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ATM: Valuation is an Exercise in Faith with Aswath Damodaran

The Big Picture

 ATM: Valuation is an exercise in faith with Aswath Damodaran. How much faith do you have that any stock or market will eventually return to its intrinsic value? He has written numerous books on valuation and finance. Nowhere is understanding value more important than in the stock market. Traders live on pricing.

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10 Biggest Ideas in “How NOT to Invest”

The Big Picture

This is as true for professionals as it is for amateurs; it’s also true in music, film, sports, television, and economic and market forecasting. Market Mayhem : As investors, we often rely on rules of thumb that fail us. The vast majority of market gains come from ~1% of all stocks. We mix politics with investing.

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3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

At a high level, we're currently seeing a 'tale of 2 economies': While the market for services has expanded steadily since the beginning of the year (with both employment and the price of services growing in kind), the U.S. manufacturing sector, by the measures of employment and service prices, has been in a recession for nearly 12 months.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

(moontower.substack.com) Some signs of internal weakness in the stock market. allstarcharts.com) A valuation analysis of the Magnificent Seven. barrons.com) Valuations matter, but using them in your investment process is a challenge. barrons.com) Valuations matter, but using them in your investment process is a challenge.

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Personal finance links: the idea of enough

Abnormal Returns

(ritholtz.com) Investing How to deal with a stock market at or near all-time highs. awealthofcommonsense.com) Market valuations aren't going to help you time the stock market. barrons.com) Don't let bad energy ruin your portfolio. humbledollar.com) Make sure you are earning the highest rate on your uninvested cash.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week A big regime shift has happened in the economy and financial markets. ritholtz.com) The bond market bear market is pretty epic. wired.com) Bond bear markets are different than stock bear markets. wired.com) Bond bear markets are different than stock bear markets.

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Friday links: the crypto community

Abnormal Returns

Markets The equity risk premium has fallen. spglobal.com) Finance Elon Musk's xAI and SpaceX are getting a valuation boost. money market mutual funds now have more than $7 trillion in assets. bloomberg.com) Prediction markets How big can prediction markets get? ft.com) Is private credit in a bubble? msn.com) U.S.