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Market Commentary: Is “Sell in May” Still Relevant?

Carson Wealth

While the GDP number for the first quarter disappointed, strength was evident beneath the surface. The weakest numbers were in areas that are volatile and tend to reverse, such as inventories and net exports. The core numbers were solid again and didn’t change our basic outlook for the rest of the year. in the first quarter.

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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

The economy has strong momentum, with growth accelerating since the first half of the year. Let’s Call It Like It Is: The Economy Is Strong, and There’s No Recession on the Horizon A year ago, a Bloomberg Economics model projected a recession within the next 12 months with 100% probability. Through June 2023, the economy grew 2.4%

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Market Commentary: Slow Start For Stocks Despite Solid Job Gains

Carson Wealth

A “Goldilocks” December jobs report highlights sustained momentum for the economy as it continues its path to normalization. Goldilocks Job Numbers as Economy Powers Ahead The December payroll report was strong on the surface, with 216,000 jobs created last month and the unemployment rate firm at 3.7%. million, or 2.6

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Market Commentary: 7 Reasons the Bull Market Is Alive and Well

Carson Wealth

While some cracks may be forming, the economy remains on firm footing. Our Leading Economic Indicators Still Point to a Strong Economy A couple of softer-than-expected economic report cards recently came in — first quarter GDP growth and the April payroll report — and suddenly, calls for an impending recession have resumed.

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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. The economy ran above trend last year, despite high interest rates. Economy: This Time Was Different, and That’s a Big Deal The U.S. economy grew 5.8% And that is what is happening now.

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Market Commentary: Fundamentals May Be Aligned for Solid Stock Gains in 2024

Carson Wealth

ECONOMY The economy saw blockbuster productivity growth in the third quarter. ECONOMY: PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH COULD BE A GAME CHANGER Lost in all the consternation over a weak payroll report this month was robust productivity data, which was released earlier. annual pace, which is faster than the 2010-2019 pace of 1.2%.

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Market Commentary: The Case Against a Stock Market Bubble

Carson Wealth

If tech is removed from the equation, those numbers are estimated to drop approximately three points, putting stocks right in line with historical averages. One reason many claim the stock market is in a bubble is 2023 earnings were barely positive while stocks soared, implying it was all multiple expansion. to 2.1% (real GDP growth).