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Market Commentary: Is “Sell in May” Still Relevant?

Carson Wealth

The Headline GDP Number Masks a Strong Economy The economy grew 1.6% Excluding these categories provides a much clearer picture of actual spending and production in the economy, i.e., final demand after adjusting for inflation. in the first quarter, well above the 2010-2019 average pace of 2.4%. Think of it like core GDP.

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Market Commentary: Good News Is Good News

Carson Wealth

Strong economic growth and better data should be viewed positively, as it shows the economy isn’t falling into a recession. The economy ran above trend last year, despite high interest rates. Economy: This Time Was Different, and That’s a Big Deal The U.S. economy grew 5.8% And that is what is happening now.

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Market Commentary: Another October Low Forming?

Carson Wealth

The economy has strong momentum, with growth accelerating since the first half of the year. Let’s Call It Like It Is: The Economy Is Strong, and There’s No Recession on the Horizon A year ago, a Bloomberg Economics model projected a recession within the next 12 months with 100% probability. Through June 2023, the economy grew 2.4%

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Market Commentary: Slow Start For Stocks Despite Solid Job Gains

Carson Wealth

A “Goldilocks” December jobs report highlights sustained momentum for the economy as it continues its path to normalization. Goldilocks Job Numbers as Economy Powers Ahead The December payroll report was strong on the surface, with 216,000 jobs created last month and the unemployment rate firm at 3.7%. History says to expect it.

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Market Commentary: Fundamentals May Be Aligned for Solid Stock Gains in 2024

Carson Wealth

ECONOMY The economy saw blockbuster productivity growth in the third quarter. ECONOMY: PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH COULD BE A GAME CHANGER Lost in all the consternation over a weak payroll report this month was robust productivity data, which was released earlier. annual pace, which is faster than the 2010-2019 pace of 1.2%.

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Market Commentary: Four Big Questions

Carson Wealth

Strong wage growth and lower inflation have helped the economy stay resilient. Why Has the Economy Stayed Resilient? A large part of the economy’s resilience has to do with a strong labor market that has surprised many economists and market-watchers. September can be a rough month for stocks, but it doesn’t have to be bad.

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Market Commentary: Stocks and Bonds Rally as Fed Recognizes Progress on Inflation

Carson Wealth

He once again emphasized that the risk of not doing enough to curb inflation was now balanced with the risk of holding rates too high for too long (and potentially breaking the economy in the process). Lower interest rates can have significant positive effects on the economy, including on mortgage rates.