Remove Math Remove Numbers Remove Valuation
article thumbnail

10 Biggest Ideas in “How NOT to Invest”

The Big Picture

The challenge in writing How NOT to Invest was organizing a large number of ideas, many of which were only loosely connected, into something coherent, understandable, and, most importantly, readable. Bad Numbers : 4. We evolved in an arithmetic world, so we are unprepared for the exponential math of finance. It is March 18th!

Investing 316
article thumbnail

Q&A: Your Money Map

The Big Picture

This is more than overconfidence, the DKE is how poorly we are at metacognition assessing our own abilities at a specific task Look at the history of performance and the small number of professional investors who outperform their benchmarks over 1, 5, 10, and 20 years. What are some examples of bad numbers?

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Avoid the Unforced Investment Errors Even Billionaires Make

The Big Picture

My advice was not based on fear of a bubble or the (over)valuation of Yahoo; rather, I suggested employing a regret minimization framework.2 These two possibilities a 10-fold increase versus a 90% drop are roughly symmetrical in terms of math (but probably not probabilities). Torn about what to do, he asked my opinion.

Investing 266
article thumbnail

Buffett vs. Graham vs. Lynch: Whose Strategy Wins Now & Over Time?

Validea

We dive into the numbers, examine the some of the portfolio stock selections, and offer guidance on what type of investor each strategy may suit best. Benjamin Graham – The Deep Value Purist Graham’s approach, considered the bedrock of value investing, focuses on balance sheet strength and low valuation. Kinsale Capital ( KNSL ): +21.0%

article thumbnail

At the Money: Benefits of Quantitative Investing

The Big Picture

As it turns out, there are ways you can use data to your advantage, even if you’re not a math wizard. Barry Ritholtz : So let’s break that into two halves, starting with valuation. Explain why P/E isn’t the best way to measure valuation. People did whatever was working based more on gut feelings than data.

Investing 159
article thumbnail

Weekly Market Insights – January 8, 2024

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

Math errors: Simple addition and subtraction mistakes can delay your return. Consider using electronic filing software that does the math automatically to avoid mistakes. Giving an incorrect account number can delay your refund even further. How many times will he have to paint the number 8? What is it?

article thumbnail

A Billion Dollars isn’t Cool

The Irrelevant Investor

A private company with a billion-dollar valuation used to be special. These numbers, which felt crazy at the time, seem quaint compared to today. This number comes from Crunchbase , who just published a report showing that the number of newly minted decacorns hit a record high in 2021. Today there are 1,000 of 'em.

Math 52