.

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Financial Market Round-Up – Apr’23

Truemind Capital

Higher valuation of Indian markets compared to Global peers along with negligible earnings growth also didn’t help. One should not be over-allocated to equity (check the 3rd page for asset allocation) at the current levels and any exposure should primarily be towards large cap-oriented value portfolios against growth stocks.

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Financial Market Round-Up – Jan’24

Truemind Capital

Some of the fund managers continued discouraging flows in Mid & Small Cap stocks by either sounding cautious, dropping coverage, or stopping the inflows owing to frothy valuations in the space. We maintain our underweight position to equity (check the 3rd page for asset allocation) due to an unfavorable risk-reward ratio.

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Where do we stand in the equity market cycle?

Truemind Capital

Sentiment cycles move from one extreme of greed to another extreme of fear which takes valuations also to extremes from their long-term averages. At the extreme of fear sentiment (which coincides with dirt-cheap valuations), the risk-reward is highly favorable i.e., higher potential upside with lower potential downside risk.

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Myth-Busting with Momentum: How to Pursue the Premium

ClearMoney

As with many things in life, the truth is somewhere between the extremes: While both simulated and real-world data suggest momentum may not be suitable as a driver of long-term asset allocations, we believe momentum considerations can be integrated in a cost-effective way to help inform daily portfolio management decisions.

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Insane Gain After Fed & Ukraine Pain

Investing Caffeine

As I pointed out last month, we are coming off a heroic advance over the last three years (2019/2020/2021) with the S&P 500 soaring +90%. Not only are corporate profits at record levels, they are also expected to grow at a healthy rate (+10% in 2022, +10% in 2023) after mind-boggling growth of +50% in 2021 ( see chart below ).

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