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10 Tuesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. 2000-2003 Dotcom implosion 6. Businessweek ) but see With cash earning 5%, why risk money on the stock market?

Insurance 130
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Assessing Altria and Tobacco Fundamentals Five Years After the Peak

Fortune Financial

It is no coincidence, for example, that the two most recent periods of major tobacco underperformance in the last several decades have been driven largely by a huge compression in multiples, the result of serious litigation (1998 – 2003) and regulatory (2017 – present) challenges.

Math 52
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Transcript: Marcus Shaw

The Big Picture

RITHOLTZ: Why is it not surprising that a math nerd is also a placekicker? But really, even that experience was about building great friends that I played football with. And many of those gentlemen have gone on to do incredible things as well. It seems to be like the field goal seems to be one of the most mathematical parts of football.

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Transcript: Julian Salisbury, GS

The Big Picture

So I took it upon myself to go off and took a course in bond math, took another course in derivatives and realized the underlying fundamental concepts were barely, I mean, it wasn’t even high school math in most cases. I didn’t know what any of these terms meant. RITHOLTZ: They just became distressed.

Assets 290
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Transcript: Luis Berruga, Global X ETFs

The Big Picture

And I did the math, and I think at that point in time, roughly speaking, assets in ETS were roughly just 10 percent, 12 percent of assets in mutual funds and I was pretty convinced that that number was to increase significantly. And I always use the exact same example, how will you invest in Google in 1998, or in Facebook in 2003?

Clients 154
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Could It Be True?

The Better Letter

I couldn’t make that math work at all plausibly. That said, over the past 20 years (2003-2022), the S&P 500 delivered a 9.80 It’s almost all powerful and good stuff, with one major error. Did you catch it? Here’s about as close as I could come. Maybe he simply made a mistake. Maybe he misspoke.

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The Better Letter: October is the Best Month

The Better Letter

My family and I were evacuated in 2003 due to the Cedar Fire. As Charley Ellis famously demonstrated , investing and life more broadly are loser’s games much of the time, with outcomes dominated by luck rather than skill and high transaction costs. If we avoid mistakes we will generally win. The coolest. The silliest. The oddest.

Math 67