Remove 2018 Remove Economy Remove Numbers
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Market Commentary: Strong Jobs Report Gets the “Good News Is Bad News” Treatment

Carson Wealth

Good news can be bad news in the short run, but a solid economy usually becomes good news again once we get past the initial market reaction. If the underlying economy is sound, pullbacks like this can actually be a positive for the longer-term health of the market. Monthly numbers can be noisy and so a 3-month average is helpful.

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Market Commentary: Stocks Hit New Highs Amid a Year of Milestones

Carson Wealth

Optimism over lower taxes, a stronger economy, animal spirits, and strong earnings all were likely reasons for the surge. The economy created 227,000 jobs in November, close to expectations, which somewhat made up for the low 36,000 number in October (revised up from 12,000). 6 million level we saw in 2018-2019.

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Market Commentary: S&P 500 Approaching All-Time High but US Economic Momentum Slowing

Carson Wealth

The index started with just 12 companies, representing major segments of the economy at the time, like leather, steel, and sugar. General Electric was the most recent of the 12 to be included, but was it removed October 2018. If you’re well above this number, you can be fairly sure job growth is positive. What does that mean?

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Market Commentary: Good Riddance February, Hello March

Carson Wealth

Good Riddance, February The second half of February was rough, as worries over the economy, tariffs, and large cap tech weakness dominated the conversation. We continue to think the bull market is alive and well and the economy is on solid footing, but that doesnt mean we wont have scary headlines or worries. Heres the thing.

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Market Commentary: Stocks Stall but More Signs Inflation Has Normalized

Carson Wealth

Only once has December been the worst month of the year for the S&P 500 (2018). These numbers are clearly over the Feds 2% target. y/y versus the 2018-2019 average of 3.7%. y/y versus the 2018-2019 average of 3.3%. As you saw from the numbers above, inflation really isnt a problem anymore. and is up 2.7%

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Market Commentary: Some Favorite Charts from 2024 and a New Congress Is Sworn In

Carson Wealth

Charts #2 and #3: Broad-based Gains Supported by Fundamentals A lot has been written on how the S&P 500 is dominated by a small number of very large technology-oriented companies, sometimes called the Magnificent Seven. The index has indeed grown increasingly concentrated, but returns were much more broad based than just seven names.

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Market Commentary: Markets Rebound as Inflation Beats Expectations

Carson Wealth

Those high rates arent good for some important areas of the economy, but they do have their upside for savers. In 2016 2017 Trumps election was seen as a major boon to smaller businesses and cyclical sectors of the economy leading up to inauguration. These numbers are clearly over the Feds 2% target. Headline CPI is up 2.9%