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Avoid the Unforced Investment Errors Even Billionaires Make

The Big Picture

In How Not to Invest , I showcase extreme examples of unforced errors to illustrate these behavioral mistakes. Chris Bloomstran, chief investment officer of Semper Augustus Investments Group, has tracked this. Decades as an investor and trader on Wall Street have taught me that panics come and go.

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Research links: informed trading

Abnormal Returns

Quant stuff A round-up of recent white papers including 'AI Beneficiaries: Investing in Second-Order Effects.' larryswedroe.substack.com) When PE managers cut company valuations, look out for more down the road. alphaarchitect.com) Why startups are increasingly choosing to buy back shares from employees. morningstar.com)

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The Ultimate Tax Guide to Buying and Selling Startup Shares

Harness Wealth

The substantial financial returns that can result from investing in promising startups early are a major draw for investors and employees alike. The tax environment that surrounds startup share transactions, however, is a notoriously complex one. What are the tax implications of buying startup shares?

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Tuesday links: paying for the news

Abnormal Returns

wsj.com) Meta ($META) is reportedly investing $10 billion in subsea cables. techcrunch.com) Musk SpaceX could soon be the world's most valuable startup with a $350 billion valuation. theverge.com) Fidelity marked up its valuation of X. finance.yahoo.com) Elon Musk's Tesla ($TSLA) pay package was rejected, again.

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Indian Startups Accelerate IPO Plans Before 2026; Here’s why

Trade Brains

There’s a clear shift happening in India’s startup world. Almost every promising startup you can name seems to be preparing for a stock market listing, and they all want to make their debut before 2026. That kind of market enthusiasm is encouraging founders across the startup scene to go public sooner rather than later.

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The Magnificent 493

The Big Picture

There are concerns about valuations, tariffs, inflation, Fed independence, and, most recently, the integrity of BLS data. Perhaps the most accessible example is the Internet and the dot-com startups formed in the 1990s. I consistently hear many of the same questions about these markets.

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Podcast links: an aging America

Abnormal Returns

(derekthompson.substack.com) Danny Crichton and Laurence Pevsner author of “Rebooting a Nation: The Incredible Rise of Estonia, E-Government and the Startup Revolution.” conversationswithtyler.com) Equities Greg Milano talks with Michael Mauboussin about valuation and capital allocation.